ordigger said:EverettGriz said:The answer is both yes and no. Americans are greatly overestimating their personal risk of the virus.
But the actions implemented to slow the spread of the disease is far from an overreaction. And extremely clear data from China prove it.
These steps will in no way stop the spread of the virus, but they're not intended to. They are intended to greatly slow the spread. Look at the daily trend lines for new cases in China. After they implemented their draconian policies, new cases dropped from 3,000 a day to less than 100. That's what our policies are intended to do. And if we fail, and a month from now that 3,000 new cases a day number has jumped to 30,000, we'll absolutely overwhelm our healthcare infrastructure.
China didn’t try to flatten the curve. They aggressively went after it to drop the curve immediately. And we see the disaster happening it Italy and Spain, both of which have tried to flatten the curve. Spain is about to be overwhelmed
immediately? they knew of human-to-human transmission in December. Yeah, they dropped the curve, but if you believe their numbers, you don't have contacts in China, and don't follow the independent news that does get out of the country. so far, the unofficial, illegal, but importantly dispensed news largely been correct, based on the numbers provided by countries with freer media. that isn't saying all western media is right, or all chinese is wrong. but i trust the latter infinitely more.