PlayerRep said:ordigger said:Reading about a lawyer discussing logic and statistic analysis, has to be one of the funniest things I've read in a long time. In truth the basis for this entire argument has to do with sampling, amd sadly the Cat fans are dead on in what they are trying to say. Has nothing to do with 2 games or 6 games, but what is the best way to complete your analysis via sampling, In this case the best common characteristics are more likely to appear using the conference stats, and to argue anything else shows a complete lack of knowledge in statistics. Obviously by someone who has never played this game.
The entire "cherry picking" stats is irony onto itself, as a good lawyer will search for "evidence" to support their conclusions. In this case the 6 game theory seems like a good approach. I have actually seen this same poster use conference statistics to support his theories when needed...so I get a chuckle.
Anyhow, from a pure statistics point of view, the best sampling is the conference statistics. Of course some people will never admit when they are wrong, and will try to flip it back on you, but hey thats the sign of a good lawyer, not a good statistician. Or misdirect will be another approach used.
I see that you know even less about stats than you know about football. Like a few of the Cat trolls, you admit that the larger 6 game sampling provides for the best stat analysis at this time, but then, just because you have been stung by me so many times when I've pointed out the nonsense of your posts, you make the silly statement that 2 games is better than 6. Pretty funny. I suppose that's what we should expect from a guy who supports the Missoulian, thinks UMass' move up has been successful, didn't think Cherry was a good point guard, etc. Oh, and there's nothing wrong with conference stats after there have been enough conf games to make them statistical valid.
Really? Are you still trying to argue this or are you guys just playing lawyer and picking a side to argue just for fun... when you really don't seriously believe in what you're arguing? You have thrown out the blanket statement that six data points are always better than two. Do you really believe that, regardless of what those data points are? Are you saying that if two FCS teams have played six games each, one team played two FCS schools and four NAIA schools, and the other FCS team played two FCS schools and four FBS schools... that those stats would hold any relevance whatsoever?