Illinois State had 4th-and-1 at Montana State’s 21, tie game, under a minute left. They kicked a 38-yarder. It got blocked. Game went to OT. They lost.
Should they have gone for it? Absolutely. Analytics were screaming “GO!” Convert and you can milk the clock, set up a chip shot, maybe punch it in. Kick it and—even if you make it—you’re basically saying, “Here, Montana State, have a minute to ruin our night.” Spoiler: they did.
Lesson? 4th-and-1 late, deep in enemy territory? Don’t get cute—just go for it. Playing it safe isn’t safe.
This was a simple call. Spack crumbled in the moment.