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Any different way the Griz can host??

In most basic scenarios, Montana has about a 10% chance of hosting, EWU 12% chance, Sac St. 76% chance. The other 2% is reserved for some weird 3-way tie scenarios still in play.

What Montana needs:
(71% chance winning vs MSU)x(26% chance two Sac St losses)x(54% chance one or more EWU losses)
 
Word said:
In most basic scenarios, Montana has about a 10% chance of hosting, EWU 12% chance, Sac St. 76% chance. The other 2% is reserved for some weird 3-way tie scenarios still in play.

What Montana needs:
(71% chance winning vs MSU)x(26% chance two Sac St losses)x(54% chance one or more EWU losses)


I don't believe ewoo needs to lose again in order for UM to host, as long as sac loses two. If they do, they'll almost certainly finish behind NAU, which would give NAU 3rd place and sac 4th. That would give UM the tie break over Ewoo.
 
Word said:
In most basic scenarios, Montana has about a 10% chance of hosting, EWU 12% chance, Sac St. 76% chance. The other 2% is reserved for some weird 3-way tie scenarios still in play.

What Montana needs:
(71% chance winning vs MSU)x(26% chance two Sac St losses)x(54% chance one or more EWU losses)
I'll take the odds of a semi-fire over these odds.
 
Grizbeer said:
Word said:
In most basic scenarios, Montana has about a 10% chance of hosting, EWU 12% chance, Sac St. 76% chance. The other 2% is reserved for some weird 3-way tie scenarios still in play.

What Montana needs:
(71% chance winning vs MSU)x(26% chance two Sac St losses)x(54% chance one or more EWU losses)
I'll take the odds of a semi-fire over these odds.

That might be where the smart money lies.

On a completely unrelated note, is anyone interested in the pitchfork futures market? A friend of mine might have some information regarding a sudden shortage.
 
Does anyone need a gross of pitchforks? I also have a shit ton of diesel that I will sell you for 80% of whatever it costs at the Rocker truck stop. I won't be needing it.
 
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