grizzlyjournal said:ElrodGrizzly said:I'm curious! What scenarios do you envision?
ElrodGrizzly: I've examined Montana's "standing" in the Big Sky countless times over the past 10 years and now believe that -- in ALL sports -- the Griz fan base (per-game paid admissions) dramatically distance UM from every other team in the Big Sky. That includes MSU. I posted detailed comparative Big Sky football attendance numbers here at eGriz last fall, but here's a brief summary. Today's Missoulian article on season tix increases was correct: Montana's all-sports paid attendance numbers totals are more than the combined attendance numbers of all the schools in the Big Sky combined... excepting MSU. Not so remarkably, Montana's total football paid attendance numbers of 165,178 were more than MSU's 158,416 despite the Cats playing 8 home games to Montana's 7. My observations lead me to believe that attendance at EWU, ISU, Idaho, NAU, SAC, UNC and PSU indicate serious yearly declines. Only UM, MSU and WSU are posting somewhat stable numbers. There are other indicators: the Big Sky is struggling with how to support its 6-team softball league and has even reduced its volleyball conference games to an unbalanced 16 games per team, compared to most D1 10-team conferences that post full 18-game schedules. More: at least 3 Big Sky schools are struggling with live game-stream broadcasts, despite the Big Sky's addition of the league to ESPN+ coverage. Two schools simply have not provided livestreams of several volleyball, softball and soccer games.
Do I believe there's an easy alternative? No. But if attendance numbers and gate revenue continue to decline at the above-mentioned 7 schools, the picture in the Big Sky might be grim. I hear folks regularly state that Montana simply could NOT afford a move to a conference like the Mountain West. I can't argue one way or the other, but I DID gather attendance figures from Mountain West "Mountain Division" football games and discovered that Montana would fare pretty well when average per-game attendance figures from last fall are posted:
1 -- Boise State: 210,727 (35,121)
2 -- Air Force: 188,481 (26,926)
3. -- Colorado State: 161,345 (26,890)
4. -- Montana: 165,178 (25,298) Not counting playoff game vs. SEMO
5. -- Wyoming: 118,244 (19,709)
6. -- Utah State: 101,724 (16,954)
7. -- New Mexico: 89,794 (14,965)
8, -- Nevada: 89,431 (14,905)
Do these figures hint that Montana could compete in the Mountain West? Not initially, perhaps... I DO believe Montana's basketball, soccer and volleyball teams could certainly compete in the Mountain West. But... as some keep harping, "What about making the FCS playoffs every year?). My belief is that home and home games against these Mountain West opponents would likely draw increased numbers of fans, AND draw student athletes who would prefer playing in the MW than the Big Sky. Hope this partially explains my first post in this thread. P.S. I posted this absent some numbers. Let me know if anything does not add up.![]()
I appreciate that detailed explanation! Thank you for that. So are your thoughts that the BSC will go away? Or that we will lose a number of teams?
Do you have any thoughts on what happens if the P5 move on to form their own league? Or if that is realistic?