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Montana vs NAU predictions
- Thread starter NikeGrizz
- Start date
wbtfg said:zengriz said:...playing at 7000 feet...
...depth on defenze...
...35..15..griz...
......
Great point about playing at 7000 feet. From what I've seen of the UM defense, they are VERY good and extremely well conditioned. However, if they are on the field 38 minutes during the game at that altitude, it could spell trouble.
That said, I think JJ tears up the NAU defense and UM wins by 2 TD's.
The game is being played inside from what I understand, so the elevation shouldn't matter, right?!!? :roll:
ORsurfer
Well-known member
Grisly Fan said:Want to be a better predictor of college FB scores? I took the last five years of every FBS score and did some statistical analysis. I couldn't find the equivalent for FCS but I thought these should be close.
What prompted me to do this? BW's prediction of 18 points for NAU (in another thread). My gut said that is a rather unusual score and the below bears that out.
A word of caution about the following, Mark Twain once said: "The three things I hate the most are lies, damn lies, and statistics." so use at your own risk!
Given 9456 scores including 2006-2010, the point total for any one team had this ranking based on occurrence:
24 508
17 504
14 449
31 449
21 398
10 392
7 381
20 367
28 359
27 356
38 317
13 292
34 289
35 280
23 240
3 231
0 230
41 218
45 206
30 202
42 200
16 179
37 147
6 139
26 124
44 121
48 121
49 116
33 115
19 110
52 107
29 88
22 72
40 72
12 71
56 71
36 70
9 69
25 62
15 58
32 57
51 55
55 55
47 48
43 40
39 38
18 37
59 34
54 32
62 32
63 31
50 27
58 21
46 19
66 16
70 15
65 14
8 13
53 10
69 10
2 9
61 9
11 7
68 7
5 5
57 5
64 5
60 4
73 4
67 3
72 2
76 2
77 2
83 2
71 1
74 1
75 1
79 1
80 1
87 1
1 0
4 0
78 0
81 0
82 0
84 0
85 0
86 0
88 0
89 0
90 0
91 0
92 0
93 0
94 0
95 0
96 0
97 0
98 0
99 0
100 0
Gotta love Minitab!
Grizo406 said:wbtfg said:zengriz said:...playing at 7000 feet...
...depth on defenze...
...35..15..griz...
...
Great point about playing at 7000 feet. From what I've seen of the UM defense, they are VERY good and extremely well conditioned. However, if they are on the field 38 minutes during the game at that altitude, it could spell trouble.
That said, I think JJ tears up the NAU defense and UM wins by 2 TD's.
The game is being played inside from what I understand, so the elevation shouldn't matter, right?!!? :roll:
Only if they turn the air conditioning up!
wbtfg
Well-known member
Grizo406 said:wbtfg said:zengriz said:...playing at 7000 feet...
...depth on defenze...
...35..15..griz...
...
Great point about playing at 7000 feet. From what I've seen of the UM defense, they are VERY good and extremely well conditioned. However, if they are on the field 38 minutes during the game at that altitude, it could spell trouble.
That said, I think JJ tears up the NAU defense and UM wins by 2 TD's.
The game is being played inside from what I understand, so the elevation shouldn't matter, right?!!? :roll:
¿Que?
wbtfg said:Grizo406 said:wbtfg said:zengriz said:...playing at 7000 feet...
...depth on defenze...
...35..15..griz...
...
Great point about playing at 7000 feet. From what I've seen of the UM defense, they are VERY good and extremely well conditioned. However, if they are on the field 38 minutes during the game at that altitude, it could spell trouble.
That said, I think JJ tears up the NAU defense and UM wins by 2 TD's.
The game is being played inside from what I understand, so the elevation shouldn't matter, right?!!? :roll:
¿Que?
A punch line from a very old joke that wasn't delivered very well...
