Is UM a 11, 12, or 13?

[Hellgater]

If we continue on this pace, where does the UM finish in the tournament? I think they got a shot at a 12.

 

[TrueGriz]

If the Griz win out, I think 12th seed, possibly 13th seed.

If Griz lose 1 or 2 games, possibly a 13th or 14th seed.

If Griz lose 3 more games, than 14th or 15th.

I really do not see the Griz losing more than 3 games the rest of the way. Heck, I figure the Griz will lose no more than 2 games the rest of the way. That would, IMO, have the Griz at 13th or 14th seed.

Of course, the Griz are not even in first place at this time. NAU may require the Griz to win out. Which that would be good, because Griz would then be tied with NAU and Griz has the tiebreaker over NAU. I figure 12th seed to be the best seed attainable by the Griz, though 13th seed may be more likely.

Lady Griz have been seeded 12th seed past couple years, but their RPI ranking was about 20 to 25 spots higher in relation to where the Griz are ranked now. So, I figure Griz would have to win out to have any chance to get a 12th seed, or at the least, not lose more than 1 game, and absolutely do not lose any games at home.

 

[Unwrittengriz]

TrueGriz,
What is the tie-breaker the Griz would have over NAU? Is it best overall record?

 

[TrueGriz]

TrueGriz,
What is the tie-breaker the Griz would have over NAU? Is it best overall record?

Since Griz lost to NAU, if Griz win out, and end up tied with NAU, then the first two tie break procedures would not work. 1st being head to head which both would have beat each other. 2nd being how the teams tied fared against others in the conference from top to bottom.

The third tie breaker is RPI, and Griz have a much higher RPI than NAU. If Griz win out, there is no mathematical possibility of NAU catching Griz in RPI even if NAU wins the rest except against the Griz.

If there is by chance that the RPI are equal for each team, then the fourth tie breaker is a coin toss. But, that won't happen.