Zirg said:
mtgrizfankb said:
This UNA team is no joke. I think they are still tough to gage tho. WIU is gonna be pretty bad this year in the MVFC. But UNA controlled that game. Tough trip to go from Bama to montanach-up but they also have had more days of prep and presumably all watched our game live on sat.
31-21 Griz
I have no idea how good WIU is this year, but they weren't great last year either (5-6) but still beat the Griz in Missoula. North Alabama should not be overlooked or under-respected. i don't do prediction scores, but
i think most of the predictions are very ignorant. I fully expect a difficult match-up.
Actually I put quite a bit of thought into my prediction:
1. Other than last year (which was an anomaly) the Griz are traditionally very difficult to beat at home, and while home field advantage is supposedly only good for 3 points, I would spot the Griz more like 7. As much as we all joke about the cold and loud crap, WaGriz is still not an easy place to get a win, especially not for a team that has never played there before.
2. The Griz beat a decent USD team on the road by 14 points, and left a number of points off the board via the missed FG and the kneel down in the red zone to run the clock out. (That's not even counting the dumb interception in the end zone.)
3. Griz D only allowed USD 17 points.
4. While I was also surprised that UNA beat the Leathernecks, I watched the game and WIU didn't look great. UNA only scored 26 on them at home, with a 9 point margin of victory.
5. There is no way of knowing (yet) if UNA is better or worse than USD, however I made my prediction based on them being at least as good as USD or maybe even somewhat better. Therefore I took the Griz score against USD (31) and adjusted it up 3 for the field goal we could have kicked at the end, then added 7 for home field advantage. That gave me 41 for the Griz.
6. To come up with a score for the Lions, I started with the 26 they scored at home last week, took off 3 points since it's a road game and another 3 points because Griz D is better than WIU and they ended up with 20.
My methodology is possibly (probably... Okay definitely) quite flawed but hey it's message board prognostication. Obviously none of us have any idea what's going to happen, but that doesn't make our predictions ignorant.
