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Griz 2019/2020 Forecast

AZGrizFan said:
HookedonGriz said:
With the BRUTAL schedule we have, 7-5 would be a big time accomplishment and would easily earn a trip to the playoffs based on strength of schedule. Anyone assuming anything beyond that record I fear is getting your hopes up and setting yourself up for disappointment.

There's no way 7-5 in a 12 game schedule gets to the playoffs. If you think that YOU are setting yourself up for disappointment.

Look at the 7-5 teams who got in last time there was a 12 game schedule. You’ll be surprised. Last 12 game season was 2014 and Ind St and Morgan St both got in at 7-5. Richmond, Mont. St., SDSU, UNI, SFA, SHSU & Liberty got in at 8-4

Definitely would still be on bubble, but I’d say a Griz team at 7-5 with a very strong SOS are in GUARANTEED
 
HookedonGriz said:
AZGrizFan said:
HookedonGriz said:
With the BRUTAL schedule we have, 7-5 would be a big time accomplishment and would easily earn a trip to the playoffs based on strength of schedule. Anyone assuming anything beyond that record I fear is getting your hopes up and setting yourself up for disappointment.

There's no way 7-5 in a 12 game schedule gets to the playoffs. If you think that YOU are setting yourself up for disappointment.

Look at the 7-5 teams who got in last time there was a 12 game schedule. You’ll be surprised. Last 12 game season was 2014 and Ind St and Morgan St both got in at 7-5. Richmond, Mont. St., SDSU, UNI, SFA, SHSU & Liberty got in at 8-4

Definitely would still be on bubble, but I’d say a Griz team at 7-5 with a very strong SOS are in GUARANTEED

If we go 7-5 that means we didn't win a single "tough" game on the schedule. I don't think 5 "quality" losses get us in. 8-4 and we're a lock, because that means 8-3 against FCS and a loss to Oregon.
 
AZGrizFan said:
HookedonGriz said:
AZGrizFan said:
HookedonGriz said:
With the BRUTAL schedule we have, 7-5 would be a big time accomplishment and would easily earn a trip to the playoffs based on strength of schedule. Anyone assuming anything beyond that record I fear is getting your hopes up and setting yourself up for disappointment.

There's no way 7-5 in a 12 game schedule gets to the playoffs. If you think that YOU are setting yourself up for disappointment.

Look at the 7-5 teams who got in last time there was a 12 game schedule. You’ll be surprised. Last 12 game season was 2014 and Ind St and Morgan St both got in at 7-5. Richmond, Mont. St., SDSU, UNI, SFA, SHSU & Liberty got in at 8-4

Definitely would still be on bubble, but I’d say a Griz team at 7-5 with a very strong SOS are in GUARANTEED

If we go 7-5 that means we didn't win a single "tough" game on the schedule. I don't think 5 "quality" losses get us in. 8-4 and we're a lock, because that means 8-3 against FCS and a loss to Oregon.

Yes we would definitely need a couple quality wins in there
 
AZGrizFan said:
HookedonGriz said:
With the BRUTAL schedule we have, 7-5 would be a big time accomplishment and would easily earn a trip to the playoffs based on strength of schedule. Anyone assuming anything beyond that record I fear is getting your hopes up and setting yourself up for disappointment.

There's no way 7-5 in a 12 game schedule gets to the playoffs. If you think that YOU are setting yourself up for disappointment.

This. If you start the season not even in the top 25 ranking, and lose five games, I can't think of a scenario where you end up ranked in the top 25 at the end of the season (Unless you beat Oregon :lol: ). Not that it's a requirement to be ranked in the top 25 to make the playoffs but pretty much.
 
poorgriz said:
AZGrizFan said:
HookedonGriz said:
With the BRUTAL schedule we have, 7-5 would be a big time accomplishment and would easily earn a trip to the playoffs based on strength of schedule. Anyone assuming anything beyond that record I fear is getting your hopes up and setting yourself up for disappointment.

There's no way 7-5 in a 12 game schedule gets to the playoffs. If you think that YOU are setting yourself up for disappointment.

This. If you start the season not even in the top 25 ranking, and lose five games, I can't think of a scenario where you end up ranked in the top 25 at the end of the season (Unless you beat Oregon :lol: ). Not that it's a requirement to be ranked in the top 25 to make the playoffs but pretty much.

I would say with 95% certainty you're correct.

If the 4 losses were to playoff-bound teams and the 7 wins had some sort of quality win or two in them... maybe. But it's still a long shot by a mile and that's a major assumption. Drop in a single loss (or more) to a piss-poor / sub .500 team and there's no way at 7 wins, I would assume.
 
poorgriz said:
AZGrizFan said:
HookedonGriz said:
With the BRUTAL schedule we have, 7-5 would be a big time accomplishment and would easily earn a trip to the playoffs based on strength of schedule. Anyone assuming anything beyond that record I fear is getting your hopes up and setting yourself up for disappointment.

There's no way 7-5 in a 12 game schedule gets to the playoffs. If you think that YOU are setting yourself up for disappointment.

This. If you start the season not even in the top 25 ranking, and lose five games, I can't think of a scenario where you end up ranked in the top 25 at the end of the season (Unless you beat Oregon :lol: ). Not that it's a requirement to be ranked in the top 25 to make the playoffs but pretty much.

But if you start the season IN the rankings (UNI, I'm looking directly at you every fucking year) and lose 5 games, you somehow get invited to playoffs regardless. :roll: :roll:
 
I would think at 7-5 it is no lock but possible. Depending on style points and what is the record late in the season. 7-5 while 0-3 in the last 3 games no way. 3-0 in the last 3 with blowing teams out then yes they should be in. Too much depends on other teams as well.

Hopefully the Griz have a good season and end up 8-4 or better. I agree with most people positing in that this is a better Griz team than last year however the schedule is more difficult.
 
As with all other teams in the FCS at this point, the Grizzlies season is in their own hands. Win the second half in every game and they are 9-3 or possibly 10-2! Lose even three second half 's and they are also rans.

It is that simple, ... and that complicated!
 
HookedonGriz said:
AZGrizFan said:
HookedonGriz said:
With the BRUTAL schedule we have, 7-5 would be a big time accomplishment and would easily earn a trip to the playoffs based on strength of schedule. Anyone assuming anything beyond that record I fear is getting your hopes up and setting yourself up for disappointment.

There's no way 7-5 in a 12 game schedule gets to the playoffs. If you think that YOU are setting yourself up for disappointment.

Look at the 7-5 teams who got in last time there was a 12 game schedule. You’ll be surprised. Last 12 game season was 2014 and Ind St and Morgan St both got in at 7-5. Richmond, Mont. St., SDSU, UNI, SFA, SHSU & Liberty got in at 8-4

Definitely would still be on bubble, but I’d say a Griz team at 7-5 with a very strong SOS are in GUARANTEED



Haley says a 7-5 Griz team would be in, too:


“It's almost unfathomable Montana has missed the playoffs in three straight seasons. To end the drought — and, yes, it's a drought — the Griz may have to forge their way in with a road victory against archrival Montana State on Nov. 23, the final Saturday of the regular season.

Sure, Montana has a talented squad (including Buck Buchanan Award candidate Dante Olson), but we've also heard that going into recent seasons. In head coach Bobby Hauck's second season of his second stint in Missoula, the Griz have to navigate a solid non-conference schedule — road trips to South Dakota and Oregon and home games against North Alabama and Monmouth — and face a Big Sky schedule with the three defending champs (UC Davis, Eastern Washington and Weber State) before their trip to Bozeman.

Their record could be in the 7-4/6-5 range when they play for their playoff life.”
 
HookedonGriz said:
HookedonGriz said:
AZGrizFan said:
HookedonGriz said:
With the BRUTAL schedule we have, 7-5 would be a big time accomplishment and would easily earn a trip to the playoffs based on strength of schedule. Anyone assuming anything beyond that record I fear is getting your hopes up and setting yourself up for disappointment.

There's no way 7-5 in a 12 game schedule gets to the playoffs. If you think that YOU are setting yourself up for disappointment.

Look at the 7-5 teams who got in last time there was a 12 game schedule. You’ll be surprised. Last 12 game season was 2014 and Ind St and Morgan St both got in at 7-5. Richmond, Mont. St., SDSU, UNI, SFA, SHSU & Liberty got in at 8-4

Definitely would still be on bubble, but I’d say a Griz team at 7-5 with a very strong SOS are in GUARANTEED



Haley says a 7-5 Griz team would be in, too:


“It's almost unfathomable Montana has missed the playoffs in three straight seasons. To end the drought — and, yes, it's a drought — the Griz may have to forge their way in with a road victory against archrival Montana State on Nov. 23, the final Saturday of the regular season.

Sure, Montana has a talented squad (including Buck Buchanan Award candidate Dante Olson), but we've also heard that going into recent seasons. In head coach Bobby Hauck's second season of his second stint in Missoula, the Griz have to navigate a solid non-conference schedule — road trips to South Dakota and Oregon and home games against North Alabama and Monmouth — and face a Big Sky schedule with the three defending champs (UC Davis, Eastern Washington and Weber State) before their trip to Bozeman.

Their record could be in the 7-4/6-5 range when they play for their playoff life.”

I'll call it right now. If the griz happen to be 7-4 going into Cat-griz and they win that game I'd say absolutely playoff bound. However, that will be a tall order. I do think the griz will be a better team than last year, but so will the Cats. Beating the Cats in 2019, especially at home, is going to be very difficult.
 
For the cats to make any noise they better hope their defense can shut down and limit every offense they play to 20 or less AND work the clock with their running game because I don’t see that offense being a very high powered one scoring at will. I admit they have a good line and good running backs but any team who wants to move on has to have a good quarterback and the cats don’t...

Montana needs limit mistakes and has two games that need to go into the win column. South Dakota on the road and ewu at home. I don’t concern myself with msu until Griz/cat week.
 
poorgriz said:
HookedonGriz said:
HookedonGriz said:
AZGrizFan said:
There's no way 7-5 in a 12 game schedule gets to the playoffs. If you think that YOU are setting yourself up for disappointment.

Look at the 7-5 teams who got in last time there was a 12 game schedule. You’ll be surprised. Last 12 game season was 2014 and Ind St and Morgan St both got in at 7-5. Richmond, Mont. St., SDSU, UNI, SFA, SHSU & Liberty got in at 8-4

Definitely would still be on bubble, but I’d say a Griz team at 7-5 with a very strong SOS are in GUARANTEED



Haley says a 7-5 Griz team would be in, too:


“It's almost unfathomable Montana has missed the playoffs in three straight seasons. To end the drought — and, yes, it's a drought — the Griz may have to forge their way in with a road victory against archrival Montana State on Nov. 23, the final Saturday of the regular season.

Sure, Montana has a talented squad (including Buck Buchanan Award candidate Dante Olson), but we've also heard that going into recent seasons. In head coach Bobby Hauck's second season of his second stint in Missoula, the Griz have to navigate a solid non-conference schedule — road trips to South Dakota and Oregon and home games against North Alabama and Monmouth — and face a Big Sky schedule with the three defending champs (UC Davis, Eastern Washington and Weber State) before their trip to Bozeman.

Their record could be in the 7-4/6-5 range when they play for their playoff life.”

I'll call it right now. If the griz happen to be 7-4 going into Cat-griz and they win that game I'd say absolutely playoff bound. However, that will be a tall order. I do think the griz will be a better team than last year, but so will the Cats. Beating the Cats in 2019, especially at home, is going to be very difficult.

Well certainly if they go 8-4 I think they're in. If they go 7-5, it'll be 5 "quality losses"...EWU, Weber, UCD, Oregon, MSU) and not a single signature win. I don't think that impresses anyone. Certainly not me. IMHO they need to win 2/5, because I think they'll stub their toe on the 7 probables at least once (most likely USD or Sac).
 
nzone said:
For the cats to make any noise they better hope their defense can shut down and limit every offense they play to 20 or less AND work the clock with their running game because I don’t see that offense being a very high powered one scoring at will. I admit they have a good line and good running backs but any team who wants to move on has to have a good quarterback and the cats don’t...

Montana needs limit mistakes and has two games that need to go into the win column. South Dakota on the road and ewu at home. I don’t concern myself with msu until Griz/cat week.

You can book mark mark this if you'd like, you are going to be very surprised by the quality of the QB play for MSU in 2019. :thumb:
 
poorgriz said:
nzone said:
For the cats to make any noise they better hope their defense can shut down and limit every offense they play to 20 or less AND work the clock with their running game because I don’t see that offense being a very high powered one scoring at will. I admit they have a good line and good running backs but any team who wants to move on has to have a good quarterback and the cats don’t...

Montana needs limit mistakes and has two games that need to go into the win column. South Dakota on the road and ewu at home. I don’t concern myself with msu until Griz/cat week.

You can book mark mark this if you'd like, you are going to be very surprised by the quality of the QB play for MSU in 2019. :thumb:

LB post 3270. You told us time and again how they’d have the hands down #1 defense in the big sky last year too. It’s almost like you think if you say it enough it will come true. Your QB play has held your team back for 3 years straight. This year will be no different.
 
poorgriz said:
nzone said:
For the cats to make any noise they better hope their defense can shut down and limit every offense they play to 20 or less AND work the clock with their running game because I don’t see that offense being a very high powered one scoring at will. I admit they have a good line and good running backs but any team who wants to move on has to have a good quarterback and the cats don’t...

Montana needs limit mistakes and has two games that need to go into the win column. South Dakota on the road and ewu at home. I don’t concern myself with msu until Griz/cat week.

You can book mark mark this if you'd like, you are going to be very surprised by the quality of the QB play for MSU in 2019. :thumb:

So the quality will be worse than anyone expects, but not me.... I already predicted TA will be back behind center by game 4.
 
LV was a big-play producer. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=06szqeSaq1Q
watching the 8 minutes of fun


CDAGRIZ said:
bgbigdog said:
Segars 91 yards to the house, DeCoite, Disney & Disney to Talmage to put it away. Let’s hope for a 30-20 win to start the season. :thumb:

Man, I remember us getting ball in LV's hands at any point possible because he was electric. Hope to see the equivalent this season.
Disney & Disney to Talmage is fine work. Lol.
 
horribilisfan8184 said:
poorgriz said:
nzone said:
For the cats to make any noise they better hope their defense can shut down and limit every offense they play to 20 or less AND work the clock with their running game because I don’t see that offense being a very high powered one scoring at will. I admit they have a good line and good running backs but any team who wants to move on has to have a good quarterback and the cats don’t...

Montana needs limit mistakes and has two games that need to go into the win column. South Dakota on the road and ewu at home. I don’t concern myself with msu until Griz/cat week.

You can book mark mark this if you'd like, you are going to be very surprised by the quality of the QB play for MSU in 2019. :thumb:

So the quality will be worse than anyone expects, but not me.... I already predicted TA will be back behind center by game 4.

:lol:
 
HookedonGriz said:
poorgriz said:
nzone said:
For the cats to make any noise they better hope their defense can shut down and limit every offense they play to 20 or less AND work the clock with their running game because I don’t see that offense being a very high powered one scoring at will. I admit they have a good line and good running backs but any team who wants to move on has to have a good quarterback and the cats don’t...

Montana needs limit mistakes and has two games that need to go into the win column. South Dakota on the road and ewu at home. I don’t concern myself with msu until Griz/cat week.

You can book mark mark this if you'd like, you are going to be very surprised by the quality of the QB play for MSU in 2019. :thumb:

LB post 3270. You told us time and again how they’d have the hands down #1 defense in the big sky last year too. It’s almost like you think if you say it enough it will come true. Your QB play has held your team back for 3 years straight. This year will be no different.

BZZZZZZZT, incorrect. I never said we'd have hands down the best D in the Big Sky. All I ever said is that we'd have ONE OF the best defenses in the conference, and I was correct as usual. :clap:
 
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