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FCS Poll Guesses (Sept 15)

IdaGriz01

Well-known member
It made for an interesting weekend, with five ranked FCS team losing to FBS opponents. Add in three ranked teams that lost to other ranked FCS teams, and … “it’s complicated.”

#1 North Dakota State (3-0) [1]
#2 James Madison (2-1) [2]
#3 South Dakota State (2-1) [3]
#4 UC Davis (2-1) [5]
#5 Weber State (1-2) [6]
#6 Towson (3-0) [8]
#7 Kennesaw State (2-1) [9]
#8 Montana State (2-1) [10]
#9 EWU (1-2) [4]
#10 Northern Iowa (1-1) [11]
#11 Nicholls (1-1) [12]
#12 Maine (1-2) [7]
#13 Illinois State (2-1) [13]
#14 Central Arkansas (3-0) [14]
#15 NC A&T (2-1) [15]
#16 Furman (1-2) [16]
#17 Jacksonville State (2-1) [17]
#18 Montana (2-1) [20]
#19 SE Missouri State (1-2) [19]
#20 Villanova (3-0) [22]
#21 Elon (2-1) [25]
#22 Delaware (2-1) [18]
#23 SE Louisiana (1-1) [23]
#24 Indiana State (1-2) NR
#25 Stony Brook (2-1) NR

NR Wofford (0-2) [21]
NR SHSU (1-2) [24]

In the top-10, the EWU loss was on the road, to a ranked opponent, and the final score was fairly close. I think the Eags have a decent chance to stay in the top-10. But with the EWU loss and the close game Weber State played at Nevada, I’m expecting the Wildcats to nudge up.

I expect the pollsters to punish Maine at bit more because (1) they were at home and (2) they got pummeled by over three touchdowns. Actually, it would not surprise me to see Maine drop a bit more.

Furman played Virginia Tech tough, actually leading at the half. The pollsters may be impressed enough to even nudge them up one. On the other hand, Jacksonville State’s “upset” of EWU could earn them a small bump compared to my guess.

With Delaware losing rather badly at home (admittedly to the top FCS team), I figured they will drop at least four or five spots. That left a gap to allow the Griz to move up at least one. However, SEMO got pummeled by FBS Missouri, whereas the Griz beat the spread against ranked FBS Oregon. Hence, a move up to #18. Might the Griz move up more? Not out of the question, but I think unlikely … it was still a loss.

When you’re sitting below #20 and lose to an unranked opponent (at home or away), you usually get hammered out of the top-25. So I see Wofford and Sam Houston State gone. Replaced them with Indiana State and Stony Brook, the two top vote-getters below #25 last week that won. (Princeton did not play.)
 
With Montana loss to Oregon and their two wins, I have them much higher. They're a better team than where they started out in the polls at the beginning of the year. For that reason, I probably over corrected. I hate beginning of the year polls. I have the Griz in the top 10. We'll see at end of the year-the only poll that really counts. Thanks for doing this IDA.
 
rocklobster said:
With Montana loss to Oregon and their two wins, I have them much higher. They're a better team than where they started out in the polls at the beginning of the year. For that reason, I probably over corrected. I hate beginning of the year polls. I have the Griz in the top 10. We'll see at end of the year-the only poll that really counts. Thanks for doing this IDA.
Let's face it, polls are just guesses ... by a lot of people, to make it look "official." Pre-season polls are even bigger WAGs. Trouble is, hardly anyone seems to "take a step back" after three or four games and start again from scratch with real results. (I'd guess that some do, but they're out-voted by those who don't.) That means there's always that drag (or lift, for that matter) of the pre-season ranking until we get pretty deep into the season.

The only real value in polls is to kinda see what other people think of your team. And they give us something to talk about besides who's playing (or not), bonehead (or smart) play calls ... yada, yada, yada ...
 
Brian McLaughlin, who has a vote in the poll, dropped EWU to 24th. His reason: “No strong showing yet”.

He didn’t drop or raise Montana. His reason: “Don’t drop FBS loss teams”.
 
IdaGriz01 said:
rocklobster said:
With Montana loss to Oregon and their two wins, I have them much higher. They're a better team than where they started out in the polls at the beginning of the year. For that reason, I probably over corrected. I hate beginning of the year polls. I have the Griz in the top 10. We'll see at end of the year-the only poll that really counts. Thanks for doing this IDA.
Let's face it, polls are just guesses ... by a lot of people, to make it look "official." Pre-season polls are even bigger WAGs. Trouble is, hardly anyone seems to "take a step back" after three or four games and start again from scratch with real results. (I'd guess that some do, but they're out-voted by those who don't.) That means there's always that drag (or lift, for that matter) of the pre-season ranking until we get pretty deep into the season.

The only real value in polls is to kinda see what other people think of your team. And they give us something to talk about besides who's playing (or not), bonehead (or smart) play calls ... yada, yada, yada ...

:thumb:
Thanks Ida
 
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