grizindabox said:
Also, I think Simis is more the PSU/ISU QB and less the UND QB...so not sure what that does to your metric....
Yes, and choosing some data over other data is .... called what?
The fact is, he's done it. Nothing theoretical about that. Other than having Stitt constantly yelling his his face, there's no particular reason that a coach cannot play up to Makena's strengths. Its been done in outstanding fashion already, and it especially played to the strength of our wide receivers who also had arguably their best game of the season as well. JN did some blocking that was first class. There was a
team out there.
Stitt has got something in his playbook about short passes, running JN for two yards per play, getting flattened, and then missing 67% of third down conversions with Brady which he apparently thinks is hot stuff.
And the problem is the amazing consistency of that pattern, which he has apparently been wanting Makena to adopt because it worked so well for Brady. Makena's got some talents. They aren't Brady's.
Importantly, he can throw long balls without consistent overthrows.
And, aside from long balls, Makena can make the 3rd down conversions that the taller, brighter, stronger QB just can't. Makena's alleged inability to get second and third reads distinguishes him from Brady, whose alleged ability to do so constantly resulted in "miscommunications." It may be that Stitt wants Brady to move the game faster, the 90 play game, but cripes, that's what's causing the "miscommunications" and the 67% conversion failure rate. News Item: consistently throwing the ball away because of "miscommunications" is NOT because Brady is particularly good at reading his progressions, and the fact is that Makena's
significantly higher conversion rate is because he is doing a better job at reading "something."
The problem I have here is the complete lack of any statistical data that supports any prospect that Brady can win a game for the rest of the season schedule. There is just no basis for it. I keep reading that he "understands the playbook," and that everyone agrees he's the "man," but I cannot find in the statistical record any basis for that view whatsoever. It may be that he has some real talent with that powerful arm, but perhaps he's reading "The Playbook" too well. It's keeping him from demonstrating the talent this team needs to win.
The best statistics -- by far -- were pumped out by the kid that doesn't know the playbook, can't read plays, doesn't know how to throw, and is getting yelled at all the time. I'd say "The Playbook" may be the real problem here. Coach would do best to throw it out the window and look at the talent and ask "how can we design a game to make it work for them, rather than for me?"
As Mick Delaney pointed out early, "you don't want to be switching QBs in and out toward the end of the season," but part of the job here is to "manage" the QBs.
Brady was "managed" into a set of game metrics that will not win another game. Makena has been "managed" from talented, really exceptional performances, to being gun shy of playing football.
And today is Tuesday.