IdaGriz01
Well-known member
Crazy weekend for upsets: eight. That’s over a third of the ranked teams that actually played. Means there will be a major stirring of the pot, especially in the lower half.
Rank Guess, Team (Record), #Current Rank
#1 NDSU (9-1) [1]
#2 Montana State (9-0) [2]
#3 SDSU (7-2) [3]
#4 UC Davis (8-1) [4]
#5 South Dakota (6-2) [5]
#6 Southeast Missouri (8-1) [6]
#7 Montana (7-2) [8]
#8 Incarnate Word (7-2) [9]
#9 Idaho (6-3) [10]
#10 Mercer (8-1) [12]
#11 Villanova (7-2) [13]
#12 Rhode Island (8-1) [14]
#13 Richmond (7-2) [16]
#14 Tarleton State (7-2) [7]
#15 Abilene Christian (6-3) [17\
#16 Stony Brook (7-2) [20]
#17 Illinois State (6-3) [21]
#18 Harvard (6-1) [NR]
#19 Western Carolina (5-4) [NR]
#20 Central Arkansas (6-3) ]11]
#21 William & Mary (6-3) [24]
#22 UT Martin (6-3) [NR]
#23 North Dakota (5-4) [15]
#24 Chattanooga (5-4) [18]
#25 SC State (6-2) [NR]
NC Central (6-3) [19]
Dartmouth (6-1) [22]
ETSU (5-4) [23]
Tennessee State (6-3) [25]
The loss by Tarleton State is not really a shocker, IMO. The Texans have been coasting along on a soft schedule (except for the loss to Baylor). The combined records of their FCS opponents is 26-41 … and after this weekend, Eastern Kentucky is the only one with a winning record. The question is: Will the pollsters be as “kind” to them as I have been? Of course, with them dropping down the Griz and several other teams move up.
The loss by Cenrral Arkansas at Utah Tech (1-9) IS a shocker, although Bears have also played a relatively weak schedule. I expect the pollsters to hammer them pretty hard.
North Dakota continues its free-fall, having lost three of its last four games. I used my standard, more or less, to drop them. However, it would not surprise me if the pollsters dropped them completely out of the Top-25.
After that, we get to the bloodbath, with five ranked teams losing to unranked opponents. Of those, I’m guessing that only Chattanooga will survive in the Top-25. So then I had get creative in selecting replacements.The easy calls (often preferred by the pollsters) was to bump up those unranked teams that upset the ranked teams. Hence: Western Carolina over Chattanooga, UT Martin over Tennessee State, Harvard over Dartmouth, and South Carolina State over North Carolina Central. I feel comfortable with the general result, although exactly where they end up in the Top-25 is pretty much a crapshoot.
Rank Guess, Team (Record), #Current Rank
#1 NDSU (9-1) [1]
#2 Montana State (9-0) [2]
#3 SDSU (7-2) [3]
#4 UC Davis (8-1) [4]
#5 South Dakota (6-2) [5]
#6 Southeast Missouri (8-1) [6]
#7 Montana (7-2) [8]
#8 Incarnate Word (7-2) [9]
#9 Idaho (6-3) [10]
#10 Mercer (8-1) [12]
#11 Villanova (7-2) [13]
#12 Rhode Island (8-1) [14]
#13 Richmond (7-2) [16]
#14 Tarleton State (7-2) [7]
#15 Abilene Christian (6-3) [17\
#16 Stony Brook (7-2) [20]
#17 Illinois State (6-3) [21]
#18 Harvard (6-1) [NR]
#19 Western Carolina (5-4) [NR]
#20 Central Arkansas (6-3) ]11]
#21 William & Mary (6-3) [24]
#22 UT Martin (6-3) [NR]
#23 North Dakota (5-4) [15]
#24 Chattanooga (5-4) [18]
#25 SC State (6-2) [NR]
NC Central (6-3) [19]
Dartmouth (6-1) [22]
ETSU (5-4) [23]
Tennessee State (6-3) [25]
The loss by Tarleton State is not really a shocker, IMO. The Texans have been coasting along on a soft schedule (except for the loss to Baylor). The combined records of their FCS opponents is 26-41 … and after this weekend, Eastern Kentucky is the only one with a winning record. The question is: Will the pollsters be as “kind” to them as I have been? Of course, with them dropping down the Griz and several other teams move up.
The loss by Cenrral Arkansas at Utah Tech (1-9) IS a shocker, although Bears have also played a relatively weak schedule. I expect the pollsters to hammer them pretty hard.
North Dakota continues its free-fall, having lost three of its last four games. I used my standard, more or less, to drop them. However, it would not surprise me if the pollsters dropped them completely out of the Top-25.
After that, we get to the bloodbath, with five ranked teams losing to unranked opponents. Of those, I’m guessing that only Chattanooga will survive in the Top-25. So then I had get creative in selecting replacements.The easy calls (often preferred by the pollsters) was to bump up those unranked teams that upset the ranked teams. Hence: Western Carolina over Chattanooga, UT Martin over Tennessee State, Harvard over Dartmouth, and South Carolina State over North Carolina Central. I feel comfortable with the general result, although exactly where they end up in the Top-25 is pretty much a crapshoot.
