So who will it be guys? From what I gave heard ISU and MSU are having tough seasons this year (which means I will be real nervous when the griz play them ) From what I have seen and heard PSU will be really tough but I know nothing about the rest of the sky. I asssume that WSU and EWU will be tough again. So lets hear you picks for how the conference race will end.
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Who will win the Big SKY
- Thread starter Mavman
- Start date
TrueGriz
Well-known member
In the order of RPI as of yesterday will be the order I will predict according to collegerpi.com
1. PSU
2. Montana
3. NAU
4. ISU
5. EWU
6. WSU
7. Sac St
8. MSU
PSU is rated at 116. No other big sky team is ranked above 200. This is one BAD BAD BAD conference. This conference will provide the 65th seed in the NCAA tournament.
1. PSU
2. Montana
3. NAU
4. ISU
5. EWU
6. WSU
7. Sac St
8. MSU
PSU is rated at 116. No other big sky team is ranked above 200. This is one BAD BAD BAD conference. This conference will provide the 65th seed in the NCAA tournament.
TrueGriz
Well-known member
Actually, I made a mistake. UM and NAU are rated above 200. Both are below 150. But to have 5 teams below 200 and 2 below 300 is just not very good. I believe the Big Sky is among the bottom 5 conferences in division 1.
The collegerpi.com didn't have the conference ranking, but the information is there for anybody to figure it out.
Plus, the formula that this uses is likely not the exact one that the NCAA uses (which really isn't disclosed to anyone). But, this site has been relatively close in past years.
The collegerpi.com didn't have the conference ranking, but the information is there for anybody to figure it out.
Plus, the formula that this uses is likely not the exact one that the NCAA uses (which really isn't disclosed to anyone). But, this site has been relatively close in past years.
The Big Sky is ranked 28th out of 31 conferences.
As long as there isn't too big of an upset in the BSC tournament, then the Big Sky Conference bid will be a 13-15 seed as usual. Usually there are a couple of conference tourney upsets and those teams are usually the 16's or play-in teams. If the team that wins the Big Sky tourney ends up in the top 150, then they'll end up where BSC teams usually do.
Portland State is at 153, Montana is at 165 and NAU is at 187 as of today.
Those are the 3 teams that will battle for the bid.
As long as there isn't too big of an upset in the BSC tournament, then the Big Sky Conference bid will be a 13-15 seed as usual. Usually there are a couple of conference tourney upsets and those teams are usually the 16's or play-in teams. If the team that wins the Big Sky tourney ends up in the top 150, then they'll end up where BSC teams usually do.
Portland State is at 153, Montana is at 165 and NAU is at 187 as of today.
Those are the 3 teams that will battle for the bid.
One thing about being the 65 seed is you get a nationally televised game on ESPN 2 (or ESPN if there aren't any other games on). And you stand a much better chance of winning that game and then getting thumped by the #1 seed rather than coming in as a 15 or 16 seed and getting creamed in your first game.
CollegeRPI.com came out with a projected RPI at the end of the season today. It's predicted by comparing current RPI's with the home team earning a 0.035 bonus. Using that logic, Montana goes 12-2 in conference with losses at NAU and PSU.
Here's the list:
TEAM.........................Current RPI......Predicted RPI.....Record
Portland State...........0.5057...151......0.5294...125.....20-6(12-2)
Montana.....................0.4929...171......0.5223...131.....18-9(12-2)
Northern Arizona.......0.4812...192......0.5157...145.....19-8(12-2)
Idaho State................0.4416...243......0.4364...238.....13-14(6-8)
Weber State...............0.4126...285......0.4149...271.....10-16(5-9)
Eastern Washington...0.4172...280......0.4120...277......8-19(5-9)
Sacramento State......0.4017...300......0.3988...293......4-19(4-10)
Montana State............0.3624...321......0.3247...328......5-22(0-14)
It's not exactly the best way to predict the rest of the season, but its the numbers way to do it. I think the most important thing it shows is that this is basically a three team conference this year. WSU, EWU and SAC will be tough to beat, but I don't think they'll be towards the top of the conference this year.
ISU does not get any respect from me until they win a couple of tough BSC games. With their lineup, I don't see them winning too many games.
Here's the list:
TEAM.........................Current RPI......Predicted RPI.....Record
Portland State...........0.5057...151......0.5294...125.....20-6(12-2)
Montana.....................0.4929...171......0.5223...131.....18-9(12-2)
Northern Arizona.......0.4812...192......0.5157...145.....19-8(12-2)
Idaho State................0.4416...243......0.4364...238.....13-14(6-8)
Weber State...............0.4126...285......0.4149...271.....10-16(5-9)
Eastern Washington...0.4172...280......0.4120...277......8-19(5-9)
Sacramento State......0.4017...300......0.3988...293......4-19(4-10)
Montana State............0.3624...321......0.3247...328......5-22(0-14)
It's not exactly the best way to predict the rest of the season, but its the numbers way to do it. I think the most important thing it shows is that this is basically a three team conference this year. WSU, EWU and SAC will be tough to beat, but I don't think they'll be towards the top of the conference this year.
ISU does not get any respect from me until they win a couple of tough BSC games. With their lineup, I don't see them winning too many games.
