• Hi Guest, want to participate in the discussions, keep track of read/unread posts access private forums and more? Create your free account and increase the benefits of your eGriz.com experience today!

Upset Guesses (Nov 15)

Where are the upsets?

  • #23 Indi State (6-4) at #15 YSU (7-3)

    Votes: 13 31.7%
  • #13 McNeese (6-3) at #10 SELA (7-3)

    Votes: 13 31.7%
  • #25 JMU (7-3) at #14 Richmond (7-3)

    Votes: 13 31.7%
  • Southern Ill (6-4) vs #11 UNI (6-4)

    Votes: 18 43.9%
  • Albany (6-4) at #6 Villanova (8-2)

    Votes: 1 2.4%
  • Sac Heart (8-2) vs #21 Bryant (8-1)

    Votes: 4 9.8%
  • Delaware (6-4) at 1 UNH (8-1)

    Votes: 8 19.5%

  • Total voters
    41

IdaGriz01

Well-known member
Only three games for this coming weekend have ranked teams facing each other. However, there are still some other decent matchups ... and several that have really important ramifications.

The JMU-Richmond games is important for both teams, but it’s desperately so for Richmond. If the Spiders lose, and go 7-4, then they have to win on the road at W&M to even be in the playoff conversation. JMU at least gets to face pathetic Elon (1-9), at home, for their final game.

The stakes are also high for the YSU-Indiana State game. Indiana State literally cannot afford to lose. They pick up a fifth loss, they can kiss off any chance at an at-large bid. But YSU has to play at NDSU for their final game ... and are highly likely to lose that one. So that (probable) loss, on top of a loss to Indi-State takes them out of the picture.

Both teams in the SIU-UNI game have four losses. The loser, with five losses, is pretty well toast for a bid. Yes, UNI has been on a roll, but I do not think even they would get a bid if they had five losses.

The Sacred Heart-Bryant game is equally important. This is the final game of the year for SH. If they win, they win the conference: They already have the tie-breaker over Wagner (which is third in the conference), and a win would put Bryant at 4-1 ... and SH would also have that tie-breaker. Bryant, obviously, needs to win to give SH two losses and put them out of the picture. Of course, Bryant still has to play Wagner, so they will have some more work to do even if they win.

The Delaware-UNH game is vitally important for both teams, in radically different ways. Delaware cannot afford to pick up a fifth loss, or they are out of even a remote chance for an at-large bid. Since they still have to play Villanova, their case looks pretty hopeless ... but if they were to pull off both upsets, they probably would get a bid. New Hampshire is going to get a bid, but I’m sure they’d like to get a high seed. They also have to play Maine -- which just proved they can upset anybody -- so a loss really weakens their case for a high seed.

Underdog on left, 2 choices.
 
UNI let down game after a big win Saturday. UNH has a target now and a semi-capable opponent playing for their playoff life.
 
bandit218 said:
UNI let down game after a big win Saturday. UNH has a target now and a semi-capable opponent playing for their playoff life.
I voted that way myself. SIU has to be desperate at this point, and they are at home. Between that, and a very natural let-down for UNI, I think the Salukis have a decent chance to pull it out.
 
Still piling on UNI, I see.

I'm somewhat surprise at how many are picking an upset of #1 UNH. Don't they have a long (8-12) home winning streak?
 
Grizzlies1982 said:
No upsets this week.
Nation wide there won't be a lower ranked team winning this weekend.
Book it Dan oh.
Well ... "I admire your spunk." :D

So far, to my recollection for this year, that has not happened. Maybe it will.

But you raise an interesting point, which I think I'll check out.
 
Upsets Happen
We have come close to zero upsets ... at least among the matchups I used for my upset guesses. I know there have been a few really unexpected upsets that I did not include in the poll. But not many, and not worth the trouble to dig out.

Anyway, we have yet to get through a weekend without at least one upset. That includes the couple weeks at the start of the season when I didn’t post a poll.
In Week 1, we had:
NDSU “upset” Iowa State (I know, ISU is a s****y FBS, but most football fans considered it an upset.)
BTW, Villanova almost upset FBS Syracuse, 26-27 in double OT.
Bethune-Cookman upset FBS Florida International (another crappy FBS, but still … )

In week 2, EWU had a shootout with UW and came within a TD of an upset.
E. Kentucky upset FBS Miami (OH).

Week 3 – Seven poll choices, two upsets:
Illinois State upset #25 E. Illinois
Bryant upset #23 Maine

Week 4 – Six choices, one upset: SC State over #21 Furman

Week 5: Six choices, two upsets:
Indiana State upset #22 Liberty
#12 W&M needed OT to avoid an upset by Stony Brook

Week 6 – Seven choices, four upsets (bumper crop):
#25 Indiana State upset #10 UNI
#22 Illinios State upset #9 SDSU
Sacred Heat upset #24 Delaware
SEMO upset #21 Tennessee State

Week 7 – Seven choices:
#20 Indiana State upset #15 Illinois State
Charleston So almost upset Vanderbilt 20-21

Week 8 – Seven choices:
#21 YSU upset #14 SIU
NW State upset #24 SHSU

Week 9 – Seven choices:
#17 YSU upset #13 SDSU
#22 Indiana State upset #20 SIU
SF Austin upset #8 SE Louisiana

Week 10 – Seven choices:
#13 Richmond upset #4 Villanova
#22 UNI upset #7 Illinois State
JMU upset #17 W&M

Week 11 – Seven choices (another bumper crop):
SDSU upset #7 Indiana State
#12 Illinois State upset #10 YSU
#19 UNI upset #1 NDSU
SF Austin upset #6 McNeese State
 
Okay, who's the wise guy picking Albany to upset Villanova on 'Nova's home turf?
:lol: :lol:

(Does he/she know something the rest of us don't?)
 
IdaGriz01 said:
Okay, who's the wise guy picking Albany to upset Villanova on 'Nova's home turf?
:lol: :lol:

(Does he/she know something the rest of us don't?)
Then again, maybe it was a mouse-slip. :P
 
UNI is the real deal. They've got a top 5 offense and defense and ranked in the top 5 in Power and Overall Performance. UNI will probably win it all.
 
NLGrizFan said:
UNI is the real deal. They've got a top 5 offense and defense and ranked in the top 5 in Power and Overall Performance. UNI will probably win it all.
You could be right. But first, they have to get through SIU. The Salukis don't have the gaudy numbers like UNI, but they're not bad. And, like most teams, they can be tough at home.
 
Still no faith in Albany ... except for the one "out-lier."

I'm a bit surprised at how many people think UNH can be beat at their place.
 
NLGrizFan said:
UNI is the real deal. They've got a top 5 offense and defense and ranked in the top 5 in Power and Overall Performance. UNI will probably win it all.

You may be right but nobody has ever made money betting on No. Iowa to win it all.
 
Grizzlies1982 said:
No upsets this week.
Nation wide there won't be a lower ranked team winning this weekend.
Book it Dan oh.
That didn't last long. :D

Thursday night: Hampton over #20 Bethune-Cookman, 40-35.
Of course, I considered this one so unlikely, I didn't put it on the poll. :oops:
 
IdaGriz01 said:
Grizzlies1982 said:
No upsets this week.
Nation wide there won't be a lower ranked team winning this weekend.
Book it Dan oh.
That didn't last long. :D

Thursday night: Hampton over #20 Bethune-Cookman, 40-35.
Of course, I considered this one so unlikely, I didn't put it on the poll. :oops:

I'm pretty sure that 82 was referring to the Shabbos. :?
 
Ursa Major said:
IdaGriz01 said:
Grizzlies1982 said:
No upsets this week.
Nation wide there won't be a lower ranked team winning this weekend.
Book it Dan oh.
That didn't last long. :D

Thursday night: Hampton over #20 Bethune-Cookman, 40-35.
Of course, I considered this one so unlikely, I didn't put it on the poll. :oops:

I'm pretty sure that 82 was referring to the Shabbos. :?

'82 can take it like a man. I was wrong.
It is the first time it has ever happened. Don't expect it to happen again. That is all. :ugeek:
 
Not bad, even though I didn't include the upset of Bethune-Cookman by Hampton. Three of the seven I did put on the poll were indeed upsets. However, our top vote-getter, the UNI game, was not one of them.
I had that one myself, based on the Salukis being at home and needing the win so badly. :(
Oh well, I also picked the Sacred Heart win -- so I had that one right. :)
 
Back
Top