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UM @ North Dakota Score prediction

Was just perusing the stats over at the Big Sky website, and by the numbers this could be an entertaining match up.

Montana and North Dakota are both ranked 1st and 2nd in Scoring Defense, Total Defense, and Sacks respectively. And by the numbers, Montana's offense looks fairly pedestrian by Big Sky standards, ranking anywhere from 6th to 10th in the main offensive categories.

An interesting stat to me is that Montana is near the bottom of the conference in Time of Possession.

You wouldn't really think it, but on paper, these look like two fairly closely matched teams. I think it could play out a lot like our game against Stony Brook game. Low scoring and points are going to be at a premium. Whoever gets up by two scores is going to be in the driver seat.
 
bincitysioux said:
Was just perusing the stats over at the Big Sky website, and by the numbers this could be an entertaining match up.

Montana and North Dakota are both ranked 1st and 2nd in Scoring Defense, Total Defense, and Sacks respectively. And by the numbers, Montana's offense looks fairly pedestrian by Big Sky standards, ranking anywhere from 6th to 10th in the main offensive categories.

An interesting stat to me is that Montana is near the bottom of the conference in Time of Possession.

You wouldn't really think it, but on paper, these look like two fairly closely matched teams. I think it could play out a lot like our game against Stony Brook game. Low scoring and points are going to be at a premium. Whoever gets up by two scores is going to be in the driver seat.
Click to expand...

All well and good, except your OOC games are against Stony Brook and Robert Morris, while our are against Wyoming and NDSU. Hence the saying "there's lies, damned lies, and statistics." Griz by 17.
 
AZGrizFan said:
bincitysioux said:
Was just perusing the stats over at the Big Sky website, and by the numbers this could be an entertaining match up.

Montana and North Dakota are both ranked 1st and 2nd in Scoring Defense, Total Defense, and Sacks respectively. And by the numbers, Montana's offense looks fairly pedestrian by Big Sky standards, ranking anywhere from 6th to 10th in the main offensive categories.

An interesting stat to me is that Montana is near the bottom of the conference in Time of Possession.

You wouldn't really think it, but on paper, these look like two fairly closely matched teams. I think it could play out a lot like our game against Stony Brook game. Low scoring and points are going to be at a premium. Whoever gets up by two scores is going to be in the driver seat.
Click to expand...

All well and good, except your OOC games are against Stony Brook and Robert Morris, while our are against Wyoming and NDSU. Hence the saying "there's lies, damned lies, and statistics." Griz by 17.
Click to expand...

Good post.

I would also add a comment about TOP. Allot of the Griz scoring has come quickly, on big plays. They lost TOP in a 38-13 win over UNC. That is often an overrated, meaningless stat. See Oregon.

24-10 Griz
 
Raider said:
AZGrizFan said:
bincitysioux said:
Was just perusing the stats over at the Big Sky website, and by the numbers this could be an entertaining match up.

Montana and North Dakota are both ranked 1st and 2nd in Scoring Defense, Total Defense, and Sacks respectively. And by the numbers, Montana's offense looks fairly pedestrian by Big Sky standards, ranking anywhere from 6th to 10th in the main offensive categories.

An interesting stat to me is that Montana is near the bottom of the conference in Time of Possession.

You wouldn't really think it, but on paper, these look like two fairly closely matched teams. I think it could play out a lot like our game against Stony Brook game. Low scoring and points are going to be at a premium. Whoever gets up by two scores is going to be in the driver seat.
Click to expand...

All well and good, except your OOC games are against Stony Brook and Robert Morris, while our are against Wyoming and NDSU. Hence the saying "there's lies, damned lies, and statistics." Griz by 17.
Click to expand...

Good post.

I would also add a comment about TOP. Allot of the Griz scoring has come quickly, on big plays. They lost TOP in a 38-13 win over UNC. That is often an overrated, meaningless stat. See Oregon.

24-10 Griz
Click to expand...

Meaningless for the offense but most certainly not the defense. Oregon is bad comparison as they have greater depth, and can rotate deeper on defense to keep "fresh legs" in.
 
34-17 GRIZ, 1st team defense plays terrific. 1 TD given up in garbage time by our back ups. GRIZ up comfortably at the half, and we see another hohum 2nd half.
 
Reality is that this UND team has the players to compete, yet lacks the consistency to put forth a team ready to consistently hang with the top teams in the big sky. That said this is in their house and they are improved, so il say 35-17 griz. If griz come out flat I the second half, they'll definitely have an opponent capable of beating them in this one, however, if the griz play to even 1/2 their potential they win this one with ease. UND is still at least 2-3 years and some great coaching from being a top dog in this league IMO
 
hm.grwn.grizfan said:
Reality is that this UND team has the players to compete, yet lacks the consistency to put forth a team ready to consistently hang with the top teams in the big sky. That said this is in their house and they are improved, so il say 35-17 griz. If griz come out flat I the second half, they'll definitely have an opponent capable of beating them in this one, however, if the griz play to even 1/2 their potential they win this one with ease. UND is still at least 2-3 years and some great coaching from being a top dog in this league IMO
Click to expand...

Good points. Their defense is starting to look like defenses of UND years ago, unfortunately for them the offense is not good. Hard to look at last weeks game for either the Cats or the Sioux (they will always be the Sioux to me) ,with the wind and rain, for comparison. I expect a low scoring game, 20-10, or 17-10.
 
Defense should do their thing, so this will come down to how well the offense performs against what appears to be a decent defense. The first quarter offense for the Griz last game looked great, but as has been well discussed, fell flat after halftime. This game can either be a blowout or a too close W, all depending on how the offense shows up.

GRIZ - 31

North Dakota - 14
 
Robsnotes4u said:
hm.grwn.grizfan said:
Reality is that this UND team has the players to compete, yet lacks the consistency to put forth a team ready to consistently hang with the top teams in the big sky. That said this is in their house and they are improved, so il say 35-17 griz. If griz come out flat I the second half, they'll definitely have an opponent capable of beating them in this one, however, if the griz play to even 1/2 their potential they win this one with ease. UND is still at least 2-3 years and some great coaching from being a top dog in this league IMO
Click to expand...

Good points. Their defense is starting to look like defenses of UND years ago, unfortunately for them the offense is not good. Hard to look at last weeks game for either the Cats or the Sioux (they will always be the Sioux to me) ,with the wind and rain, for comparison. I expect a low scoring game, 20-10, or 17-10.
Click to expand...

Serious question: Last year we put up 609 yards and 55 points on them in their house, winning 55-17 going away. Have they gotten that much better, or have we gotten that much worse?
 
AZGrizFan said:
Robsnotes4u said:
hm.grwn.grizfan said:
Reality is that this UND team has the players to compete, yet lacks the consistency to put forth a team ready to consistently hang with the top teams in the big sky. That said this is in their house and they are improved, so il say 35-17 griz. If griz come out flat I the second half, they'll definitely have an opponent capable of beating them in this one, however, if the griz play to even 1/2 their potential they win this one with ease. UND is still at least 2-3 years and some great coaching from being a top dog in this league IMO
Click to expand...

Good points. Their defense is starting to look like defenses of UND years ago, unfortunately for them the offense is not good. Hard to look at last weeks game for either the Cats or the Sioux (they will always be the Sioux to me) ,with the wind and rain, for comparison. I expect a low scoring game, 20-10, or 17-10.
Click to expand...

Serious question: Last year we put up 609 yards and 55 points on them in their house, winning 55-17 going away. Have they gotten that much better, or have we gotten that much worse?
Click to expand...

Maybe they have more swagger this year?
 
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