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UC Davis Predictions.

This is the game that determines the rest of the season (or at least a loss practically guarantees we won’t make the playoffs). Good guys win 27-24
 
Aggie fan here.....

Davis defense is tough but the offense is sputtering (lots of yards last week.....but CP)
Lan Larison out, Trent Tompkins banged up, Checkdown McGee behind center.
Davis always has a hard time beating EWU and Montana, now matter how good the Aggies are.
Montana 24 Davis 21
 
SochorField said:
Aggie fan here.....

Davis defense is tough but the offense is sputtering (lots of yards last week.....but CP)
Lan Larison out, Trent Tompkins banged up, Checkdown McGee behind center.
Davis always has a hard time beating EWU and Montana, now matter how good the Aggies are.
Montana 24 Davis 21

I guess I assumed we were the only shitshow in town…apparently not.

So you’re telling me there’s a chance???
 
Davis wins by 3. Neither team gets to 20 points. Home field advantage prevails.

Both teams have been performing under expectations. Both teams have good Ds and sporadic Os.

If the game was at UM, I would pick the Griz to win.

Not to worry though, I suck at predictions. :-)
 
If they start Vidlak and he plays the whole game then we will lose. But if they stick with McDowell then we have a really good chance of winning.
 
The optimistic side of the coin is that this iteration of the Griz has performed well against the old guard of the Big Sky such as Best, Hawkins, and Barnum. I think that will influence the game and keep things close for us.

The downside is that this will be a very balanced team playing at home, with likely the most overall talented roster we’ve seen yet.

I think that our defense will play well, but Davis wins it 24-17
 
28-20 but game won't be as close as the score indicates. 5-1 and we are on to the next game....that one has me a little nervous but a good game Saturday might ease some of the that.
 
Coming into last weekend, the Bengals were allowing 7.0 YPC and 291 YPG on the ground.

The Griz only managed 3.4 and 174 respectively, despite making the transition to McDowell and being at home. The narrative among some commentators coming out of this game that UM ran the ball well is totally false. It was frankly an embarrassing showing, given the opponent.

U.C. Davis' run defense allows 4.2 YPC and 145 YPG. Unless there is just a crazy jump in week 2 of the McDowell "era," I think the Griz get totally stifled on offense and this one gets really ugly.
 
Lord Vigo said:
Coming into last weekend, the Bengals were allowing 7.0 YPC and 291 YPG on the ground.

The Griz only managed 3.4 and 174 respectively, despite making the transition to McDowell and being at home. The narrative among some commentators coming out of this game that UM ran the ball well is totally false. It was frankly an embarrassing showing, given the opponent.

U.C. Davis' run defense allows 4.2 YPC and 145 YPG. Unless there is just a crazy jump in week 2 of the McDowell "era," I think the Griz get totally stifled on offense and this one gets really ugly.
I agree with the general point you're making, but you're including 2 FBS games in there, which is a little bit of a stretch.

Against FCS teams, they allowed 4.8 ypc and 190 on the ground on average before they played us, granted that was pass-happy UNI and allegedly dogshit UNC.

Davis has also played Cal Poly and SUU, both teams who are near the bottom of all of FCS in rushing per game.

They could very well stymie our ground game, but the raw stats are a little misleading.
 
uofmman1122 said:
Lord Vigo said:
Coming into last weekend, the Bengals were allowing 7.0 YPC and 291 YPG on the ground.

The Griz only managed 3.4 and 174 respectively, despite making the transition to McDowell and being at home. The narrative among some commentators coming out of this game that UM ran the ball well is totally false. It was frankly an embarrassing showing, given the opponent.

U.C. Davis' run defense allows 4.2 YPC and 145 YPG. Unless there is just a crazy jump in week 2 of the McDowell "era," I think the Griz get totally stifled on offense and this one gets really ugly.
I agree with the general point you're making, but you're including 2 FBS games in there, which is a little bit of a stretch.

Against FCS teams, they allowed 4.8 ypc and 190 on the ground on average before they played us, granted that was pass-happy UNI and allegedly poop UNC.

Davis has also played Cal Poly and SUU, both teams who are near the bottom of all of FCS in rushing per game.

They could very well stymie our ground game, but the raw stats are a little misleading.

What’s that old saying? “There are liars, damned liars, and statisticians.”
 
PDXGrizzly said:
uofmman1122 said:
I agree with the general point you're making, but you're including 2 FBS games in there, which is a little bit of a stretch.

Against FCS teams, they allowed 4.8 ypc and 190 on the ground on average before they played us, granted that was pass-happy UNI and allegedly poop UNC.

Davis has also played Cal Poly and SUU, both teams who are near the bottom of all of FCS in rushing per game.

They could very well stymie our ground game, but the raw stats are a little misleading.

What’s that old saying? “There are liars, damned liars, and statisticians.”
I mean, the stats certainly aren't good for us this year. lol

But stats without context are a lot less useful than stats with context.
 
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