The Big Sky Conference Playoff Picture

[Paytonlives]

Possible Playoff Teams
Weber State (5-0) 7-2
(Home vs. North Dakota, at Montana & Home vs Idaho State)
Sacramento State (4-1) 6-3
(at NAU, at Spuds and Home vs. Davis)
Montana (4-1) 7-2
(Home vs. Idaho, Home vs. Weber at kittens)
Kittens (3-2) 6-3
(at North Colorado, at Davis & Home vs. Montana)

Out of the Playoffs/ need a miricle
Eastern Washington (3-2) 4-5
Portland State (3-3) 5-5
Idaho (3-3) 4-5
Northern Arizona (2-3) 4-5
California-Davis (2-3) 4-5
Northern Colorado (2-3) 2-7
Idaho State (2-4) 3-6
Cal Poly (1-5) 2-7
Southern Utah (1-5) 2-8

 

[Paytonlives]

For the Griz a conference champ is right there for them.

Win out (Not easy but possible) and have Sac State lose one game.
Sac State QB Thomson was injured vs Weber.

 

[grzz]

Only thing I would add is if Davis wins out they would reach seven D1 wins, and the way some conferences are beating each other up this year I don't think as many schools are going to reach eight D1 wins as people are thinking. Would be on the bubble, but is a possibility especially because that would include wins over ranked MSU and ranked Sac to end the year.

 

[zootownrox]

For the Griz a conference champ is right there for them.

Win out (Not easy but possible) and have Sac State lose one game.
Sac State QB Thomson was injured vs Weber.

Don’t need Sac to lose another. If we win out Weber and Sac and us have one loss, tie for conference championship and we get auto bid due to Sagarin ranking tie breaker.

 

[grizaremoregooder]

Only thing I would add is if Davis wins out they would reach seven D1 wins, and the way some conferences are beating each other up this year I don't think as many schools are going to reach eight D1 wins as people are thinking. Would be on the bubble, but is a possibility especially because that would include wins over ranked MSU and ranked Sac to end the year.

Davis is in if they win out.

 

[Paytonlives]

For the Griz a conference champ is right there for them.

Win out (Not easy but possible) and have Sac State lose one game.
Sac State QB Thomson was injured vs Weber.

Don’t need Sac to lose another. If we win out Weber and Sac and us have one loss, tie for conference championship and we get auto bid due to Sagarin ranking tie breaker.

Yep forgot about the tie breaker.

 

[BWahlberg]

Only thing I would add is if Davis wins out they would reach seven D1 wins, and the way some conferences are beating each other up this year I don't think as many schools are going to reach eight D1 wins as people are thinking. Would be on the bubble, but is a possibility especially because that would include wins over ranked MSU and ranked Sac to end the year.

Davis is in if they win out.

Maybe... I would bet they'd be a bubble team still.

There's some other factors too with ranked teams like Kennesaw (who probably don't deserve to be) that could maybe coast by in a weak conference and then not get the auto-bid, but get an at-large, and steal a bubble team spot.

Additionally UND is in the argument here too. They're an interesting scenario because they have Weber, SUU, and UNC left. If they win out they should be a lock to get in. But they're most likely going to finish 2-1 down the stretch. UND oddly only had 11 games booked this year, and so if they finish out 2-1 they'll be 7-4 on the season.

Let's say both UCD and UND finish with 7 wins. UCD will be on a hot streak having beat MSU and Sac... hard to ignore that. UND though beat UCD, and has another signature win as well against MSU. I would bet the committee may look at UCD a little more favorably as they would have back to back weeks of wins against ranked teams, but kind of interesting to look at.

 

[grzz]

Only thing I would add is if Davis wins out they would reach seven D1 wins, and the way some conferences are beating each other up this year I don't think as many schools are going to reach eight D1 wins as people are thinking. Would be on the bubble, but is a possibility especially because that would include wins over ranked MSU and ranked Sac to end the year.

Davis is in if they win out.

Maybe... I would bet they'd be a bubble team still.

There's some other factors too with ranked teams like Kennesaw (who probably don't deserve to be) that could maybe coast by in a weak conference and then not get the auto-bid, but get an at-large, and steal a bubble team spot.

Additionally UND is in the argument here too. They're an interesting scenario because they have Weber, SUU, and UNC left. If they win out they should be a lock to get in. But they're most likely going to finish 2-1 down the stretch. UND oddly only had 11 games booked this year, and so if they finish out 2-1 they'll be 7-4 on the season.

Let's say both UCD and UND finish with 7 wins. UCD will be on a hot streak having beat MSU and Sac... hard to ignore that. UND though beat UCD, and has another signature win as well against MSU. I would bet the committee may look at UCD a little more favorably as they would have back to back weeks of wins against ranked teams, but kind of interesting to look at.

Yeah, that loss to UND doesn't help them. However, in this scenario, the cats probably aren't making the playoffs with losses to UCD and Montana to end their season so the only other Big Sky playoff teams would be Weber and UM. I could see them both getting in if that is how it plays out.

 

[BozAngelesGriz]

Only thing I would add is if Davis wins out they would reach seven D1 wins, and the way some conferences are beating each other up this year I don't think as many schools are going to reach eight D1 wins as people are thinking. Would be on the bubble, but is a possibility especially because that would include wins over ranked MSU and ranked Sac to end the year.

Davis is in if they win out.

Maybe... I would bet they'd be a bubble team still.

There's some other factors too with ranked teams like Kennesaw (who probably don't deserve to be) that could maybe coast by in a weak conference and then not get the auto-bid, but get an at-large, and steal a bubble team spot.

Additionally UND is in the argument here too. They're an interesting scenario because they have Weber, SUU, and UNC left. If they win out they should be a lock to get in. But they're most likely going to finish 2-1 down the stretch. UND oddly only had 11 games booked this year, and so if they finish out 2-1 they'll be 7-4 on the season.

Let's say both UCD and UND finish with 7 wins. UCD will be on a hot streak having beat MSU and Sac... hard to ignore that. UND though beat UCD, and has another signature win as well against MSU. I would bet the committee may look at UCD a little more favorably as they would have back to back weeks of wins against ranked teams, but kind of interesting to look at.

Yeah, that loss to UND doesn't help them. However, in this scenario, the cats probably aren't making the playoffs with losses to UCD and Montana to end their season so the only other Big Sky playoff teams would be Weber and UM. I could see them both getting in if that is how it plays out.

I bet the cats beat Davis