SeaGrizluvr
Well-known member
EverettGriz said:putter said:EverettGriz said:putter said:Yep and my point was you cant take anything for granted. Even mighty Weber can stumble. Like a prior post said, you have to take advantage when you get the breaks and UM and Weber did that in their OT games this year. Griz still have a 1 game lead with their final road game ahead. Will be a tough one but if they can get past that one I like their chances at home for the final 2
If they beat SUU, they don't even need to win their final two. They would only need to win one of them to clinch. Griz are in great shape. They're even in good shape with a loss at SUU, because the cats have the tie-break over SUU.
So the Griz would still host even if they lost one of their final 3?
Well, if they beat SUU and then lose to either UNC or NAU at home, then yes, your assumption is correct.
The Griz would have the tie-break over Weber based on the Griz sweep over MSU and the Weber split against them.
However, if the Griz lose to SUU, it gets more complicated. Since Weber and UM split their head to head games, the next tie break scenario is how each team did against the other teams in the conference, starting at the top and working down. The first time that you come to a team that one team has swept and the other has a loss to, the tie is broken. Weber has lost to MSU and UM has swept them. So if MSU finishes higher in the standings than SUU, UM would have the tie break even if they lose to SUU. But if SUU finishes ahead of MSU (and assuming UM loses to SUU), Weber would have the tie break.
So, of course the easiest route is just to beat SUU, because then you'd hold every tie break over Weber (which is why they'd only need to one one of their two remaining games).
But where UM has another slight advantage is that MSU holds the tie-break over SUU (based on sweeping their head to head games), so if those two teams end up tied, UM owns the tie break.
So basically if (God forbid!) UM loses to SUU Monday, root like hell for cat wins and SUU losses!
Make sense?
Are you sure about this? Even if we win at SUU, if one of the 2 teams to visit the state next weekend sweeps both us and the cats, they would finish ahead of the bobcats and we would lose the tiebreaker.