STATS FCS Poll (Nov 14) – Griz #13

[IdaGriz01]

The Griz ended up right where I/we expected. The ranked teams that lost to ranked opponents mostly dropped about what I guessed. In fact, I do not see any real surprises (although a closer look may find some). The pollsters did, BTW, move UC Davis into the top-25. Also, Sac State got some new recognition with 7 first-place votes.

Rank, Team, (Record), Points, {First Place votes}, [Previous Rank]
1. South Dakota State (10-1), 1,343 {47} [1]
2. Sacramento State (10-0), 1,297 {7} [2]
3. Montana State (9-1), 1,237 [3]
4. North Dakota State (8-2), 1,190 [4]
5. UIW (9-1), 1,047 [6]
6. Holy Cross (10-0), 1,030 [5]
7. Weber State (8-2), 996 [7]
8. William & Mary (9-1), 989 [8]
9. Samford (9-1), 947 [10]
10. Jackson State (10-0), 873 [9]
11. Richmond (8-2), 786 [12]
12. Furman (8-2), 783 [13]
13. Montana (7-3), 625 [16]
14. Elon (8-3), 566 [18]
15. Chattanooga (7-3), 550 [11]
16. North Dakota (7-3), 458 [19]
17. Southeast Missouri (8-2), 446 [20]
18. New Hampshire (7-3), 426 [21]
19. Mercer (7-3), 402 [14]
20. Delaware (7-3), 313 [17]
21.(tie) Fordham (8-2), 275 [23]
21.(tie) Idaho (6-4), 275 [15]
23. SE Louisiana (7-3), 223 [25]
24. UC Davis (6-4), 217 [Not Ranked]
25. UT Martin (6-4), 46 [Not Ranked]

Others Receiving Votes: Rhode Island (6-4) 38; Saint Francis (8-2,) 37; Austin Peay (7-3) 36; Eastern Kentucky (6-4) 27; Princeton (8-1) 26; Abilene Christian (7-3) 16; North Carolina Central (8-2) 7; St. Thomas (9-1) 6; Yale (7-2) 6; Florida A&M (8-2) 5

Dropped Out: Rhode Island (22), Princeton (24)

Link to Haley list/article:
https://theanalyst.com/na/2022/11/fcs-top-25-teams-to-square-off-in-rivalry-matchups/

 

[IdaGriz01]

Can’t resist a little brag, followed by a failure admission that shows why I’m so cynical about this poll … even if it is the one we follow.

First, I did great on my guesses, with 13 on the nose, 8 within ±1, and 3 within ±2 … that’s 24 of 25.

My rules of thumb successfully dropped Rhode Island and Princeton. Then I correctly predicted who would move in (pretty easy, really). Then I made the (rash) assumption that the pollsters would do something sensible and slot UC Davis just ahead of the team they beat. Nope. They have Idaho tied at #21 (one ahead of my guess), but grudgingly nudged UCD in at #24. Now, I did state that putting UCD in higher was a WAG. But still. it was my worse miss. I should have known better. :lol: :lol: