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Scarier Than Halloween

IdaGriz01

IdaGriz01

Well-known member
Could not resist the punch line ... concerning next weekend for a lot of teams.
STATS Heley said:
There's nowhere for anybody, including Top 10 teams, to hide.

Top-ranked Sam Houston State faces rival McNeese, last year's Southland Conference champ.

No. 2 Jacksonville State is at Southeast Missouri State - potentially a tricky road game.

No. 3 Eastern Washington visits No. 14 Cal Poly - dangerous indeed.

No. 4 North Dakota State hosts No. 15 Youngstown State.

No. 5 The Citadel puts its unbeaten record on the line against No. 20 Samford.

No. 6 Richmond and No. 7 James Madison face each other.

No. 8 Charleston Southern? OK, it's probably safe at home against Gardner-Webb. But not as safe as No. 9 Chattanooga, no doubt glad to be on a bye.

No. 10 Villanova goes to surging Maine, the first team sitting outside the Top 25.

Keep going? OK, No. 11 North Carolina A&T hosts perennial MEAC power South Carolina State. No. 12 Western Illinois hosts an Illinois State squad that just went into the Top 10 and won (versus South Dakota State).

You know about Cal Poly, Youngstown State and Samford. There's also tough conference road games for No. 16 North Dakota (Northern Colorado) and No. 17 Central Arkansas (Stephen F. Austin).

The weeks will grow with importance, but within the FCS Top 25, the first Saturday in November is scarier than Halloween.
Click to expand...
The full run-down is at http://www.fcs.football/cfb/story.asp?i=20161102125505576707404
 
SoldierGriz said:
Looks like the playoffs have indeed started...
Click to expand...
It sure as Hell has for the one- (auto) bid conferences.

Here's an example, involving one of our new "favorites" -- St. Francis (PA). Now SFPA is not ranked, but they are 4-0 in the NEC, with a one-game lead over their closest rivals. It's not a big deal for them to win their next game, because they get Central Conn State at home. CCSU has won only one game all year, and that was over a D-II opponent. Plus, SFPA has the head-to-head over Duquesne, one of two teams in the NEC with only 1 loss. But, in the meantime, Wagner (the other team with only 1 conference loss) is playing Duquesne this weekend. They seem to be fairly evenly matched, but Wagner is playing at home, so you have to favor them. So when SFPA goes to Wagner two weeks from now, they will most likely be playing for the conference auto-bid. That is, a win by Wagner would tie them at 5-1 in conference and Wagner would then have the tie-breaker.
 
IdaGriz01 said:
SoldierGriz said:
Looks like the playoffs have indeed started...
Click to expand...
It sure as Hell has for the one- (auto) bid conferences.

Here's an example, involving one of our new "favorites" -- St. Francis (PA). Now SFPA is not ranked, but they are 4-0 in the NEC, with a one-game lead over their closest rivals. It's not a big deal for them to win their next game, because they get Central Conn State at home. CCSU has won only one game all year, and that was over a D-II opponent. Plus, SFPA has the head-to-head over Duquesne, one of two teams in the NEC with only 1 loss. But, in the meantime, Wagner (the other team with only 1 conference loss) is playing Duquesne this weekend. They seem to be fairly evenly matched, but Wagner is playing at home, so you have to favor them. So when SFPA goes to Wagner two weeks from now, they will most likely be playing for the conference auto-bid. That is, a win by Wagner would tie them at 5-1 in conference and Wagner would then have the tie-breaker.
Click to expand...

I love the way you follow the FCS. Wow. Thanks for always posting this stuff!
 
With many teams having three conference games left, the final results are pretty much up in the air. But I thought it would be interesting to take another look at some of the key matchups for this coming weekend. And you have to say that the JMU-Richmond game is the key matchup, since it’s the one that pits two top-10 teams against each. And it gets even more interesting when you look at the standings in the CAA. The top six teams are very close, and then they drop off to Albany at 2-3. Here they are, with their next opponents:
• JMU (5-0) plays at Richmond
• UNH (5-1) plays Albany (2-3), after a bye week
• Richmond (4-1) plays JMU
• Villanova (4-1) plays at Maine
• Stony Brook (4-1) plays W&M (1-4) at home.
• Maine (4-1) plays Villanova

In the list, I have italicized the opponents who are among these top six. Now if JMU wins on the road at Richmond, some of the “drama” goes away. But both teams are strong, and the home-field advantage may be enough to make the difference. So we may assume a Richmond win. Either Villanova or Maine must lose (barring a crazy tie), so we can assume -- for consistency -- that the home team (Maine) wins. In the other game, William & Mary (having a really bad year) will most likely lose at Stony Brook. So the very reasonable result after the weekend is a CAA top five that looks like this:
• JMU (5-1)
• UNH (5-1)
• Richmond (5-1)
• Stony Brook (5-1)
• Maine (5-1)

I have no idea what sort of tie-breakers might work for a five-way tie at 5-1 conference records. But, of course, they will each have two games after that. Thus, JMU still has to play at Villanova. New Hampshire plays at Maine to end the season. Richmond has it fairly easy once they get past JMU, playing Delaware (1-4) and W&M. Stony Brook still has to play at Maine. And Maine gets Stony Brook and then New Hampshire. So there will clearly be a lot of changes before the end, but it sure will be an interesting weekend.
 
Whew! Holy shit, for a second I thought this thread was about our 2012 GRIZ/Cat uniforms, otherwise known as "Foley's Folly".
 
IdaGriz01 said:
Could not resist the punch line ... concerning next weekend for a lot of teams.
STATS Heley said:
There's nowhere for anybody, including Top 10 teams, to hide.

Top-ranked Sam Houston State faces rival McNeese, last year's Southland Conference champ.

No. 2 Jacksonville State is at Southeast Missouri State - potentially a tricky road game.

No. 3 Eastern Washington visits No. 14 Cal Poly - dangerous indeed.

No. 4 North Dakota State hosts No. 15 Youngstown State.

No. 5 The Citadel puts its unbeaten record on the line against No. 20 Samford.

No. 6 Richmond and No. 7 James Madison face each other.

No. 8 Charleston Southern? OK, it's probably safe at home against Gardner-Webb. But not as safe as No. 9 Chattanooga, no doubt glad to be on a bye.

No. 10 Villanova goes to surging Maine, the first team sitting outside the Top 25.

Keep going? OK, No. 11 North Carolina A&T hosts perennial MEAC power South Carolina State. No. 12 Western Illinois hosts an Illinois State squad that just went into the Top 10 and won (versus South Dakota State).

You know about Cal Poly, Youngstown State and Samford. There's also tough conference road games for No. 16 North Dakota (Northern Colorado) and No. 17 Central Arkansas (Stephen F. Austin).

The weeks will grow with importance, but within the FCS Top 25, the first Saturday in November is scarier than Halloween.
Click to expand...
The full run-down is at http://www.fcs.football/cfb/story.asp?i=20161102125505576707404
Click to expand...

J'Ville eeked out a 17-10 win

EWU beat Poly 42-21

NDSU won 24-3

Citadel won 37-34 in OT

JMU beat Richmond 47-43

Charleston Southern loses 10-17 (and he said they were safe)

Villanova beats Maine 26-7

North Carolina A&T wins 30-20

Western Illinois loses 26-31

UND beats UNC 23-13

UCA beats SFA 34-14

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Griz should see a little movement up in the polls
 
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