Plainsman said:
This, I'm afraid. With the exception of the first NDSU game, which now appears to have been an anomoly, the offense with or without Brady played at a high level only against miserable defenses. I am willing to give Stitt more time but I think questions still remain about the viability of what seems to be a highly complex offense and definitely about whether there is a quarterback among the multitude of quarterbacks on the roster that can effectively run such a system.
I pointed to this mid-season.
The problem with "highly complex" combined with "maximized play numbers" is a statistical one: it maximizes risk.
"Highly complex" means that more things can (and will) go wrong.
"Maximized play numbers" means that there is more opportunity for things to go wrong.
In statistics,
risk is cumulative.
You have to be pretty confident that strategies that may have worked against Chadron State* -- "my offense can beat any defense" -- will, or even can, work in the FCS, given the increased inherent risk of higher quality opponent play (a third metric that increases "risk").
That includes the defensive component, another component of "risk."
And if five highly touted QB candidates cannot manage the "offense," then another component of "risk" is added to the cumulative total, the long term risk of recruiting to a position that the recruit may not realistically play in for a year, or two, or more, which presents a long-term challenge to any program especially if the high schools recruited from do not play similar strategies.
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* Well, they didn't actually work that well against Chadron State. Stitt's record against Chadron State, 2000-2014 is 6-9. :shock: Chadron State is a small 4-year college in Nebraska serving the Pine Ridge area, with an enrollment slightly larger than Billings West High School.