Looks like your list is the most likely outcome. The seeds that are set are the Griz at 1, UI at 2, UNC at 5 and SUU at 10. MSU and UND will be 8 and 9 (the order depends on tiebreakers). NAU and Sac could swap places if NAU beats EWU (GO NAU) and Sac loses to UNC. EWU could finish 3rd or 4th. If Weber beats MSU and EWU loses to NAU (GO NAU!!!!) then EWU drops to 4th and Weber finishes 3rd.
Here's what the possible seedings look like, if I'm correct in remembering how the tiebreakers work in the Big Sky. If anyone notices something wrong please correct it
1 Seed - Griz (15-2)
2 Seed - Idaho (13-4) UI is 2-0 against EWU and 1-0 against Weber if there's a tie.
3 Seed - EWU (12-5) or Weber (12-5). EWU wins the tiebreaker being 1-0 against Web.
If EWU loses to SUU & Weber beats MSU, Weber is the 3 seed. If EWU beats SUU (or Weber loses @MSU) then EWU is the 3 seed. If EWU and Weber lose & UNC wins (3 way tie), then I think EWU still gets the 3 seed and Weber the 4th. EWU would be 2-1 against UNC+Weber, Weber is 2-1 against EWU+UNC and UNC is 1-2. With UNC eliminated in the 3 way tie, EWU wins the tiebreaker against Weber since EWU is 1-0 against Weber.
4 Seed - EWU (12-5) or Weber (12-5). See the 3 seed scenarios.
5 Seed - UNC (11-6). They lose the tiebreaker to both Weber and EWU.
6 Seed - ISU (9-8) or PSU (8-9). PSU has the tiebreaker if they end up tied.
ISU plays @UM and PSU plays @UND for their last games.
7 Seed - ISU (9-8) or PSU (8-9). See the 6 seed scenarios.
8 Seed - MSU (6-11) or UND (6-11). MSU & UND split during the regular season. UND beat Weber though (their best Big Sky win), so I think they win the tiebreaker if it's a tie between MSU and UND.
SUU Could end up 6-12 though with a win (and tied with MSU & UND i they both lose). SUU loses the tibreaker to both MSU and UND, but due to MSU playing SUU two times MSU would get the 8 seed, UND the 9 and SUU the 10 if there's a 3 way tie. MSU is 3-1 against UND+SUU, UND is 2-1, SUU is 0-3.
MSU plays Weber, UND plays @PSU, SUU plays @Idaho.
9 Seed - MSU (6-11) or UND (6-11). See the 8 seed scenarios.
10 Seed - SUU (5-12) - Even with a win and an MSU and/or UND loss SUU loses the tiebreaker so they're stuck at 10.
11 Seed - SAC (3-14) or NAU (2-15). NAU has the tiebreaker on SAC (1-0 against Sac). NAU plays @EWU, SAC plays at home aganst UNC.
12 Seed - NAU (2-15) or Sac (3-14).
Hopefully everything above is accurate. Also... GO NAU!! :mrgreen:
