mtgrizrule said:
This is a tough one to pick. The top 4 teams are all playing solid winning basketball. EWU and Sac State have been the best through out the season. GRIZ and NAU are playing the best basketball over the last 3 weeks.
I feel too much needs to happen for NAU to host. Sac State has a difficult remaining schedule with road games at NAU, SUU, and PSU. I have a feeling NAU will beat them. PSU and SUU are by no mean easy either. Both those games are slip up games, and would not be a major upset.
The GRIZ also have 3 road games, and absolutely have to win out. Beating EWU would be of huge help. I feel the GRIZ should beat MSU. A loss to MSU would be considered an upset. Idaho is the possible stumble game.
I like the GRIZ remaining schedule slightly better than Sac State's. The winner of the GRIZ/EWU game this week is in the driver's seat to host. Even then, EWU, still has to close their season at Weber State. I'd hate be playing at Weber State, if they have anything on the line at all. That is a dangerous game for anyone in the league. I can honestly see EWU losing 2 of their final 4 games. EWU has the remaining toughest schedule, in my opinion. Hard to believe Weber State can be playing the role of spoiler in the last game of the season.
It will be interesting to see play out. No matter what, I feel the GRIZ have to win out. Right now, no matter what, the GRIZ will need some help from either NAU, SUU, or PSU.
Hard to believe, despite 3 road games to end the season, the GRIZ actually have the more favorable schedule to close out the season.
Anyone with updates on the player statuses for EWU and Weber State? Will either team be getting back injured players?
Right now, I like the odds of the GRIZ hosting the tournament. GO GRIZ!!!!!
Good Post.
I actually don't think there is an easier or tougher schedule down the stretch for the top 3. Sac and UM have all of their games on the road, Eastern has to play one more game than both of those teams, but get 2 at home and one of their road games is ISU.
All of Sac's games will be tough, but NAU and PSU will be really tough, although SUU has been playing better of late.
UM has a really difficult weekend. Idaho is better than people think and its not easy to play in Moscow. UM is a much better team than MSU but throw out the records in a rivalry game, especially in Bozeman.
EWU - two really tough games left with UM at home and at Weber to finish the season. Winner of the UM/EWU game is in the drivers seat.
NAU - I don't think they have a shot right now with 3 teams ahead of them and two weeks left but you never know.
As far as injuries - Not sure about Weber, but EWU is back to full strength. Jois returned this weekend and Harvey has been back the last couple of games. Harvey hasn't been the same since his injury, hopefully he can take the padding off his leg this weekend and get back to himself. Eastern's coach basically said they will play through injuries rather than rest from here on out. I think they err'd on the cautious side a bit too much with Jois earlier.
Will be a great stretch run in the conference...