IdaGriz01
Well-known member
Guess, Team (Record) [Current Rank]
1. UNH (9-1) [1]
2. Coastal Carolina (11-0) [2]
3. Jacksonville St (9-1) [3]
4. NDSU (10-1) [4]
5. EWU (9-2) [5]
6. Villanova (9-2) [6]
7. Fordham (10-1) [7]
8. Illinois State (9-1) [8]
9. Chattanooga (8-3) [9]
10. SE Louisiana (8-3) [10]
11. UNI (7-4) [11]
12. Montana State (8-3) [12]
13. Montana (7-4) [16]
14. Harvard (9-0) [17]
15. Eastern Ky (9-2) [18]
16. SDSU (7-4) [19]
17. McNeese State (6-4) [13]
18. Richmond (7-4) [14]
19. Indiana State (7-4) [23]
20. YSU (7-4) [15]
21. JMU (8-3) [25]
22. W&M (7-4) [24]
23. North Carolina A&T (9-2) [NR]
24. Sam Houston State (7-4) [NR]
25. Bryant (8-2) [21]
NR Bethune-Cookman (8-3) [20]
NR NAU (7-4) [22]
In case you missed it, the three teams immediately ahead of Montana in the last TSN poll lost. True, they lost to ranked opponents, but that should still be enough for the Griz to move up through those slots.
Of course, that results in the anomaly that Harvard (9-0) and Eastern Kentucky (9-2) are below the Griz, even though they have much better-looking records. But they do move up ... and they’ve been lower than the Griz right along. Had EK beat someone better than hapless Murray State (3-8), I might have bumped them ahead of Harvard and the Griz. (And the pollsters may do that anyway.)
Another block of losses toward the bottom of the rankings (#20, #21, #22) led to another interesting anomaly. When you’re that low and lose a game, you usually drop out of the top-25. And so B-C and NAU (which lost to teams that still have losing records) will most likely drop out. Bryant lost on the road to a pretty good Sacred Heart (9-2) team, so I think they will hang on.
The weirdness arose when I started looking among the “Others Receiving Votes” list for teams to replace those two. That’s when I discovered that the top four teams among the “Others” had all lost -- which is how I got down to SHSU. Then the next down -- Cal Poly -- also lost, which brought NC A&T into the mix. Note also that these projections (guesses) put nine teams with four losses into the top-25.
The next poll should be very interesting.
1. UNH (9-1) [1]
2. Coastal Carolina (11-0) [2]
3. Jacksonville St (9-1) [3]
4. NDSU (10-1) [4]
5. EWU (9-2) [5]
6. Villanova (9-2) [6]
7. Fordham (10-1) [7]
8. Illinois State (9-1) [8]
9. Chattanooga (8-3) [9]
10. SE Louisiana (8-3) [10]
11. UNI (7-4) [11]
12. Montana State (8-3) [12]
13. Montana (7-4) [16]
14. Harvard (9-0) [17]
15. Eastern Ky (9-2) [18]
16. SDSU (7-4) [19]
17. McNeese State (6-4) [13]
18. Richmond (7-4) [14]
19. Indiana State (7-4) [23]
20. YSU (7-4) [15]
21. JMU (8-3) [25]
22. W&M (7-4) [24]
23. North Carolina A&T (9-2) [NR]
24. Sam Houston State (7-4) [NR]
25. Bryant (8-2) [21]
NR Bethune-Cookman (8-3) [20]
NR NAU (7-4) [22]
In case you missed it, the three teams immediately ahead of Montana in the last TSN poll lost. True, they lost to ranked opponents, but that should still be enough for the Griz to move up through those slots.
Of course, that results in the anomaly that Harvard (9-0) and Eastern Kentucky (9-2) are below the Griz, even though they have much better-looking records. But they do move up ... and they’ve been lower than the Griz right along. Had EK beat someone better than hapless Murray State (3-8), I might have bumped them ahead of Harvard and the Griz. (And the pollsters may do that anyway.)
Another block of losses toward the bottom of the rankings (#20, #21, #22) led to another interesting anomaly. When you’re that low and lose a game, you usually drop out of the top-25. And so B-C and NAU (which lost to teams that still have losing records) will most likely drop out. Bryant lost on the road to a pretty good Sacred Heart (9-2) team, so I think they will hang on.
The weirdness arose when I started looking among the “Others Receiving Votes” list for teams to replace those two. That’s when I discovered that the top four teams among the “Others” had all lost -- which is how I got down to SHSU. Then the next down -- Cal Poly -- also lost, which brought NC A&T into the mix. Note also that these projections (guesses) put nine teams with four losses into the top-25.
The next poll should be very interesting.
