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Playoff Picture

2018 FCS Playoff At Large Eligibility (V 4.0)

Notes:
Every season I compile a list of FCS teams still capable of reaching 7 Division 1 wins. Although 7 wins is no longer the official plateau for at-large selection, it is highly unlikely a 6-5 team will be selected. The list is for reference only, and is not meant to predict the probability of the teams selected. It will be updated weekly, as teams are eliminated, or teams secure their conference auto-bid.

Teams are organized by conference, although Ivy League teams are not included since their conference does not participate in the FCS playoffs. MEAC and SWAC teams are listed since their second place teams are technically eligible to receive a playoff berth. However, Southern and Grambling from the SWAC are not listed, due to their schedule conflict with the Bayou Classic; Alabama State also has a Thanksgiving conflict.

Houston Baptist is on probation, and therefore ineligible for the postseason.

North Alabama is not eligible for the playoffs, during their FCS transition from Division II.

Key:
Teams preceded by an asterisk (*) have already reached 7 Division 1 wins.
Teams listed in bold need to win all remaining games to reach 7 Division I wins.
Teams followed by a hash tag (#) have played a lower division team
Teams followed by a plus sign (+) have an FBS team remaining on their schedule.
Teams followed by an percent sign (%) had a game cancelled or postponed

Teams with 7 Division 1 Wins:
*North Dakota State (7-0)

Big Sky

UC Davis (6-1) must go 1-3
Eastern Washington (5-2)# must go 3-1
Weber State (5-2) must go 2-2
Montana State (4-3) must go 3-1
Montana (4-3) must go 3-1

Idaho State (4-3)# must go 4-0
Northern Arizona (3-4) must go 4-0

Cal Poly (2-5) eliminated
Idaho (2-4)#+ eliminated
Sacramento State (2-4)# eliminated
Southern Utah (0-5) eliminated
Portland State (1-4)# eliminated
Northern Colorado (0-5) eliminated

Big South
Kennesaw State (6-1)# must go 2-2
Monmouth (5-2) must go 2-2

Campbell (5-2)# must go 4-0
Charleston Southern (3-3)#% must go 5-0

Presbyterian (2-2)#% eliminated
Gardner-Webb (1-4)# eliminated

Colonial
Towson (6-1) must go 1-3
James Madison (5-2) must go 2-2
Stony Brook (6-2) must go 1-2
Elon (5-2)% must go 2-1
Rhode Island (4-3) must go 3-1
Maine (4-3) must go 3-1
Delaware (5-2) must go 2-2

Villanova (3-4) must go 4-0

Richmond (3-5) eliminated
Albany (2-5) eliminated
William & Mary (2-4)% eliminated
New Hampshire (1-5) eliminated

Independents
North Dakota (5-2) must go 2-2

Hampton (1-3)% eliminated (only scheduled 6 Division 1 games)


MEAC
North Carolina A&T (6-2) must go 1-2
Florida A&M (5-2)# must go 3-1

Norfolk State (3-3)#%+ must go 5-0
Bethune-Cookman (4-4)# must go 4-0
Howard (3-3)% must go 4-0

Morgan State (2-5) eliminated
South Carolina State (1-5)% eliminated
Savannah State (0-4)% eliminated
Delaware State (0-4)# eliminated
North Carolina Central (1-3)#% eliminated

Missouri Valley
Illinois State (5-2)# must go 3-1
South Dakota State (4-2) must go 3-1
Northern Iowa (4-3) must go 3-1

South Dakota (3-4) must go 4-0
Missouri State (4-3)# must go 4-0
Youngstown State (3-4) must go 4-0
Western Illinois (3-4) must go 4-0

Indiana State (2-4)# eliminated
Southern Illinois (1-5) eliminated


Northeast
Bryant (5-2)# must go 3-1
Sacred Heart (4-3) must go 3-1

Duquesne (5-3)# must go 3-0

Central Connecticut (4-4)# eliminated
Saint Francis (2-4)# eliminated
Robert Morris (1-3) eliminated (cannot reach 7 Division 1 wins)
Wagner (1-4) eliminated

Ohio Valley
Jacksonville State (5-2) must go 2-2
Southeast Missouri (5-2) must go 2-2
Murray State (4-3) must go 3-1

Eastern Kentucky (3-4) must go 4-0
Austin Peay (3-4) must go 4-0

Eastern Illinois (1-6) eliminated
Tennessee-Martin (1-5) eliminated
Tennessee State (2-3)% eliminated
Tennessee Tech (0-5) eliminated

Patriot
Colgate (6-0)+% must go 1-3

Georgetown (4-4) must go 3-0

Lafayette (1-5) eliminated
Lehigh (1-5) eliminated
Fordham (0-5) eliminated
Bucknell (1-5) eliminated
Holy Cross (1-5) eliminated

Pioneer
San Diego (5-2)# must go 3-1

Stetson (5-1)#% must go 4-0
Drake (4-2)# must go 4-0
Marist (3-4) must go 4-0

Dayton (3-5) eliminated
Butler (3-4)# eliminated
Davidson (5-2)# eliminated
Morehead State (1-4) eliminated
Jacksonville (1-3) eliminated
Valparaiso (0-5) eliminated

Southern
ETSU (6-2)# must go 2-1
Chattanooga (5-2)+ must go 2-2
Wofford (5-2) must go 2-2
Mercer (4-3) must go 3-1

Citadel (2-4)+% must go 5-0

Furman (2-4)% eliminated
Western Carolina (3-4)#+ eliminated
Samford (1-4)# eliminated
VMI (0-5)# eliminated

Southland
McNeese State (5-2) must go 2-2
Sam Houston State (4-3) must go 3-1
Central Arkansas (5-2) must go 2-2
Nicholls (4-3) must go 3-1
Incarnate Word (4-3)+ must go 3-2

Southeastern Louisiana (3-5) eliminated
Northwestern State (2-5) eliminated
Stephen F. Austin (1-4) eliminated
Abilene Christian (2-4) eliminated
Lamar (1-4)# eliminated

SWAC
Alcorn State (6-2)# must go 2-1

Jackson State (3-3)% must go 4-0
Prairie View A&M (3-4) must go 4-0

Alabama A&M (3-4)# eliminated
MVSU (0-5) eliminated
Texas Southern (1-4) eliminated
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (1-4)# eliminated
 
Sorry to jump the gun on ya grizband. I was just in the middle of doing the same thing sorta. I just wasn’t eliminating anyone until they were eliminated from con championship contention.
 
alabamagrizzly said:
Sorry to jump the gun on ya grizband. I was just in the middle of doing the same thing sorta. I just wasn’t eliminating anyone until they were eliminated from con championship contention.
Click to expand...
Didn't jump the gun at all! Just providing the data I've compiled for at large playoffs.
 
There’s no way we make it into the playoffs at 7-4. I highly even doubt we will end the season at 7-4.
 
Both cats and Griz just saw any hope of playoffs disappear. Neither would get in at 7-4 with their resumes. Brawl of the Mild for pride.
 
HookedonGriz said:
Both cats and Griz just saw any hope of playoffs disappear. Neither would get in at 7-4 with their resumes. Brawl of the Mild for pride.
Click to expand...

Brawl of the Mild.....love it.
 
EWU didn't make it in last year with 7 wins, possibly due to other strong teams from the Big Sky. This year is similar in that the four best records will be UCD, Weber, EWU, and ISU.
 
clawman said:
EWU didn't make it in last year with 7 wins, possibly due to other strong teams from the Big Sky. This year is similar in that the four best records will be UCD, Weber, EWU, and ISU.
Click to expand...

Portland State may wind up with the same record as ISU at 7-4. ISU would not have seven FCS wins unless they beat Weber on the 17th. Doubt that happens but there's been some strange games this year.
 
Griz will not make the playoffs nor should they. I say save ourselves some disappointment.

At this point I think Hauck should play a bunch of the young guys that have not seen that four game limit. Maybe there’s a few in the bunch that could make a difference this year and set themselves in line for next year.

This would include QB play!! Maybe let Graves get some play time to see what he can do. I just don’t see Sneed as the QB answer.

A serious question I have for folks that have been to games. Does the team give the appearance that they like Sneed? Especially his Oline, do they respect the guy? If not that could be an issue. Oh shoot I got beat of my block and my man got into the backfield. Let Sneed take some pressure because there not fond of the guy?
 
ORGUNGRIZ said:
Griz will not make the playoffs nor should they. I say save ourselves some disappointment.

At this point I think Hauck should play a bunch of the young guys that have not seen that four game limit. Maybe there’s a few in the bunch that could make a difference this year and set themselves in line for next year.

This would include QB play!! Maybe let Graves get some play time to see what he can do. I just don’t see Sneed as the QB answer.

A serious question I have for folks that have been to games. Does the team give the appearance that they like Sneed? Especially his Oline, do they respect the guy? If not that could be an issue. Oh shoot I got beat of my block and my man got into the backfield. Let Sneed take some pressure because there not fond of the guy?
Click to expand...

Well he was voted as a captain. By the team. So there’s that....
 
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