Playoff Hopefuls as of 11-15-15

[IdaGriz01]

Crazy Times Coming ...
The FCS season looks like it could end just as crazily as it has been from the start. A look the matchups for the final weekend points to an amazing finish. We may assume that mostly favorites will win, but with a few minor upsets. The situation is somewhat simplified because there are two or three cases where the loser is out anyway. But if the wins and losses fall out mostly to form, I count 7 fairly certain at-large bids to go along with the 10 auto-bids. Which leaves 7 spots.

Assuming a best (or worst, depending up you point of view) case scenario, we could end up with 14 teams having 7-4 records. Four of those, obviously including the Griz, could be in the Big Sky. With a couple of minor upsets, the CAA could also end up with four teams at 7-4. The rest are scattered, one or two at a time among the other conferences. Now, it’s not likely to be quite that bad, but it seems almost certain that there will be something like ten 7-4 teams hoping to get one of those seven remaining bid. Personally, I’m pretty comfortable with the notion that a 7-4 Griz team will get a bid.

 

[Spidermane]

Long time follower of the board.. Always think you guys have good info on here.
I'm a Richmond fan and just curious your thoughts on a 7-4 Richmond team in the field.
Obviously 3 straight losses is tough but no bad losses and a win over a Vad Lee Jmu Team.
Any feedback would be appreciated!
Go Griz!

 

[Paytonlives]

Long time follower of the board.. Always think you guys have good info on here.
I'm a Richmond fan and just curious your thoughts on a 7-4 Richmond team in the field.
Obviously 3 straight losses is tough but no bad losses and a win over a Vad Lee Jmu Team.
Any feedback would be appreciated!
Go Griz!

Man just looked at your schedule and the spiders were rolling until the past few weeks.

You are right, no bad loses and a big win vs. James Madison. Going on past committee outcomes, they did figure in fairly heavy how the team was preforming at the end of the year. While I think a 7-4 Spider team will be better then some of the teams in the playoffs, I really don't think they get in at 7-4 with 3 straight loses. Eastern Washington is in the exact same boat, except they have been getting hammered lately (see NAU and UM).

BTW... One of the best nicknames in all of football... and welcome to the board!

 

[Maxim]

Und is not a good win for NDSU

Usd is the WORST LOSS in NDSU history (with a QB having a broken wrist the entire 2nd half & losing on last second FG)

Really the worst loss ever? Didn't you guys have a losing record one year a few years before your record run? I remember your defense was terrible. If not I know it was a poor season. The point being you are so full of sht.

 

[ordigger]

Benefits the Griz more if EWU beats PSU IMHO

I really dont understand this though process...

If EWU wins they will be in &
PSU if loses they will still be in...

So I think the Griz want PSU to win so that EWU is out. The Big Sky is only going to get X amount of teams, so any big Sky team that is out puts the Griz in a better spot.

The whole these three teams win and UM is the Auto is a big stretch.

Because Montana would get the tie breaker autobid if EWU and NAU win.

 

[Bisonation]

Und is not a good win for NDSU

Usd is the WORST LOSS in NDSU history (with a QB having a broken wrist the entire 2nd half & losing on last second FG)

Really the worst loss ever? Didn't you guys have a losing record one year a few years before your record run? I remember your defense was terrible. If not I know it was a poor season. The point being you are so full of sht.

wait, what? I am most certainly NOT!
yes the usd loss is the worst ever for NDSU we outscored them 157-7 in last 3 years & our QB played the entire 2nd half with a broken wrist which rendered him useless.
back in 2009 NDSU went 3-8 with 7 of 8 loses by 10 points or less, that 2009 team had 3 players in the NFL right now. (mays, humber, dahl) and our stupid off coord didn't adjust to a passing QB.

 

[SaskGriz]

Und is not a good win for NDSU

Usd is the WORST LOSS in NDSU history (with a QB having a broken wrist the entire 2nd half & losing on last second FG)

Really the worst loss ever? Didn't you guys have a losing record one year a few years before your record run? I remember your defense was terrible. If not I know it was a poor season. The point being you are so full of sht.

wait, what? I am most certainly NOT!
yes the usd loss is the worst ever for NDSU we outscored them 157-7 in last 3 years & our QB played the entire 2nd half with a broken wrist which rendered him useless.
back in 2009 NDSU went 3-8 with 7 of 8 loses by 10 points or less, that 2009 team had 3 players in the NFL right now. (mays, humber, dahl) and our stupid off coord didn't adjust to a passing QB.

Is this your default excuse for any Bison loss? Seems I 've heard this before. If NDSU hadn't pulled out wins over SDSU and in the Chipper last year would your QB have suddenly developed a ruptured spleen or severe rickets?

 

[bgbigdog]

Hey BN - what's the latest on Wentz making it back?

 

[Bisonation]

If NDSU secures the #2 seed as we all expect (GPI Index) it would buy a couple extra weeks.
I've been told that if NDSU can get by that 1st game in the playoffs (2nd round) then Carson could play the Quarter's or Semi's at a 75% readiness or roll the dice until Frisco and be 100%.

personally, if I'm Carson or his family, i'm sitting it all out, why screw up a potential 1st or 2nd round draft pick by NOT getting fully healed by the NFL combine.

But the competitor and State pride in Carson might have him playing that 1st round!

 

[alabamagrizzly]

Was thinking of starting a new thread just to be a butt and then figured no one would read it anyway so I decided to bury my predictions in the preexisting thread. Still don't think anyone will read it though.

My Predictions for how they will finish the last week and the field of 24.
the conference auto bids
1 (1)Jacksonville State 10-1 will win vs Murray State to claim the OVC auto
2 (2)NDSU 9-2 will win vs Missouri State to claim the MVC auto bid.
3 (3)*McNeese State 10-0(LSU game cancelled) will win at Lamar. Already claimed the Southland Conference auto bid.
4 (9)*Charleston Southern 9-2 will lose at Alabama. Already claimed the Big South Conference auto bid.
5 (8)*Chattanooga 8-3 will lose at Florida State. Already claimed the Southern Conference auto bid.
6 (14)Richmond 8-3 will win vs William & Mary to claim the CAA auto bid.
7 (20)Southern Utah 8-3 will win vs Northern Arizona to claim the Big Sky Conference auto bid.
8 (16)North Carolina A&T 10-1 will win vs North Carolina Central to claim the MEAC auto bid.
9 (37)Duquesne 8-3 will win vs St Francis (PA) to claim the Northeast Conference auto bid.
10 (39)*Colgate 7-4 will win vs Bucknell. Already claimed Patriot League auto bid.
* already clinched conference

the at large bids
11 (4)Coastal Carolina 10-1 will win at Liberty. Ten wins vs D-1. Sig wins at South Carolina State 41-14, vs Western Illinois 34-27, and at Liberty.
12 (6)Illinois State 9-2 will win vs South Dakota. Nine wins vs D-1. Sig wins vs Northern Iowa 21-13, at Youngstown State 31-29, and vs Western Illinois 48-28.
13 (5)South Dakota State 9-2 will win at Western Illinois. Nine wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Kansas 41-38, vs Southern Utah 55-10, at Youngstown State 38-8, and vs Illinois State 25-20.
14 (7)William & Mary 8-3 will lose at Richmond. Allows Richmond to claim conference. Eight wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Lafayette 34-7, at Villanova 38-16, vs New Hampshire 34-18, and vs James Madison 44-41.
15 (11)Portland State 8-3 will win at Eastern Washington. Eight wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Washington State 24-17, at North Texas 66-7, vs Montana 35-16, and vs Southern Utah 24-23.
16 (12)James Madison 9-2 will win vs Villanova. Nine wins vs D-1. Sig wins at SMU 48-45, at Towsen 51-30, and at Villanova.
17 (13)Fordham 9-2 regular season is complete. Nine wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Army 37-35, at Lafeyette 35-7, and at Penn 48-45.
18 (17)Montana 7-4 will win at Montana State. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig wins vs NDSU 38-35, vs Northern Arizona 23-14, and vs Eastern Washington 57-16.
19 (15) Northern Iowa 7-4 will win vs Southern Illinois. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig wins vs Eastern Washington 38-35 and at South Dakota State 10-7.
20 (UR)Central Arkansas 8-3 will win vs Sam Houston State. Eight wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Lamar 35-17 and vs Sam Houston State.
21 (UR)New Hampshire 7-4 will win vs Maine. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Richmond 30-25 and at Colgate 26-8.
22 Bethune Cookman 9-2 will win vs Florida A&M. Eight wins vs D-1. Sig win at Gambling State 56-53.
23 (25)The Citadel 7-4 will lose at South Carolina. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Western Carolina 28-10.
24 (28)Dayton 11-0 will win at Drake. No auto bid for the Pioneer but will receive an at large. Eleven wins vs D-1. Sig wins vs San Diego 13-12 and Jacksonville 31-14.

SWAC
-(22)Grambling State would have the best record finishing 9-2 with a win vs Southern. The SWAC hasn't fielded a team in the playoffs since '97 though so I doubt they will this year. Prairie View would finish 8-2 with a win vs Jackson State and be eligible for an invite also.

The Ivy League
Has never participated in post season play.

Seeding the top 8
1 Jacksonville State
2 McNeese State
3 NDSU
4 Charleston Southern
5 Coastal Carolina
6 Illinois State
7 South Dakota State
8 Chattanooga

bubble bursting this weekend
Eastern Washington with loss vs Portland State. Six wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Montana State at home 55-50.
Northern Arizona with loss at Southern Utah. Six wins vs D-1. Sig win at Stephen F Austin 34-28.
North Dakota with loss at Cal Poly. Six wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Wyoming 24-13 and at Portland State 19-17.
Villanova with a loss at James Madison. Six wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Richmond 21-20.
North Carolina Central with a loss at North Carolina A&T. 7-4 with six wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Morgan State 20-17.
South Carolina State with a win at Savannah State. 7-4 with seven wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Hampton 34-20.
Eastern Illinois with a loss vs Eastern Kentucky. Gives them six D-1 wins.
Eastern Kentucky with a win at Eastern Illinois. 7-4 with seven D-1 wins. Sig win at SE Missouri St 27-10.
San Diego with a win vs Butler. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Marist 30-27.
Sam Houston State with a loss at Central Arkansas. Six wins vs D-1. Sig win at Stephen F Austin 34-28.

Key games for Montana fans to watch.
Games that give us a chance to win the conference.
-Montana at Montana State. Duh.
-Northern Arizona at Southern Utah. Need an NAU victory for a chance at the conference auto bid.
-Portland State at Eastern Washington. Need an Eastern victory for the auto bid if SUU loses to NAU.

Other bubble team games.
-North Dakota at Cal Poly. A UND win would give them a 7-4 record and seven D-1 victories. Two impressive wins at Wyo and at PSU.
-William & Mary at Richmond. With a Richmond loss, they would finish 7-4 with seven D-1 wins and their only sig win is at James Madison 59-49.
-Villanova at James Madison. A Villanova loss would close them out at 7-4 with six D-1 wins, their sig win being Richmond 21-20 at home.
-Maine at New Hampshire. A Maine victory gives UNH a 6-4 record with six D-1 wins.
-Florida A&M at Bethune Cookman. B-C would make a strong case for an invite with a win making them 9-2 with eight D-1 wins. Their only sig win though is at Grambling State 56-53.
-North Carolina Central at North Carolina A&T. If NCC loses, they will only have six D-1 wins and NC A&T wins the auto. If NCC wins, they claim the auto and NC A&T may get an invite with eight D-1 victories including wins over Beth-Cook and S Carolina St.
-South Carolina State at Savannah State. A highly unlikely loss for SCS will close them out at six D-1 wins.
-Southern Illinois at Northern Iowa. A UNI loss gives them six D-1 wins.
-Eastern Kentucky at Eastern Illinois. Basically the winner of this game probably gets in with seven D-1 wins and the losers out. EIU has some better losses then EKU but their sig wins are about the same except EIU beat Tenn-Martin and EKU didn't. Could be what keeps EKU out even if they win.
-The Citadel at South Carolina. A HIGHLY unlikely win would make them a lock for an at large bid.
-Sam Houston State at Central Arkansas. A loss for Sam Houston State and their season will be done with only six D-1 victories. Central Arkansas already has seven with sig wins against SFA and Lamar. A tuff loss to Samford in week one could be their demise if they can't beat SHS on the road.
bubble teams in bold.

 

[grizindabox]

[tweet]https://twitter.com/millerjryan/status/667055362608988160[/tweet]

 

[Grizzlies1982]

[tweet]https://twitter.com/millerjryan/status/667055362608988160[/tweet]

That could be some compelling (and actual) Reality TV if they lose on Saturday. :ugeek:

 

[Grizzlies1982]

Was thinking of starting a new thread just to be a butt and then figured no one would read it anyway so I decided to bury my predictions in the preexisting thread. Still don't think anyone will read it though.

My Predictions for how they will finish the last week and the field of 24.
the conference auto bids
1 (1)Jacksonville State 10-1 will win vs Murray State to claim the OVC auto
2 (2)NDSU 9-2 will win vs Missouri State to claim the MVC auto bid.
3 (3)*McNeese State 10-0(LSU game cancelled) will win at Lamar. Already claimed the Southland Conference auto bid.
4 (9)*Charleston Southern 9-2 will lose at Alabama. Already claimed the Big South Conference auto bid.
5 (8)*Chattanooga 8-3 will lose at Florida State. Already claimed the Southern Conference auto bid.
6 (14)Richmond 8-3 will win vs William & Mary to claim the CAA auto bid.
7 (20)Southern Utah 8-3 will win vs Northern Arizona to claim the Big Sky Conference auto bid.
8 (16)North Carolina A&T 10-1 will win vs North Carolina Central to claim the MEAC auto bid.
9 (37)Duquesne 8-3 will win vs St Francis (PA) to claim the Northeast Conference auto bid.
10 (39)*Colgate 7-4 will win vs Bucknell. Already claimed Patriot League auto bid.
* already clinched conference

the at large bids
11 (4)Coastal Carolina 10-1 will win at Liberty. Ten wins vs D-1. Sig wins at South Carolina State 41-14, vs Western Illinois 34-27, and at Liberty.
12 (6)Illinois State 9-2 will win vs South Dakota. Nine wins vs D-1. Sig wins vs Northern Iowa 21-13, at Youngstown State 31-29, and vs Western Illinois 48-28.
13 (5)South Dakota State 9-2 will win at Western Illinois. Nine wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Kansas 41-38, vs Southern Utah 55-10, at Youngstown State 38-8, and vs Illinois State 25-20.
14 (7)William & Mary 8-3 will lose at Richmond. Allows Richmond to claim conference. Eight wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Lafayette 34-7, at Villanova 38-16, vs New Hampshire 34-18, and vs James Madison 44-41.
15 (11)Portland State 8-3 will win at Eastern Washington. Eight wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Washington State 24-17, at North Texas 66-7, vs Montana 35-16, and vs Southern Utah 24-23.
16 (12)James Madison 9-2 will win vs Villanova. Nine wins vs D-1. Sig wins at SMU 48-45, at Towsen 51-30, and at Villanova.
17 (13)Fordham 9-2 regular season is complete. Nine wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Army 37-35, at Lafeyette 35-7, and at Penn 48-45.
18 (17)Montana 7-4 will win at Montana State. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig wins vs NDSU 38-35, vs Northern Arizona 23-14, and vs Eastern Washington 57-16.
19 (15) Northern Iowa 7-4 will win vs Southern Illinois. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig wins vs Eastern Washington 38-35 and at South Dakota State 10-7.
20 (UR)Central Arkansas 8-3 will win vs Sam Houston State. Eight wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Lamar 35-17 and vs Sam Houston State.
21 (UR)New Hampshire 7-4 will win vs Maine. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Richmond 30-25 and at Colgate 26-8.
22 Bethune Cookman 9-2 will win vs Florida A&M. Eight wins vs D-1. Sig win at Gambling State 56-53.
23 (25)The Citadel 7-4 will lose at South Carolina. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Western Carolina 28-10.
24 (28)Dayton 11-0 will win at Drake. No auto bid for the Pioneer but will receive an at large. Eleven wins vs D-1. Sig wins vs San Diego 13-12 and Jacksonville 31-14.

SWAC
-(22)Grambling State would have the best record finishing 9-2 with a win vs Southern. The SWAC hasn't fielded a team in the playoffs since '97 though so I doubt they will this year. Prairie View would finish 8-2 with a win vs Jackson State and be eligible for an invite also.

The Ivy League
Has never participated in post season play.

Seeding the top 8
1 Jacksonville State
2 McNeese State
3 NDSU
4 Charleston Southern
5 Coastal Carolina
6 Illinois State
7 South Dakota State
8 Chattanooga

bubble bursting this weekend
Eastern Washington with loss vs Portland State. Six wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Montana State at home 55-50.
Northern Arizona with loss at Southern Utah. Six wins vs D-1. Sig win at Stephen F Austin 34-28.
North Dakota with loss at Cal Poly. Six wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Wyoming 24-13 and at Portland State 19-17.
Villanova with a loss at James Madison. Six wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Richmond 21-20.
North Carolina Central with a loss at North Carolina A&T. 7-4 with six wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Morgan State 20-17.
South Carolina State with a win at Savannah State. 7-4 with seven wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Hampton 34-20.
Eastern Illinois with a loss vs Eastern Kentucky. Gives them six D-1 wins.
Eastern Kentucky with a win at Eastern Illinois. 7-4 with seven D-1 wins. Sig win at SE Missouri St 27-10.
San Diego with a win vs Butler. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Marist 30-27.
Sam Houston State with a loss at Central Arkansas. Six wins vs D-1. Sig win at Stephen F Austin 34-28.

Key games for Montana fans to watch.
Games that give us a chance to win the conference.
-Montana at Montana State. Duh.
-Northern Arizona at Southern Utah. Need an NAU victory for a chance at the conference auto bid.
-Portland State at Eastern Washington. Need an Eastern victory for the auto bid if SUU loses to NAU.

Other bubble team games.
-North Dakota at Cal Poly. A UND win would give them a 7-4 record and seven D-1 victories. Two impressive wins at Wyo and at PSU.
-William & Mary at Richmond. With a Richmond loss, they would finish 7-4 with seven D-1 wins and their only sig win is at James Madison 59-49.
-Villanova at James Madison. A Villanova loss would close them out at 7-4 with six D-1 wins, their sig win being Richmond 21-20 at home.
-Maine at New Hampshire. A Maine victory gives UNH a 6-4 record with six D-1 wins.
-Florida A&M at Bethune Cookman. B-C would make a strong case for an invite with a win making them 9-2 with eight D-1 wins. Their only sig win though is at Grambling State 56-53.
-North Carolina Central at North Carolina A&T. If NCC loses, they will only have six D-1 wins and NC A&T wins the auto. If NCC wins, they claim the auto and NC A&T may get an invite with eight D-1 victories including wins over Beth-Cook and S Carolina St.
-South Carolina State at Savannah State. A highly unlikely loss for SCS will close them out at six D-1 wins.
-Southern Illinois at Northern Iowa. A UNI loss gives them six D-1 wins.
-Eastern Kentucky at Eastern Illinois. Basically the winner of this game probably gets in with seven D-1 wins and the losers out. EIU has some better losses then EKU but their sig wins are about the same except EIU beat Tenn-Martin and EKU didn't. Could be what keeps EKU out even if they win.
-The Citadel at South Carolina. A HIGHLY unlikely win would make them a lock for an at large bid.
-Sam Houston State at Central Arkansas. A loss for Sam Houston State and their season will be done with only six D-1 victories. Central Arkansas already has seven with sig wins against SFA and Lamar. A tuff loss to Samford in week one could be their demise if they can't beat SHS on the road.
bubble teams in bold.

BamaGriz, I did read it and think you did a great job. Don't agree with everything you picked but you're apt to be quite close.

On the Big Sky games I think No Arizona wins. Believe Portland St & No Dakota probably win too but a little less certain on those two.

 

[DoubleNicks]

Was thinking of starting a new thread just to be a butt and then figured no one would read it anyway so I decided to bury my predictions in the preexisting thread. Still don't think anyone will read it though.

My Predictions for how they will finish the last week and the field of 24.
the conference auto bids
1 (1)Jacksonville State 10-1 will win vs Murray State to claim the OVC auto
2 (2)NDSU 9-2 will win vs Missouri State to claim the MVC auto bid.
3 (3)*McNeese State 10-0(LSU game cancelled) will win at Lamar. Already claimed the Southland Conference auto bid.
4 (9)*Charleston Southern 9-2 will lose at Alabama. Already claimed the Big South Conference auto bid.
5 (8)*Chattanooga 8-3 will lose at Florida State. Already claimed the Southern Conference auto bid.
6 (14)Richmond 8-3 will win vs William & Mary to claim the CAA auto bid.
7 (20)Southern Utah 8-3 will win vs Northern Arizona to claim the Big Sky Conference auto bid.
8 (16)North Carolina A&T 10-1 will win vs North Carolina Central to claim the MEAC auto bid.
9 (37)Duquesne 8-3 will win vs St Francis (PA) to claim the Northeast Conference auto bid.
10 (39)*Colgate 7-4 will win vs Bucknell. Already claimed Patriot League auto bid.
* already clinched conference

the at large bids
11 (4)Coastal Carolina 10-1 will win at Liberty. Ten wins vs D-1. Sig wins at South Carolina State 41-14, vs Western Illinois 34-27, and at Liberty.
12 (6)Illinois State 9-2 will win vs South Dakota. Nine wins vs D-1. Sig wins vs Northern Iowa 21-13, at Youngstown State 31-29, and vs Western Illinois 48-28.
13 (5)South Dakota State 9-2 will win at Western Illinois. Nine wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Kansas 41-38, vs Southern Utah 55-10, at Youngstown State 38-8, and vs Illinois State 25-20.
14 (7)William & Mary 8-3 will lose at Richmond. Allows Richmond to claim conference. Eight wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Lafayette 34-7, at Villanova 38-16, vs New Hampshire 34-18, and vs James Madison 44-41.
15 (11)Portland State 8-3 will win at Eastern Washington. Eight wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Washington State 24-17, at North Texas 66-7, vs Montana 35-16, and vs Southern Utah 24-23.
16 (12)James Madison 9-2 will win vs Villanova. Nine wins vs D-1. Sig wins at SMU 48-45, at Towsen 51-30, and at Villanova.
17 (13)Fordham 9-2 regular season is complete. Nine wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Army 37-35, at Lafeyette 35-7, and at Penn 48-45.
18 (17)Montana 7-4 will win at Montana State. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig wins vs NDSU 38-35, vs Northern Arizona 23-14, and vs Eastern Washington 57-16.
19 (15) Northern Iowa 7-4 will win vs Southern Illinois. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig wins vs Eastern Washington 38-35 and at South Dakota State 10-7.
20 (UR)Central Arkansas 8-3 will win vs Sam Houston State. Eight wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Lamar 35-17 and vs Sam Houston State.
21 (UR)New Hampshire 7-4 will win vs Maine. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Richmond 30-25 and at Colgate 26-8.
22 Bethune Cookman 9-2 will win vs Florida A&M. Eight wins vs D-1. Sig win at Gambling State 56-53.
23 (25)The Citadel 7-4 will lose at South Carolina. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Western Carolina 28-10.
24 (28)Dayton 11-0 will win at Drake. No auto bid for the Pioneer but will receive an at large. Eleven wins vs D-1. Sig wins vs San Diego 13-12 and Jacksonville 31-14.

SWAC
-(22)Grambling State would have the best record finishing 9-2 with a win vs Southern. The SWAC hasn't fielded a team in the playoffs since '97 though so I doubt they will this year. Prairie View would finish 8-2 with a win vs Jackson State and be eligible for an invite also.

The Ivy League
Has never participated in post season play.

Seeding the top 8
1 Jacksonville State
2 McNeese State
3 NDSU
4 Charleston Southern
5 Coastal Carolina
6 Illinois State
7 South Dakota State
8 Chattanooga

bubble bursting this weekend
Eastern Washington with loss vs Portland State. Six wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Montana State at home 55-50.
Northern Arizona with loss at Southern Utah. Six wins vs D-1. Sig win at Stephen F Austin 34-28.
North Dakota with loss at Cal Poly. Six wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Wyoming 24-13 and at Portland State 19-17.
Villanova with a loss at James Madison. Six wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Richmond 21-20.
North Carolina Central with a loss at North Carolina A&T. 7-4 with six wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Morgan State 20-17.
South Carolina State with a win at Savannah State. 7-4 with seven wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Hampton 34-20.
Eastern Illinois with a loss vs Eastern Kentucky. Gives them six D-1 wins.
Eastern Kentucky with a win at Eastern Illinois. 7-4 with seven D-1 wins. Sig win at SE Missouri St 27-10.
San Diego with a win vs Butler. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Marist 30-27.
Sam Houston State with a loss at Central Arkansas. Six wins vs D-1. Sig win at Stephen F Austin 34-28.

Key games for Montana fans to watch.
Games that give us a chance to win the conference.
-Montana at Montana State. Duh.
-Northern Arizona at Southern Utah. Need an NAU victory for a chance at the conference auto bid.
-Portland State at Eastern Washington. Need an Eastern victory for the auto bid if SUU loses to NAU.

Other bubble team games.
-North Dakota at Cal Poly. A UND win would give them a 7-4 record and seven D-1 victories. Two impressive wins at Wyo and at PSU.
-William & Mary at Richmond. With a Richmond loss, they would finish 7-4 with seven D-1 wins and their only sig win is at James Madison 59-49.
-Villanova at James Madison. A Villanova loss would close them out at 7-4 with six D-1 wins, their sig win being Richmond 21-20 at home.
-Maine at New Hampshire. A Maine victory gives UNH a 6-4 record with six D-1 wins.
-Florida A&M at Bethune Cookman. B-C would make a strong case for an invite with a win making them 9-2 with eight D-1 wins. Their only sig win though is at Grambling State 56-53.
-North Carolina Central at North Carolina A&T. If NCC loses, they will only have six D-1 wins and NC A&T wins the auto. If NCC wins, they claim the auto and NC A&T may get an invite with eight D-1 victories including wins over Beth-Cook and S Carolina St.
-South Carolina State at Savannah State. A highly unlikely loss for SCS will close them out at six D-1 wins.
-Southern Illinois at Northern Iowa. A UNI loss gives them six D-1 wins.
-Eastern Kentucky at Eastern Illinois. Basically the winner of this game probably gets in with seven D-1 wins and the losers out. EIU has some better losses then EKU but their sig wins are about the same except EIU beat Tenn-Martin and EKU didn't. Could be what keeps EKU out even if they win.
-The Citadel at South Carolina. A HIGHLY unlikely win would make them a lock for an at large bid.
-Sam Houston State at Central Arkansas. A loss for Sam Houston State and their season will be done with only six D-1 victories. Central Arkansas already has seven with sig wins against SFA and Lamar. A tuff loss to Samford in week one could be their demise if they can't beat SHS on the road.
bubble teams in bold.

BamaGriz, I did read it and think you did a great job. Don't agree with everything you picked but you're apt to be quite close.

On the Big Sky games I think No Arizona wins. Believe Portland St & No Dakota probably win too but a little less certain on those two.

Yeah, good stuff! After remembering this article, though (MEAC champ and SWAC champ playing in postseason bowl game), I now think MEAC only gets one team in (either NC A&T or Bethune-Cookman, but not both).

I was finding it hard to believe a 9-2 Big Sky team with 2 FBS wins wouldn't earn a seed but your seeds do look pretty good, especially if SUU wins and claims the Big Sky outright.

 

[CDAGRIZ]

personally, if I'm Carson or his family, i'm sitting it all out, why screw up a potential 1st or 2nd round draft pick by NOT getting fully healed by the NFL combine.

I don't know for sure, but I don't think his family is even on the roster. They have no choice but to sit it out. I also don't think any of the Wentzezes are potential first rounders.

 

[Grizzlies1982]

personally, if I'm Carson or his family, i'm sitting it all out, why screw up a potential 1st or 2nd round draft pick by NOT getting fully healed by the NFL combine.

I don't know for sure, but I don't think his family is even on the roster. They have no choice but to sit it out. I also don't think any of the Wentzezes are potential first rounders.

Hell he is easily the #3 pick overall.







Just ask any Beeson fan.

 

[CDAGRIZ]

personally, if I'm Carson or his family, i'm sitting it all out, why screw up a potential 1st or 2nd round draft pick by NOT getting fully healed by the NFL combine.

I don't know for sure, but I don't think his family is even on the roster. They have no choice but to sit it out. I also don't think any of the Wentzezes are potential first rounders.

Hell he is easily the #3 pick overall.







Just ask any Beeson fan.

In the CFL draft, maybe. Also, I bet his family goes undrafted.

 

[alabamagrizzly]

Was thinking of starting a new thread just to be a butt and then figured no one would read it anyway so I decided to bury my predictions in the preexisting thread. Still don't think anyone will read it though.

My Predictions for how they will finish the last week and the field of 24.
the conference auto bids
1 (1)Jacksonville State 10-1 will win vs Murray State to claim the OVC auto
2 (2)NDSU 9-2 will win vs Missouri State to claim the MVC auto bid.
3 (3)*McNeese State 10-0(LSU game cancelled) will win at Lamar. Already claimed the Southland Conference auto bid.
4 (9)*Charleston Southern 9-2 will lose at Alabama. Already claimed the Big South Conference auto bid.
5 (8)*Chattanooga 8-3 will lose at Florida State. Already claimed the Southern Conference auto bid.
6 (14)Richmond 8-3 will win vs William & Mary to claim the CAA auto bid.
7 (20)Southern Utah 8-3 will win vs Northern Arizona to claim the Big Sky Conference auto bid.
8 (16)North Carolina A&T 10-1 will win vs North Carolina Central to claim the MEAC auto bid.
9 (37)Duquesne 8-3 will win vs St Francis (PA) to claim the Northeast Conference auto bid.
10 (39)*Colgate 7-4 will win vs Bucknell. Already claimed Patriot League auto bid.
* already clinched conference

the at large bids
11 (4)Coastal Carolina 10-1 will win at Liberty. Ten wins vs D-1. Sig wins at South Carolina State 41-14, vs Western Illinois 34-27, and at Liberty.
12 (6)Illinois State 9-2 will win vs South Dakota. Nine wins vs D-1. Sig wins vs Northern Iowa 21-13, at Youngstown State 31-29, and vs Western Illinois 48-28.
13 (5)South Dakota State 9-2 will win at Western Illinois. Nine wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Kansas 41-38, vs Southern Utah 55-10, at Youngstown State 38-8, and vs Illinois State 25-20.
14 (7)William & Mary 8-3 will lose at Richmond. Allows Richmond to claim conference. Eight wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Lafayette 34-7, at Villanova 38-16, vs New Hampshire 34-18, and vs James Madison 44-41.
15 (11)Portland State 8-3 will win at Eastern Washington. Eight wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Washington State 24-17, at North Texas 66-7, vs Montana 35-16, and vs Southern Utah 24-23.
16 (12)James Madison 9-2 will win vs Villanova. Nine wins vs D-1. Sig wins at SMU 48-45, at Towsen 51-30, and at Villanova.
17 (13)Fordham 9-2 regular season is complete. Nine wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Army 37-35, at Lafeyette 35-7, and at Penn 48-45.
18 (17)Montana 7-4 will win at Montana State. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig wins vs NDSU 38-35, vs Northern Arizona 23-14, and vs Eastern Washington 57-16.
19 (15) Northern Iowa 7-4 will win vs Southern Illinois. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig wins vs Eastern Washington 38-35 and at South Dakota State 10-7.
20 (UR)Central Arkansas 8-3 will win vs Sam Houston State. Eight wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Lamar 35-17 and vs Sam Houston State.
21 (UR)New Hampshire 7-4 will win vs Maine. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Richmond 30-25 and at Colgate 26-8.
22 Bethune Cookman 9-2 will win vs Florida A&M. Eight wins vs D-1. Sig win at Gambling State 56-53.
23 (25)The Citadel 7-4 will lose at South Carolina. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Western Carolina 28-10.
24 (28)Dayton 11-0 will win at Drake. No auto bid for the Pioneer but will receive an at large. Eleven wins vs D-1. Sig wins vs San Diego 13-12 and Jacksonville 31-14.

SWAC
-(22)Grambling State would have the best record finishing 9-2 with a win vs Southern. The SWAC hasn't fielded a team in the playoffs since '97 though so I doubt they will this year. Prairie View would finish 8-2 with a win vs Jackson State and be eligible for an invite also.

The Ivy League
Has never participated in post season play.

Seeding the top 8
1 Jacksonville State
2 McNeese State
3 NDSU
4 Charleston Southern
5 Coastal Carolina
6 Illinois State
7 South Dakota State
8 Chattanooga

bubble bursting this weekend
Eastern Washington with loss vs Portland State. Six wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Montana State at home 55-50.
Northern Arizona with loss at Southern Utah. Six wins vs D-1. Sig win at Stephen F Austin 34-28.
North Dakota with loss at Cal Poly. Six wins vs D-1. Sig wins at Wyoming 24-13 and at Portland State 19-17.
Villanova with a loss at James Madison. Six wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Richmond 21-20.
North Carolina Central with a loss at North Carolina A&T. 7-4 with six wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Morgan State 20-17.
South Carolina State with a win at Savannah State. 7-4 with seven wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Hampton 34-20.
Eastern Illinois with a loss vs Eastern Kentucky. Gives them six D-1 wins.
Eastern Kentucky with a win at Eastern Illinois. 7-4 with seven D-1 wins. Sig win at SE Missouri St 27-10.
San Diego with a win vs Butler. Seven wins vs D-1. Sig win vs Marist 30-27.
Sam Houston State with a loss at Central Arkansas. Six wins vs D-1. Sig win at Stephen F Austin 34-28.

Key games for Montana fans to watch.
Games that give us a chance to win the conference.
-Montana at Montana State. Duh.
-Northern Arizona at Southern Utah. Need an NAU victory for a chance at the conference auto bid.
-Portland State at Eastern Washington. Need an Eastern victory for the auto bid if SUU loses to NAU.

Other bubble team games.
-North Dakota at Cal Poly. A UND win would give them a 7-4 record and seven D-1 victories. Two impressive wins at Wyo and at PSU.
-William & Mary at Richmond. With a Richmond loss, they would finish 7-4 with seven D-1 wins and their only sig win is at James Madison 59-49.
-Villanova at James Madison. A Villanova loss would close them out at 7-4 with six D-1 wins, their sig win being Richmond 21-20 at home.
-Maine at New Hampshire. A Maine victory gives UNH a 6-4 record with six D-1 wins.
-Florida A&M at Bethune Cookman. B-C would make a strong case for an invite with a win making them 9-2 with eight D-1 wins. Their only sig win though is at Grambling State 56-53.
-North Carolina Central at North Carolina A&T. If NCC loses, they will only have six D-1 wins and NC A&T wins the auto. If NCC wins, they claim the auto and NC A&T may get an invite with eight D-1 victories including wins over Beth-Cook and S Carolina St.
-South Carolina State at Savannah State. A highly unlikely loss for SCS will close them out at six D-1 wins.
-Southern Illinois at Northern Iowa. A UNI loss gives them six D-1 wins.
-Eastern Kentucky at Eastern Illinois. Basically the winner of this game probably gets in with seven D-1 wins and the losers out. EIU has some better losses then EKU but their sig wins are about the same except EIU beat Tenn-Martin and EKU didn't. Could be what keeps EKU out even if they win.
-The Citadel at South Carolina. A HIGHLY unlikely win would make them a lock for an at large bid.
-Sam Houston State at Central Arkansas. A loss for Sam Houston State and their season will be done with only six D-1 victories. Central Arkansas already has seven with sig wins against SFA and Lamar. A tuff loss to Samford in week one could be their demise if they can't beat SHS on the road.
bubble teams in bold.

BamaGriz, I did read it and think you did a great job. Don't agree with everything you picked but you're apt to be quite close.

On the Big Sky games I think No Arizona wins. Believe Portland St & No Dakota probably win too but a little less certain on those two.

Yeah, good stuff! After remembering this article, though (MEAC champ and SWAC champ playing in postseason bowl game), I now think MEAC only gets one team in (either NC A&T or Bethune-Cookman, but not both).

I was finding it hard to believe a 9-2 Big Sky team with 2 FBS wins wouldn't earn a seed but your seeds do look pretty good, especially if SUU wins and claims the Big Sky outright.

Thanx for the props. I'm really hoping NAU wins but it will be in Utah and that will give SUU's D an advantage. I also went with Cal Po cause they are at home too. Deffenetly both winnable games by the road teams though.

Nicks, if SUU loses and PSU wins, it could be likely PSU gets a bye. I based my seeds off my predictions of who's gonna win. I had also forgotten about the HSBC bowl game. I did notice though that the date would put the game around the semis and they probably figure any MEAC teams would be eliminated by then.

 

[Paytonlives]

Coastal leads Liberty 14-7 at Half

 

[alabamagrizzly]

Coastal leads Liberty 14-7 at Half

Lookin to be a good finish. This is Libertys season.