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Massey Ratings have Griz #3 in FCS

KILO217

Well-known member
The Massey Ratings have Montana ranked #3 for the 2021 season and predicts Griz will go 10-1 this year.
 
KILO217 said:
The Massey Ratings have Montana ranked #3 for the 2021 season and predicts Griz will go 10-1 this year.

How do you figure. I thought EW and EL were estimated wins and losses which make it a 7-4 prediction or is it some sort of percentage in those columns just trying to understand the numbers a little more.
 
RayWill said:
KILO217 said:
The Massey Ratings have Montana ranked #3 for the 2021 season and predicts Griz will go 10-1 this year.

How do you figure. I thought EW and EL were estimated wins and losses which make it a 7-4 prediction or is it some sort of percentage in those columns just trying to understand the numbers a little more.

If you click on Montana, you are directed to a page where Massey predicts the outcome of each game Montana plays this fall. That's where the 10-1 prediction is coming from. The only loss predicted to come from Washington (17-38 Washington).
 
get'em_griz said:
RayWill said:
How do you figure. I thought EW and EL were estimated wins and losses which make it a 7-4 prediction or is it some sort of percentage in those columns just trying to understand the numbers a little more.

If you click on Montana, you are directed to a page where Massey predicts the outcome of each game Montana plays this fall. That's where the 10-1 prediction is coming from. The only loss predicted to come from Washington (17-38 Washington).

we keep it to 21 after the game two years ago and I'll take that all day long.
 
get'em_griz said:
RayWill said:
How do you figure. I thought EW and EL were estimated wins and losses which make it a 7-4 prediction or is it some sort of percentage in those columns just trying to understand the numbers a little more.

If you click on Montana, you are directed to a page where Massey predicts the outcome of each game Montana plays this fall. That's where the 10-1 prediction is coming from. The only loss predicted to come from Washington (17-38 Washington).

If those score predictions are correct, I will have night terrors and crippling anxiety. Holy barnburners! Spinzone: I'd probably lose like 15 lbs. by November.
 
AZGrizFan said:
get'em_griz said:
If you click on Montana, you are directed to a page where Massey predicts the outcome of each game Montana plays this fall. That's where the 10-1 prediction is coming from. The only loss predicted to come from Washington (17-38 Washington).

we keep it to 21 after the game two years ago and I'll take that all day long.
Montana last played UW 9/9/2017
 
CDAGRIZ said:
get'em_griz said:
If you click on Montana, you are directed to a page where Massey predicts the outcome of each game Montana plays this fall. That's where the 10-1 prediction is coming from. The only loss predicted to come from Washington (17-38 Washington).

If those score predictions are correct, I will have night terrors and crippling anxiety. Holy barnburners! Spinzone: I'd probably lose like 15 lbs. by November.

I predict the following teams don't break 17 points: CP, Dixie State, Sac State, SUU, UNC, NAU. I predict we score over 35 against each of these opponents (Massey seems to REALLY like 30 and 31 as score numbers)

You aren't going to lose as much weight as you thought.
 
CDAGRIZ said:
get'em_griz said:
If you click on Montana, you are directed to a page where Massey predicts the outcome of each game Montana plays this fall. That's where the 10-1 prediction is coming from. The only loss predicted to come from Washington (17-38 Washington).

If those score predictions are correct, I will have night terrors and crippling anxiety. Holy barnburners! Spinzone: I'd probably lose like 15 lbs. by November.
Thank you. After reading how the massey ratings are calculated for predictions I think I understand this aa little maybe, As you can see the win probabilty is given in a percentage for each game. At washington the win probability is 12% so Montana is given a loss, however the win probability is really low basically a toss up on at least 4 of those so that is where the EW and EL comes in. Really massey is confident in aa 7-4 season at worst for the Griz and a 10-1 at best. Really predicting tough games vs EWU and vs Idaho and NAU. technically the confidence is not high against No Co but come on it is NoCo.
 
CDAGRIZ said:
If those score predictions are correct, I will have night terrors and crippling anxiety. Holy barnburners! Spinzone: I'd probably lose like 15 lbs. by November.

Bluto to Flounder: "My advice to you is to start drinking heavily." :thumb:
 
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