tnt said:No where did I offer an opinion of the evidence, if for no other reason that it hasn't been presented. Now possibly you will see more with the prosecution's answer to the motion. Apparently your experiece is on TV. While an 11-1 won't result in a conviction, there is no assurance it will result in the dropping of charges. It takes an 0-12 to acquit. Anything less is mistrial, then its a crap shoot as to what will happen. Its unlikley there will be a dismissal, so deal with it. There are ways to make this all go away.
As far as that reasonable doubt thing, the jury decides whats reasonable. That leaves it awfully subjective.
In the answer to the motion the prosecutor should be providing evidence showing what the victim "meant" when she sent texts saying "this is going to hit him like a ton of bricks," "I think he thinks he did nothing wrong," "all's good," etc., obtained before the prosecutor charged him. Otherwise, the defense will continue to argue the prosecution lacked probable cause to charge. For purposes of the motion what the victim and others might say now is pretty much irrelevant. A prosecutor cannot charge someone with a crime and then go look for the evidence to support the charge.
A lot of people have blown off Pabst's motion to dismiss as being "filed all the time," with the thoughts that it will be summarily denied. Pabst has made an excellent argument as to whether the prosecution had probable cause as to JJ's mental state that theoretically is hard to overcome. I have the feeling the motion will be denied, but I will not be surprised if the party that loses the motion appeals the decision.
