After reviewing the standings in FCS, I come up with 48 teams still alive. I went through and ranked them based upon the probability they will make the field of 20 this year. Note that this isn't a ranking of the best teams, just chances they will make the playoffs. Let me know if I missed anyone, but I think I got all the teams who could still get to 7 D-I wins.
LOCKS
1) Tennessee State* - Have 7 D-I wins already. Look to be best of OVC.
2) Lehigh* - Have 7 D-I wins already. Look to be best of Patriot.
3) Stony Brook* - Easy remaining schedule. 9 or 10 wins not a problem.
4) Northern Arizona* - They've got a very favorable remaining schedule. Will get 8 wins, maybe 10.
5) Albany* - Hopefully Monmouth, Duquesne, or Wagner don't spoil this one team league AQ.
6) Illinois State - I don't think they'll win the MVC, but they'll easily get to 8 wins.
7) Cal Poly - Same as Illinois State above.
Virtual Locks
8) Central Arkansas* - They should win out. They need to win 3 out of 4 though to get to 7 D-I wins.
9) North Dakota State* - If it wasn't for the slip up last week, they'd be in the locks.
10) Montana State - Only need to win 2 of their last 4 to get in.
11) South Dakota State - The NDSU game will probably decide the MVC. But both will be in.
12) Eastern Washington - Only below MSU because they probably need to win 3 of their last 5.
13) James Madison - Have three winnable games before closing with ODU and Villanova.
14) Old Dominion - Similar position as JMU above. Replace Villanova with Towson.
15) New Hampshire* - They've got the easier schedule w/o JMU or Villanova, and could snag the CAA.
16) Georgia Southern* - Georgia as their last game, but a win against App St probably gets the AQ.
Looking Good
17) Villanova - The loss to Richmond puts them a little behind, but should still get in.
18) Appalachian State - Home game against Wofford this weekend. Wofford takes this spot if they win.
19) Eastern Kentucky - Hard to see EKU lose another game, which puts them at 9-2.
20) Bethune Cookman* - The last AQ. The MEAC will be decided on 10/27 against NCCU.
The 20 teams above are my early picks for the playoffs (again, ranked by probability of getting in).
Work to Do Can get in with a strong run down the stretch.
21) Wofford - Again, they swap with App St if they beat them this weekend.
22) Youngstown State - They can still recover and have some winnable games to close out.
23) Sam Houston - Bad scheduling this year. They've got to win their next 4 to make a case.
24) Richmond - Need to win out, including a game against JMU to get in.
25) McNeese State - Bad loss to SE Louisiana, but can make up for it if they win out.
26) Tennessee Martin - Sneaky team. Probably will be 8-2 going into the TSU game.
27) Lafayette - Favorable schedule could have them stealing a spot.
28) Sacramento State - Tough stretch of games to close out, but 3 out of 4 would get them in.
29) Indiana State - Got everyone's attention after NDSU, but need to win 3 out of 4 to be considered.
30) Delaware - Sitting at 4-2, but I don't see them winning 3 more games.
31) North Carolina Central - If they win the 10/27 game against BC, they take the MEAC.
Back Against the Wall No room for error, and probably need a little luck.
32) Citadel - The 3 game losing streak hurt, but a 5 game winning streak would garner attention.
33) Southern Illinois - Really tough schedule to close out, and probably need to win out.
34) Towson - Brutal schedule so far, and it doesn't get easier. ODU, Villanova, UNH? Ouch.
35) Montana - Here they are, still kicking. Win out and they're in the discussion, but outside shot.
36) Liberty - Despite their 2-4 record, they can still win out and steal the AQ from Stony Brook.
Alive But Unlikely
37) Eastern Illinois - They can get to 7 D-I wins, but I don't see a 7-4 OVC team getting in.
38) Monmouth - Still alive for the NEC AQ, but I don't think they can beat Albany.
39) Colgate - Still alive for the Patriot AQ, but I don't think they can beat Lehigh.
40) Samford - Don't be fooled by 5-2. They have to win their next 3 to get to 7 D-I wins.
41) Duquesne - Similar to Monmouth, but they haven't played Wagner yet.
42) Maine - They need to win out to get to 7-4. UNH and JMU on the schedule is rough.
43) Wagner - Alive for the NEC AQ, but already lost to Monmouth.
44) Coastal Carolina - They could win out and get to 7-4. But no way this team gets in.
45 thru 47) Delaware State, Howard, Morgan State - Alive for the MEAC, but they won't win it.
48) Southeastern Louisiana - They got lucky against McNeese to stay undefeated in the Southland, but no way they beat Central Arkansas and Sam Houston State in back to back weeks.
LOCKS
1) Tennessee State* - Have 7 D-I wins already. Look to be best of OVC.
2) Lehigh* - Have 7 D-I wins already. Look to be best of Patriot.
3) Stony Brook* - Easy remaining schedule. 9 or 10 wins not a problem.
4) Northern Arizona* - They've got a very favorable remaining schedule. Will get 8 wins, maybe 10.
5) Albany* - Hopefully Monmouth, Duquesne, or Wagner don't spoil this one team league AQ.
6) Illinois State - I don't think they'll win the MVC, but they'll easily get to 8 wins.
7) Cal Poly - Same as Illinois State above.
Virtual Locks
8) Central Arkansas* - They should win out. They need to win 3 out of 4 though to get to 7 D-I wins.
9) North Dakota State* - If it wasn't for the slip up last week, they'd be in the locks.
10) Montana State - Only need to win 2 of their last 4 to get in.
11) South Dakota State - The NDSU game will probably decide the MVC. But both will be in.
12) Eastern Washington - Only below MSU because they probably need to win 3 of their last 5.
13) James Madison - Have three winnable games before closing with ODU and Villanova.
14) Old Dominion - Similar position as JMU above. Replace Villanova with Towson.
15) New Hampshire* - They've got the easier schedule w/o JMU or Villanova, and could snag the CAA.
16) Georgia Southern* - Georgia as their last game, but a win against App St probably gets the AQ.
Looking Good
17) Villanova - The loss to Richmond puts them a little behind, but should still get in.
18) Appalachian State - Home game against Wofford this weekend. Wofford takes this spot if they win.
19) Eastern Kentucky - Hard to see EKU lose another game, which puts them at 9-2.
20) Bethune Cookman* - The last AQ. The MEAC will be decided on 10/27 against NCCU.
The 20 teams above are my early picks for the playoffs (again, ranked by probability of getting in).
Work to Do Can get in with a strong run down the stretch.
21) Wofford - Again, they swap with App St if they beat them this weekend.
22) Youngstown State - They can still recover and have some winnable games to close out.
23) Sam Houston - Bad scheduling this year. They've got to win their next 4 to make a case.
24) Richmond - Need to win out, including a game against JMU to get in.
25) McNeese State - Bad loss to SE Louisiana, but can make up for it if they win out.
26) Tennessee Martin - Sneaky team. Probably will be 8-2 going into the TSU game.
27) Lafayette - Favorable schedule could have them stealing a spot.
28) Sacramento State - Tough stretch of games to close out, but 3 out of 4 would get them in.
29) Indiana State - Got everyone's attention after NDSU, but need to win 3 out of 4 to be considered.
30) Delaware - Sitting at 4-2, but I don't see them winning 3 more games.
31) North Carolina Central - If they win the 10/27 game against BC, they take the MEAC.
Back Against the Wall No room for error, and probably need a little luck.
32) Citadel - The 3 game losing streak hurt, but a 5 game winning streak would garner attention.
33) Southern Illinois - Really tough schedule to close out, and probably need to win out.
34) Towson - Brutal schedule so far, and it doesn't get easier. ODU, Villanova, UNH? Ouch.
35) Montana - Here they are, still kicking. Win out and they're in the discussion, but outside shot.
36) Liberty - Despite their 2-4 record, they can still win out and steal the AQ from Stony Brook.
Alive But Unlikely
37) Eastern Illinois - They can get to 7 D-I wins, but I don't see a 7-4 OVC team getting in.
38) Monmouth - Still alive for the NEC AQ, but I don't think they can beat Albany.
39) Colgate - Still alive for the Patriot AQ, but I don't think they can beat Lehigh.
40) Samford - Don't be fooled by 5-2. They have to win their next 3 to get to 7 D-I wins.
41) Duquesne - Similar to Monmouth, but they haven't played Wagner yet.
42) Maine - They need to win out to get to 7-4. UNH and JMU on the schedule is rough.
43) Wagner - Alive for the NEC AQ, but already lost to Monmouth.
44) Coastal Carolina - They could win out and get to 7-4. But no way this team gets in.
45 thru 47) Delaware State, Howard, Morgan State - Alive for the MEAC, but they won't win it.
48) Southeastern Louisiana - They got lucky against McNeese to stay undefeated in the Southland, but no way they beat Central Arkansas and Sam Houston State in back to back weeks.
