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FCS Mailbag: Dark Horses, Next Teams In Realignment, FCS Schools Facing Payout Reductions


so what do you think about his opinion ?
I thought this was an interesting take I rarely see -- "I’ve written and talked about this a lot — The bar to win an FCS national title has never been higher. The things needed on the field and off the field to consistently compete for a championship is a bar that not many can reach."

I also think he makes a good point that the G5 may block fcs move ups. We all act like they would want us. They have plenty of reasons to keep the Montana and Dakota schools out of the G5.
 
His quote:

"But if you’re a Montana/Montana State/Idaho/Sac State/UC Davis/NDSU/SDSU fan who wants to go FBS, the cleanest path may be a Pac2 rebuild with G5 teams."

Seems like the one most would embrace if a move up option actually materialized...
 
"FCS-level schools will see an average of about $300,000 in annual reductions over 10 years. It’ll be more for some, less for others, depending on how much their conferences have earned in NCAA Tourney payouts in recent years. G5 schools will have a $450,000 annual reduction average, and P5 schools will see about a $962K annual reduction. Of course, $300,000 for an FCS school hits much differently than $1M for a P5 athletic department."
 
Looks like Herder think UM has accomplished RTD. "But right now, it seems the bulk of the semifinals and championship game will be a combination of SDSU, NDSU, Montana, and Montana State with a different team rising up every year to challenge them (UIW in 2022, UAlbany and Furman last year). But I’m not sure what team can consistently do it every year."
 
"At the end of the day, though, these smaller leagues are powerless. What are they going to do, refuse to pay? Then the P5s would respond with, “OK, if you don’t want to help settle this massive price tag, then we’ll do our own basketball tournament. If you won’t help pay this, then we’ll keep all the revenue that you guys are enjoying to ourselves by doing our own thing. You think a reduction is bad, just wait until you see none of that NCAA Tournament revenue when we do our own tournament. So you may not want to complain too much here.”

On a positive note, if the P5s are splitting the settlement bill with the NCAA and the non-P5s using some NCAA Tournament money, that would theoretically suggest the NCAA Tourney is safe in its current state, and the threat diminishes of the power basketball schools breaking away from the smaller schools. Access and payouts from the NCAA basketball tourney are vital. It’s the lifeblood for mid-major conferences. A football-only breakaway, though, could be a different story as a restructuring of D1 football may be nearing."
 
Looks like Herder think UM has accomplished RTD. "But right now, it seems the bulk of the semifinals and championship game will be a combination of SDSU, NDSU, Montana, and Montana State with a different team rising up every year to challenge them (UIW in 2022, UAlbany and Furman last year). But I’m not sure what team can consistently do it every year."
Third better call Herder and tell him how wrong he is.
 
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