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Bozeman State Bobcats scouting report
- Thread starter BWahlberg
- Start date
i personally would like to see him out there to clear out the center so that Bingham and Deming get the ball more this week.Htowngriz said:
other notes: ol is going to have their work cut out for them. that front line has to be a fortress to give sneed the protection to throw the underneath game to the TE and JLM and to give knight and ostmo a little running room past the line of scrimmage.
would like to see graves get a couple of touches as well.
defense: gap cover to the max do not let all the trickery create opportunities. expecting great plays from dante and jace, do not want to see hauck over pursue and get burned, hope to see mcginnis in some of the plays other than special teams (he is truely a savvy football player). sandry, calhoun, hauck, nash and robertson will have to be on their game to read the offense and qb and stay the course.
both teams will bring the energy it will be who can execute better and play solid fundamental football.
which includes tackling, gap cover and making the right reads on defense and ol fortress cover on passing and making enough of a push for the offensive backs to reach the next level past the line of scrimmage.
if both teams play up to their expectation it will be a close one.......... griz to score 7-10 in the fourth qtr to cover and finish the game with a win.
Counter Assault
Well-known member
I just hope Adam Eastwood is healthy and shows his ball handling prowess again on Saturday.
MTGRZ said:
Not to mention Malik Flowers. I won’t lie and say there is no drop off, but both of these kids are excellent in their own right. Flowers is just flat fast and Roberts has a knack for getting the ball in traffic like his brother. Wish we had Akem, but the next man up is pretty damn good too.
garizzalies
Well-known member
I don’t think that trick play where RSBV tries to throw a bounce pass off the DT’s chest is going to work this week, if it ever has. Gubner’s got 4 pics on the year and he’d take that shit to the house!The.Real.2506 said:
Seriously, RSBV has thrown a pic6 or near pic6 in practically every game. I think the O/U is 1.5 this week, and I’m taking the over.
Counter Assault is a cat fan.reinell30 said:
Grizzlies1982
Well-known member
With the Griz packing the box the cats will pass more. Rovig can throw a nice pass. Just can't seem to do it twice in a row. They'll try to test that theory Saturday. He will complete some. Though once the heat is on he will also throw some interceptions and/or provide a fumble.
To date, their Andersen/Jonsen wildcat has been 5% toss to jet sweep dude, 5% pass, and 90% keep it and run up the middle. Saturday expect them to increase the pass & toss percentages. I'd expect to a tight end, or Cassis steaking up the sideline. Hope our safeties don't sell out entirely to stop the run.
Both Andersen and Jonsen were QBs. Though neither was very good at passing, these plays could be a chance for the cats to catch us off guard. Though it is equally a good chance for a pick when they toss the ball.
The cats will pass more but ultimately the Grizzlies just need to stop their run game to win it.
On offense the Grizzlies need to provide Sneed time. Doesn't have to be much, just some time. MSU will have Andersen and/or Sterk blitzing in constantly. If so, Sneed throws the quick hit passes and we march up the field. About the time they adjust to that we have Ostmo / Knight slashing them, or hit Toure / Roberts on longer routes.
These Grizzlies will consistently move the ball on the cats. Expect the cats to have difficulty consistently doing anything. Though I'm not expecting a beat down. The only way MSU wins this one is if they do to us what the Griz did to Weber and run off five quick touchdowns. Trick / big plays will give them a few, yet the Grizzlies grow stronger as the game goes on and win this by at least 10 or more.
To date, their Andersen/Jonsen wildcat has been 5% toss to jet sweep dude, 5% pass, and 90% keep it and run up the middle. Saturday expect them to increase the pass & toss percentages. I'd expect to a tight end, or Cassis steaking up the sideline. Hope our safeties don't sell out entirely to stop the run.
Both Andersen and Jonsen were QBs. Though neither was very good at passing, these plays could be a chance for the cats to catch us off guard. Though it is equally a good chance for a pick when they toss the ball.
The cats will pass more but ultimately the Grizzlies just need to stop their run game to win it.
On offense the Grizzlies need to provide Sneed time. Doesn't have to be much, just some time. MSU will have Andersen and/or Sterk blitzing in constantly. If so, Sneed throws the quick hit passes and we march up the field. About the time they adjust to that we have Ostmo / Knight slashing them, or hit Toure / Roberts on longer routes.
These Grizzlies will consistently move the ball on the cats. Expect the cats to have difficulty consistently doing anything. Though I'm not expecting a beat down. The only way MSU wins this one is if they do to us what the Griz did to Weber and run off five quick touchdowns. Trick / big plays will give them a few, yet the Grizzlies grow stronger as the game goes on and win this by at least 10 or more.
Let's dig into the numbers, shall we?
MSU...scoring 32.5 ppg, but those #'s are bolstered by big scores against horrible teams...56 against Norfolk St., 42 against SUU, 45 against UNC, 49 against NAU...What happened when they face a "real D"? 21 against Sac St. 12 against UND (who had given up 55 to Idaho St., 35 to Weber and 38 to UNC :shock: ). 23 against Western Illinois --the same WIU that's 1-10 right now. UM, on the other hand, scores 30+/game, almost regardless of level of competition.
They give up just 125 ypg rushing. But those numbers are skewed by playing the two cellar-dwellers and giving up just 44 (UNC) and 50 (SUU). NAU rushed for 164 (5.5/carry), CP rushed for 251 (3.4/carry), UCD rushed for 157 (6.8/carry)....so crappy teams have found a way to develop a rush game against MSU. Griz, on the other hand, are incredibly balanced, running the ball 414 times (28 TD's and passing it 411 (26 TD's). Pick your poison, MSU.
They put up massive rush/game numbers, averaging 259.9/game. But that's skewed by 340 against NAU (the worst D in BSC), 451 against UNC (again, the worst D in BSC), 449 against Norfolk St (honestly, should those stats even COUNT?). Sac held them to 141 (3.4/carry), even WIU held them to 194 (4.5/carry)…Griz, on the other hand, have had just ONE FCS team sniff a 200 yard running day (ISU with 197). Outside that, we have five games < 100 yards given up, and 3 games < 70 yards given up rushing, and that's having played 5 of the top 7 rushing offenses in the conference--an AVERAGE of 83 ypg the last four contests.
MSU has outscored opponents in the first half 180-159. in the 2nd half their point differential 92-62. Griz, on the other hand, against a significantly tougher schedule, outscored opponents in the 1st half just 169-165, but in the 2nd half have outscored opponents 248-93 (largest margin in football, I believe).
Read into these what you will, but here's my take. MSU's stats have been piled up against absolutely horrid competition. Norfolk State? UNC? SUU? NAU? WIU? Holy CRAP is there a worse five teams on ANYBODY's schedule? I don't think so--but they looked like world beaters against them. Even against mediocre competition however (UND, CP, WIU, etc) they've struggled to put away teams. My predictions for Saturday:
* Game is close at halftime (potentially even with a small MSU lead that they jumped out to and hung on), 14-13 or 14-10, something like that
* Griz give up over 100 yards rushing in 1st half
* Griz score twice in 3rd quarter to pull away
* Griz shut down running game in 2nd half, < 75 yards given up
* MSU's passing game struggles, with at least 1 pick and < 50% completion ratio
Griz win going away, 42-21
MSU...scoring 32.5 ppg, but those #'s are bolstered by big scores against horrible teams...56 against Norfolk St., 42 against SUU, 45 against UNC, 49 against NAU...What happened when they face a "real D"? 21 against Sac St. 12 against UND (who had given up 55 to Idaho St., 35 to Weber and 38 to UNC :shock: ). 23 against Western Illinois --the same WIU that's 1-10 right now. UM, on the other hand, scores 30+/game, almost regardless of level of competition.
They give up just 125 ypg rushing. But those numbers are skewed by playing the two cellar-dwellers and giving up just 44 (UNC) and 50 (SUU). NAU rushed for 164 (5.5/carry), CP rushed for 251 (3.4/carry), UCD rushed for 157 (6.8/carry)....so crappy teams have found a way to develop a rush game against MSU. Griz, on the other hand, are incredibly balanced, running the ball 414 times (28 TD's and passing it 411 (26 TD's). Pick your poison, MSU.
They put up massive rush/game numbers, averaging 259.9/game. But that's skewed by 340 against NAU (the worst D in BSC), 451 against UNC (again, the worst D in BSC), 449 against Norfolk St (honestly, should those stats even COUNT?). Sac held them to 141 (3.4/carry), even WIU held them to 194 (4.5/carry)…Griz, on the other hand, have had just ONE FCS team sniff a 200 yard running day (ISU with 197). Outside that, we have five games < 100 yards given up, and 3 games < 70 yards given up rushing, and that's having played 5 of the top 7 rushing offenses in the conference--an AVERAGE of 83 ypg the last four contests.
MSU has outscored opponents in the first half 180-159. in the 2nd half their point differential 92-62. Griz, on the other hand, against a significantly tougher schedule, outscored opponents in the 1st half just 169-165, but in the 2nd half have outscored opponents 248-93 (largest margin in football, I believe).
Read into these what you will, but here's my take. MSU's stats have been piled up against absolutely horrid competition. Norfolk State? UNC? SUU? NAU? WIU? Holy CRAP is there a worse five teams on ANYBODY's schedule? I don't think so--but they looked like world beaters against them. Even against mediocre competition however (UND, CP, WIU, etc) they've struggled to put away teams. My predictions for Saturday:
* Game is close at halftime (potentially even with a small MSU lead that they jumped out to and hung on), 14-13 or 14-10, something like that
* Griz give up over 100 yards rushing in 1st half
* Griz score twice in 3rd quarter to pull away
* Griz shut down running game in 2nd half, < 75 yards given up
* MSU's passing game struggles, with at least 1 pick and < 50% completion ratio
Griz win going away, 42-21
I like all the stats. Griz fan base is confident. FCS reporters are picking Griz. The thing that gives me most confidence is the beatdowns and how the Griz team is getting stronger as the season progresses.
Can’t get enough of the highlights of Olson and Lewis. Jesse Sims is a beast and Robertson is getting into a groove on the hard hits. O’Connell is all over the place and there are several defenders in rotation, I like the offense and all the formations, but love the defense and how physical they play. The defense is fast and plays lights out, MSU is going to find out how different this team is.
Can’t get enough of the highlights of Olson and Lewis. Jesse Sims is a beast and Robertson is getting into a groove on the hard hits. O’Connell is all over the place and there are several defenders in rotation, I like the offense and all the formations, but love the defense and how physical they play. The defense is fast and plays lights out, MSU is going to find out how different this team is.
AZGrizFan said:
Nice analyst. Thanks for posting.
I'll add,
Massey now has the Griz SOS as the #2 toughest schedule in the country.
At this point we have pretty solid evidence of who the Griz are. As your post shows, the Cats could still be paper tigers and in for a surprise come Saturday. Can't wait to find out.
