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Big Sky Con strength of schedule

alabamagrizzly

alabamagrizzly

Well-known member
Decided to try and do a strength of schedule rankings for the Big Sky. Had to get a little creative with a point system based of this years rankings. I grouped the Big Sky into 4 tiers based off the polls and what little knowledge I have of the teams. Feel free to critique exept all the naysayers that don't think the Griz are a tier 1 team.
tier 1
-Eastern Washington
-Montana State
-Montana
-Cal Poly
tier 2
-Idaho State
-Northern Arizona
tier 3
-Sacramento State
-Southern Utah
-Portland State
tier 4
-North Dakota
-Weber State
-UC Davis
-Northern Colorado

It may look like a lot but the point system really isn't too complex. One thing that will skew the rankings is teams that play ranked FBS teams. I figure those games should be unwinable if the FBS teams show up so I made those kind of high. Obviously 0 pts for any D2 and tier 4 teams played at home. It's not a perfect system(yes it is) but its just for fun any way.
vs D2-0pts
vs tier 4 BSC/home-0pts
vs tier 4 BSC/road-1pt
vs tier 3 BSC/home-1pt
vs tier 3 BSC/road-2pts
vs tier 2 BSC/home-2pts
vs tier 2 BSC/road-3pts
vs tier 1 BSC/home-3pts
vs tier 1 BSC/road-4pts
vs UM/EWU road-5pts
vs bottom half FCS/home-1pts
vs bottom half FCS/road-2pts
vs top half FCS/home-2pts
vs top half FCS/road-3pts
vs top 25 FCS/home-3pts
vs top 25 FCS/road-4pts
vs top 15 FCS/home-4pts
vs top 15 FCS/road-5pts
vs top 5 FCS/home-5pts
vs top 5 FCS/road-6pts
vs bottom half FBS-5pts
vs top half FBS-7pts
vs ranked FBS-10pts

Schedule rank and team followed by overall schedule points and conference scheduled points. Once in the schedule's of each team, the first column is conference ranking(tier rank for each BSC team). The second column is their national rank if applicable and the third column is how many points the game is worth.

team________overall____vs con
t1st CAL POLY__37pts___18pts__con rank___nat rank___sched pts
at Montana__________________1st_______17th________5
at Arizona State______________pac3rd____16th_______10
Northern Iowa_______________mvc3rd____11th________4
at Montana State_____________1st_______13th________5
Idaho State__________________2nd______18th_________3
at Eastern Washington________1st________6th_________5
Portland State_______________3rd________na_________1
at Southern Utah_____________3rd________na_________2
Sacramento State____________3rd________na_________1
at UC Davis_________________4th________na__________1
North Dakota________________4th________na_________0
Cal Poly has the hardest schedule the 1st half of the year followed by the easiest schedule the second half. Their first six games are against ranked opponents, including a ranked FBS foe. They also play at Montana, Montana St, and Eastern Washington. They will have to go at least 2-2 against their first four BSC opponents if they want a chance at winning the con.

t1st EASTERN WASH__37pts___18pts
at Oregon__________________pac1st______5th________10
at Northern Iowa____________mvc3rd_____11th________5
Montana State_______________1st________13th________4
at Sacramento State__________3rd________na_________2
Cal Poly____________________1st________24th________3
at Idaho State_______________2nd_______18th________4
at Northern Colorado_________4th________na_________1
Weber State________________4th_________na_________0
Northern Arizona____________2nd________na_________2
at Montana_________________1st________17th________5
Portland State______________3rd_________na_________1
On the road vs Oregon, Northern Iowa, Idaho St, and Montana plus Montana St, Cal Poly, and NAU at home all while breaking in a new QB and trying to find a defence. Should be a interesting year in Cheany.

3rd IDAHO ST_______35pts____20pts
Black Hills State_____________D2_________na_________0
Portland State______________3rd_________na_________1
at Boise State______________mtw1st_____24th________10
at UNLV___________________mtw12th_____na_________5
at Cal Poly_________________1st________24th_________4
at North Dakota_____________4th_________na_________1
Eastern Washington__________1st_________6th________4
at Sacramento State_________3rd_________na_________2
Montana___________________1st________17th_________3
Montana State______________1st________13th_________4
at Weber State_____________4th__________na_________1
Playing the Mtn West top to bottom in their 3rd and 4th games. Getting Eastern and the Montanas at home helps. Scheduling a D-2 school probably kept them from the tuffest sched. Time to prove how legit they are.

4th PORTLAND ST____32pts_____22pts
at Washington State_________pac10th_____na_________5
at Idaho State______________2nd_______18th_________4
Western Oregon____________D2__________na_________0
North Dakota_______________4th_________na_________0
at North Texas_____________cusa11th_____na_________5
Montana State______________1st________13th________4
at Cal Poly_________________1st________24th________4
Montana___________________1st________17th________3
at Northern Colorado________4th_________na_________1
Southern Utah______________3rd_________na_________1
at Eastern Washington_______1st________6th__________5
A good balance but a tuff schedule for a team that almost wasn't gonna play this year. Both Montanas at home but Idaho St, Cal Poly, and Eastern Wash on the road with two lower level FBS schools on the docket. If the Viqueens survive the sched, it could be the rebirth of a good PSU team.

t5th MONTANA_____31pts_____18pts
North Dakota State_________mvc1st_____1st__________5
Cal Poly___________________1st________24th_________3
at Liberty________________bigsou2nd___12th_________5
Northern Arizona___________2nd________na__________2
at UC Davis________________4th________na__________1
Weber State_______________4th________na__________0
North Dakota______________4th________na___________0
at Portland State___________3rd________na__________2
at Idaho State_____________2nd________18th_________4
Eastern Washington_________1st________6th__________4
at Montana State___________1st________13th_________5
The tuffest schedule without an FBS opponent(although some could argue NDSU plays at that level). A ruff first month and last month with a cupcake schedule through oct. Getting NDSU, Cal Po, NAU, and E Wash at home helps. At Lib, Idaho St, and MSU will be tuff road games. If Stitt and co get some big wins, I see is regaining our BSC dominance.

t5th NORTH DAKOTA___31pts___19pts
at Wyoming______________mtw10th_____na__________5
Drake____________________pio3rd______na__________1
at North Dakota State______mvc1st______1st_________6
UC Davis__________________4th________na__________0
at Portland State___________3rd________na__________2
Idaho State________________2nd________18th________3
at Weber State_____________4th________na_________1
at Montana________________1st________17th________5
Montana State_____________1st________13th________4
Northern Colorado__________4th_______na__________0
at Cal Poly________________1st________24th________4
Couple real tuff OOC games on the road and playing at PSU, Mont, and Cal Po will be tuff. Getting Idaho St and MSU at home where No Dak is a much stonger team will help.

t5th NOR ARIZONA____31pts____18pts
at Steph F. Austin_________soulnd4th____na_________3
N.M. Highlands____________D2_________na__________0
at Arizona________________pac6th_____22nd________10
at Montana_______________1st_________17th________5
Montana State____________1st_________13th________4
at UC Davis_______________4th_________na_________1
Weber State______________4th_________na_________0
Northern Colorado_________4th_________na_________0
at Eastern Washington______1st_________6th________5
Sacramento State__________3rd_________na________1
at Southern Utah___________3rd________na__________2
Another team with a soft middle stretch sandwiched between two tuff stretches. Starting the year mostly on the road against SFA, Mont, and FBS Ari. Finishing the year on the road against E Wash and S Utah and getting Sac St at home. Somehow, no matter how good NAU is though, they always seem to lose a game they should win. Could be Sac St this year which would be very costly at the end of the year.

8th WEBER ST_____30pts_____18pts
at Oregon State____________pac11th____na__________5
at North Dakota State_______mvc1st____1st__________6
Sacramento State___________3rd_______na__________1
at Northern Colorado________4th_______na__________1
Southern Utah______________3rd_______na__________1
at Montana_________________1st______17th_________5
North Dakota_______________4th_______na__________0
at Northern Arizona_________2nd_______na__________3
at Eastern Washington_______1st_______6th__________5
UC Davis___________________4th_______na__________0
Idaho State________________2nd_______18th_________3
Good balance throughout for Weber. Tuff start on the road for two unwinable games and visiting Mont, NAU, and E Wash will be very tuff. Getting Sac St, S Utah, and Idaho St at home will help and they'll need it.

9th SACRAMENTO ST___28pts___20pts
Eastern Oregon_____________D2________na__________0
at Washington______________pac8th____na__________7
at Weber State_____________4th________na__________1
Eastern Washington_________1st________6th_________4
Northern Colorado__________4th________na__________0
at Montana State___________1st________13th________5
at Southern Utah___________3rd________na__________2
Idaho State________________2nd_______18th_________2
at Cal Poly_________________1st_______24th_________4
at Northern Arizona_________2nd_______na__________3
UC Davis___________________4th_______na__________0
One of the tuffer conference schedules. Playing at Cal Po, NAU, and MSU and getting Idaho St and E Wash at home will all be challenging games for a team replacing their leader at QB.

t10th MONTANA ST_____25pts____19pts
Fort Lewis_________________D2________na__________0
at Eastern Washington_______1st_______6th__________5
Cal Poly___________________1st_______24th_________4
at Northern Arizona_________2nd_______na__________3
Sacramento State___________3rd_______na__________1
at Portland State____________3rd_______na__________2
East Tennessee State____independent___na__________1
at North Dakota_____________4th______na__________1
Southern Utah______________3rd_______na__________1
at Idaho State______________2nd______18th_________4
Montana___________________1st______17th_________3
Easily the easiest schedule of any of the top BSC teams thanx largely to the OOC games. Sure they play E Wash but the other two are a D2 school and an FCS independent that is feilding a team for the first time. The con sched is a little tuffer with games at NAU, PSU, and Idaho St. Home games against Cal Po, Sac St, and of course the brawl. Loses to Idaho St(the Big Human wants this soooo badly) and Mont in Nov will solidify Ash's teams rep and probably cost him his job if it keeps them from the playoffs.

t10th UC DAVIS____25pts_____14pts
at Nevada_________________mtw5th___na__________5
South Dakota______________mvc10th___na__________1
at Hawaii_________________mtw9th____na_________5
at North Dakota____________4th_______na_________1
Montana___________________1st_______17th_______3
Northern Arizona___________2nd_______na_________2
at Northern Colorado________4th_______na_________1
Southern Utah______________3rd_______na_________1
at Weber State_____________4th_______na_________1
Cal Poly___________________1st_______24th________3
at Sacramento State________3rd_______na__________2
Now getting to the teams with the cup cake con schedules. They at least have two FBS teams on the sched but in con the tuffest road game is at Sac St. At home they got Mont, NAU, and Cal Po but mostly it's on the easy side.

12th SOUTHERN UTAH___24pts___14pts
at Utah State______________mtw3rd___na__________7
at South Dakota St_________mvc5th____19th________3
Northern Colorado__________4th______na__________0
Brevard College____________D2_______na__________0
at Weber State_____________4th______na__________1
Sacramento State___________3rd______na__________1
at UC Davis________________4th______na__________1
Cal Poly___________________1st______24th________3
at Montana State___________1st______13th_________5
at Portland State___________4th______na__________1
Northern Arizona___________2nd______na__________2
Good rebuilding sched here. OOC has Utah St and South Dakota St but once in con, the tuff road game is at MSU. At home they get Cal Po and NAU.

13th NOR COLORADO____16pts___13pts
Western State______________D2______ na__________0
at Houston Baptist________soulnd11th__na__________2
at Southern Utah___________3rd_______na__________2
Weber State_______________4th_______na__________0
at Sacramento State________3rd_______na__________2
UC Davis__________________4th_______na__________0
Eastern Washington_________1st_______6th_________4
at Northern Arizona_________2nd______na__________3
Portland State_____________3rd_______na__________1
at North Dakota____________4th_______na__________1
Abilene Christian________soulnd7th____na__________1
Who ever made this schedule didn't think much of N Col. OOC consists of a D2 and two lowly Southland teams. Once in con, they have to suffer on the road against NAU and at home they get E Wash. If they finish above last place, the schedule will be why.
 
I don't like any SOS that includes a play-up game. Those artificially inflate any teams schedule, no matter how weak the rest of the teams are on their schedule.
 
AZGrizFan said:
I don't like any SOS that includes a play-up game. Those artificially inflate any teams schedule, no matter how weak the rest of the teams are on their schedule.
Click to expand...
Agreed, that was my main hang up in doing this whole thing. One thing I noticed though is that every team except us, MSU, and N Col have play up games. A couple teams have two but I think it kinda balances out still. Montana has the hardest schedule w/out an FBS game. I also figured in a con ranking too which shows the top 10 teams con sched is pretty similar. The difference is the teams that only have to play two tier one teams instead of three or four. Some teams also have "play down" games which even things up too.

Overall though, a SOS includes the whole schedule and a play up game makes your overall schedule much tuffer.
 
MT Jack said:
Thanks for doing the work on this, AlabamaGrizzly. Good stuff.
Click to expand...
Thanx, I get bored reading all the BS on here. Just trying to keep some football related subjects on the board.
 
alabamagrizzly said:
MT Jack said:
Thanks for doing the work on this, AlabamaGrizzly. Good stuff.
Click to expand...
Thanx, I get bored reading all the BS on here. Just trying to keep some football related subjects on the board.
Click to expand...

Well, that'll be enough of THAT shit. :x
 
alabamagrizzly said:
t1st EASTERN WASH__37pts___18pts
at Oregon__________________pac1st______5th________10
at Northern Iowa____________mvc3rd_____11th________5
Montana State_______________1st________13th________4
at Sacramento State__________3rd________na_________2
Cal Poly____________________1st________24th________3
at Idaho State_______________2nd_______18th________4
at Northern Colorado_________4th________na_________1
Weber State________________4th_________na_________0
Northern Arizona____________2nd________na_________2
at Montana_________________1st________17th________5
Portland State______________3rd_________na_________1
On the road vs Oregon, Northern Iowa, Idaho St, and Montana plus Montana St, Cal Poly, and NAU at home all while breaking in a new QB and trying to find a defence. Should be a interesting year in Cheany.
Click to expand...

You know, when you put it THAT way EWU might struggle a bit this year. I can see 7-4.
 
a.g. thanks for time and effort to make this about bsc football...I found it interesting and pretty insightful....it will be fun to see how this shakes out for the season in retrospect....thanks again for your contribution to egriz.
 
I'll put Idaho State's schedule (two FBS teams, all three of the top-rated teams pre-season, one home game in a six-week stretch) against anybody's. If the Bengals win 7 games against that schedule, they will deserve to make the playoffs.
 
Bengal visitor said:
I'll put Idaho State's schedule (two FBS teams, all three of the top-rated teams pre-season, one home game in a six-week stretch) against anybody's. If the Bengals win 7 games against that schedule, they will deserve to make the playoffs.
Click to expand...
The way I see it, the only thing that kept you from the top is your D2 opponent instead of another FCS school. Cudos on plating Boise St though. Everyone in the BSC will be watchin' that game. I expect you to beat UNLV also.
 
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