All Big Sky Selections

[Mousegriz]

"They're" wrong Bama.

Weber looking good and big.....tough to beat a team three times.

You do realize that statistically, the outcome of the previous two games have no impact on the outcome of a third game...

Show me the stats. They would be interesting. Logic would say more teams beat an opponent they've already beaten twice....but....I'd bet Travis would rather play PSU after watching Weber today.

 

[grizindabox]

"They're" wrong Bama.

Weber looking good and big.....tough to beat a team three times.

You do realize that statistically, the outcome of the previous two games have no impact on the outcome of a third game...

Show me the stats. They would be interesting. Logic would say more teams beat an opponent they've already beaten twice....but....I'd bet Travis would rather play PSU after watching Weber today.

Do you even understand statistics?

 

[IdaGriz01]

"They're" wrong Bama.

Weber looking good and big.....tough to beat a team three times.

You do realize that statistically, the outcome of the previous two games have no impact on the outcome of a third game...

Show me the stats. They would be interesting. Logic would say more teams beat an opponent they've already beaten twice....but....I'd bet Travis would rather play PSU after watching Weber today.

The statement is wrong ... except, possibly, when the coach lets it get in his team's head.

I've always wonder about that "old saw," so I went looking ... and it has been examined statistically. Here's what I found (on more than one web page):

According to STATS LLC., there have been 981 similar matchups across Division I college basketball over the past 10 seasons. The teams entering the third game 2-0 are a combined 710-271 (.724 winning percentage) in the third meeting.

So over a 10-year period in college basketball including almost 1,000 games, the team that won the first 2 games won the third meeting 72.4% of the time. So it clearly doesn’t follow that it is hard to beat a team 3 times.

 

[GrizLA]

"They're" wrong Bama.

Weber looking good and big.....tough to beat a team three times.

You do realize that statistically, the outcome of the previous two games have no impact on the outcome of a third game...

Show me the stats. They would be interesting. Logic would say more teams beat an opponent they've already beaten twice....but....I'd bet Travis would rather play PSU after watching Weber today.

The statement is wrong ... except, possibly, when the coach lets it get in his team's head.

I've always wonder about that "old saw," so I went looking ... and it has been examined statistically. Here what I found (on more than one web page):

According to STATS LLC., there have been 981 similar matchups across Division I college basketball over the past 10 seasons. The teams entering the third game 2-0 are a combined 710-271 (.724 winning percentage) in the third meeting.

So over a 10-year period in college basketball including almost 1,000 games, the team that won the first 2 games won the third meeting 72.4% of the time. So it clearly doesn’t follow that it is hard to beat a team 3 times.

That is really interesting. Who knew? I wonder if there is a similar study re: teams that hold for the final shot of a half as opposed to those who play the way that got them to where they are?

 

[Mousegriz]

"They're" wrong Bama.

Weber looking good and big.....tough to beat a team three times.

You do realize that statistically, the outcome of the previous two games have no impact on the outcome of a third game...

Show me the stats. They would be interesting. Logic would say more teams beat an opponent they've already beaten twice....but....I'd bet Travis would rather play PSU after watching Weber today.

The statement is wrong ... except, possibly, when the coach lets it get in his team's head.

I've always wonder about that "old saw," so I went looking ... and it has been examined statistically. Here what I found (on more than one web page):

According to STATS LLC., there have been 981 similar matchups across Division I college basketball over the past 10 seasons. The teams entering the third game 2-0 are a combined 710-271 (.724 winning percentage) in the third meeting.

So over a 10-year period in college basketball including almost 1,000 games, the team that won the first 2 games won the third meeting 72.4% of the time. So it clearly doesn’t follow that it is hard to beat a team 3 times.

Actually that's about what you'd think. Better team probably dominates in the 3rd game many times. But ask Gonzaga who beat a team by 48 that they couldn't even score 48 against in their 3rd meeting.

Weber will give the Griz all they can handle tomorrow.

 

[Mousegriz]

"They're" wrong Bama.

Weber looking good and big.....tough to beat a team three times.

You do realize that statistically, the outcome of the previous two games have no impact on the outcome of a third game...

Show me the stats. They would be interesting. Logic would say more teams beat an opponent they've already beaten twice....but....I'd bet Travis would rather play PSU after watching Weber today.

The statement is wrong ... except, possibly, when the coach lets it get in his team's head.

I've always wonder about that "old saw," so I went looking ... and it has been examined statistically. Here what I found (on more than one web page):

According to STATS LLC., there have been 981 similar matchups across Division I college basketball over the past 10 seasons. The teams entering the third game 2-0 are a combined 710-271 (.724 winning percentage) in the third meeting.

So over a 10-year period in college basketball including almost 1,000 games, the team that won the first 2 games won the third meeting 72.4% of the time. So it clearly doesn’t follow that it is hard to beat a team 3 times.

Actually that's about what you'd think. Better team probably dominates in the 3rd game many times. But ask Gonzaga who beat a team by 48 that they couldn't even score 48 against in their 3rd meeting.

Weber will give the Griz all they can handle tomorrow and it will be hard to beat them 3 times this season.

 

[IdaGriz01]

...
Actually that's about what you'd think. Better team probably dominates in the 3rd game many times. But ask Gonzaga who beat a team by 48 that they couldn't even score 48 against in their 3rd meeting.

Weber will give the Griz all they can handle tomorrow and it will be hard to beat them 3 times this season.

A different factor kicked in for the Gonzaga deal. We've seen it so many times over the years (most often in the P5 conference tournament): A team that "knows" it's going to get a bid sometimes (often?) doesn't play as hard as an opponent that knows it's "win or go home." Now, my formula(s) had St. Mary's in pretty solidly, but they had to figure most experts had them on the bubble. The only way they could be sure to get a bid ... was to go out and win. Which they did.

But I agree with your other point. Weber is likely to give the Griz all they can handle.