UMGriz75
Well-known member
I was originally "high" on the guy. Stuck up for him when others decried the "meltdown" in 2015.
[tweet]https://twitter.com/ajmazzolini/status/664499813723979776[/tweet]
He made the odd observation that "his" strategy was in place for the first three games, but that he was forced to abandon it thereafter. Claiming Cal Poly and Liberty as "success" stories led me to begin questioning Stitt's overall judgment.
[tweet]https://twitter.com/ajmazzolini/status/664500061070430208[/tweet]
Finally, after three quarterbacks, the pattern emerged. I ran a lot of numbers and they all pointed to a continuing decline, the longer players played under this coach. It was a statistical pattern, but one that was firmly established.
The process, art, and science of coaching is improving these young men, play after play, practice after practice, game after game, season after season. Under Stitt, the opposite was happening and it was too much of a pattern to call it anything else.
That is also when I went back and looked at the "Mines" record and realized it was not "as represented." That is when I finally questioned whether a DII coach with 15 years of fourth-place conference finishes could coach a DI program in a reasonably competitive conference of reasonably experienced DI coaches. At that time, I concluded that I did not think the Griz could be successful under this coach
Looking at the pattern of continuing decline in team performance, I saw nothing that offered the prospect of change. After that, the humiliating loss to NDSU and Stitt's bizarre pre-and-post game comments. Then, this season and the precise team decline that I saw the year earlier, even worse because it showed in player's attitudes, as the Coach himself loudly complained of.
The trend established last year continued downhill this year. It was predictable, and it was predicted.
For next year, the Griz are handicapped by the DII DC. I don't see any reason how he can suddenly perk up and obtain the kind of experience he clearly lacks at this level without ... getting the years of that kind of experience. He needed to spend more time as an assistant DC somewhere at DI. Losing Gregorak was Stitt's biggest mistake so far. That's been shown to all but the blind and hermetically sealed. I don't know that can be fixed without Stitt admitting he put Semore in too soon too high. I don't think he can.
What I initially interpreted as a positive self-confidence I now see as an unjustified self-reverence. He will not second-guess himself, despite his mea culpas at his Sally Fields Press Conference.
That leaves the OC. Maybe Stitt can overcome the problem of what is primarily himself with somebody else who has the flexibility and experience at the DI level, and doesn't approach every game and every second half with a "deer in the headlights" reaction to BSC and DI football.
But without that "needed improvement," talent will simply go to waste. It doesn't matter who the "recruits" are, and especially now that every competing coach is pointing to ... Stitt's record.
Stitt needs to send a clear signal through staff changes that there will be ... change.
UMGriz75 » Sun Sep 20, 2015 9:58 am
I don't think this was a "meltdown" at all, although that being said, it puts into perspective the fact that Jordan Johnson carried the Grizzly offense over a three year period and made it look much better than it was. Not just his intelligence, but he was one tough kid who had to absorb a lot more physical abuse than a quarterback should and always came back to play.
Against Poly and Liberty, nothing happened that a little tightening up doesn't fix. Nothing happened in either game that didn't mean a win if just one or two plays had bounced differently. But, that's a long ways from a "meltdown." New coach, new plays, I'd expect the first few games to be "rough." Like tuning an engine, rotate that distributor cap the wrong way and splutter, oops, need to go the other direction. Go too far, splutter some more. Finally, you dial it in. I think that's exactly what we are seeing.
Stitt's a smart guy. He leaves that indelible impression and I don't think its faked. The team needs leadership and that is obviously still coming together. Brady Gustafson was evolving into the role.
Then, Stitt started trashing the team.UMGriz75 » Mon Sep 21, 2015 8:35 pm
I have been very impressed with Brady's power and control. I could see why Coach Stitt made the choice. With some seasoning, he had every prospect to become an outstanding FCS quarterback.
[tweet]https://twitter.com/ajmazzolini/status/664499813723979776[/tweet]
He made the odd observation that "his" strategy was in place for the first three games, but that he was forced to abandon it thereafter. Claiming Cal Poly and Liberty as "success" stories led me to begin questioning Stitt's overall judgment.
[tweet]https://twitter.com/ajmazzolini/status/664500061070430208[/tweet]
Finally, after three quarterbacks, the pattern emerged. I ran a lot of numbers and they all pointed to a continuing decline, the longer players played under this coach. It was a statistical pattern, but one that was firmly established.
I'd never seen three reasonably talented quarterbacks have successively worse games playing under a coach. Just never seen anything like that.UMGriz75 » Mon Nov 09, 2015 1:56 pm
Both Brady and Makena started with great games, and then their statistics deteriorated significantly thereafter. In each case, their second games saw significant reductions in average throwing yardage, and increased interceptions and other errors. In Brady's case, his inability to run resulted in loss. In Makena's case, his ability to run made up for the deterioration in passing game.
In both cases, QB play deteriorated from high level performances to sub-par performances because of changes in the game plays. Stitt likes a lot of those short plays. Chad Chalich's games were right on where Brady and Makena "ended up," and so Chad was likely playing Stitt's game from the get go: 59% passing completion, 9 yds average throw, 3.8 yds rushing (64 yd).
There are distinct patterns of play from all three QBs that converge at remarkably similar statistics the more games they play under Stitt.
The process, art, and science of coaching is improving these young men, play after play, practice after practice, game after game, season after season. Under Stitt, the opposite was happening and it was too much of a pattern to call it anything else.
That is also when I went back and looked at the "Mines" record and realized it was not "as represented." That is when I finally questioned whether a DII coach with 15 years of fourth-place conference finishes could coach a DI program in a reasonably competitive conference of reasonably experienced DI coaches. At that time, I concluded that I did not think the Griz could be successful under this coach
Looking at the pattern of continuing decline in team performance, I saw nothing that offered the prospect of change. After that, the humiliating loss to NDSU and Stitt's bizarre pre-and-post game comments. Then, this season and the precise team decline that I saw the year earlier, even worse because it showed in player's attitudes, as the Coach himself loudly complained of.
The trend established last year continued downhill this year. It was predictable, and it was predicted.
For next year, the Griz are handicapped by the DII DC. I don't see any reason how he can suddenly perk up and obtain the kind of experience he clearly lacks at this level without ... getting the years of that kind of experience. He needed to spend more time as an assistant DC somewhere at DI. Losing Gregorak was Stitt's biggest mistake so far. That's been shown to all but the blind and hermetically sealed. I don't know that can be fixed without Stitt admitting he put Semore in too soon too high. I don't think he can.
What I initially interpreted as a positive self-confidence I now see as an unjustified self-reverence. He will not second-guess himself, despite his mea culpas at his Sally Fields Press Conference.
That leaves the OC. Maybe Stitt can overcome the problem of what is primarily himself with somebody else who has the flexibility and experience at the DI level, and doesn't approach every game and every second half with a "deer in the headlights" reaction to BSC and DI football.
But without that "needed improvement," talent will simply go to waste. It doesn't matter who the "recruits" are, and especially now that every competing coach is pointing to ... Stitt's record.
Stitt needs to send a clear signal through staff changes that there will be ... change.