See that’s where you’re just flat out wrong and you just have a dark cloud floating over your head. For starters, two of these guys have 0 FBS offers. (Fernandez, Bailey). In fact, almost all of Fernandez’s offers are Big Sky schools and he’s visited most of those. If he hasn’t gotten an FBS offer by now, then he’s probably not going to get one. Bailey has only two offers (UM, NAU) which means at a minimum we have a 50-50 chance at landing him, but I tend to think it’s closer to 80-20 if not better then that.
As for Claypool, I’ll point out to you that he has 3 FBS offers currently (Fresno State, Charlotte, E. Michigan), and he got all of those before Christmas. If he were so gung ho to go FBS, then why hasn’t he committed to one of those 3 yet? Not to mention, why would he even bother to visit UM (he did) if he were so dead set on going FBS? Almost as if the FBS tag doesn’t matter as much to these guys as you’re claiming.
What you’re doing is just trying fit a narrative that the sky is falling and nobody should waste their time. That’s just flat out wrong. Pull your head out of your ass.