Atlanta Griz1 said:
Alaska Griz said:
BWahlberg said:
I think answering "will it be as good" is a really hard one to assess because of other factors outside of the defensive players themselves.
- A new system, two new coaches, and a new DC. Could be good, could be bad, most certainly changes expectations and results. I lean to the optimistic side and what I'm hearing about the players thoughts of Semore (that they really like his strategic mind, game prep, and defensive design). It suggests it should show improvement over Gregorak's external style of brute force, being tough, being a wild animal, etc...
- The offense. If this offense can score 7 to 10 more points per game or even have 3 to 4 more minutes of TOP per game that will work wonders for the defense. Less time on the field as a whole, hopefully fewer games that are tight and in need of multiple defensive stops, things like that. The offense should be able to improve over last season, if so that'll help take the pressure off the defense as much and keep them a little more fresh in the games.
That said... losing 8 starters is tough... I have a feeling that the first half of the season we'll see some adjustment. For the coaches and the players and it'll probably have people running to the message boards bemoaning the new system, new players, new coaches. But, over time, I think it's going to improve and it may be pretty damn good by the end of the regular season and into the playoffs. The 2016 defense I'd guess will not be "as good" statistically in many categories as the 2015 defense at the end,( stack up PPG, YPG). However I think other factors, such as an improved offense, will probably help and make us think a little less about the defense as a liability. Additionally if the defense keeps getting better and is playing at a top level in Nov/Dec... that's where it'll matter.
Great post. The improvement in offense (esp. the running game, hopefully) and improving/peaking into the playoffs are the big takeaways for me. Ultimately, it's a team game and we're really wanting a TEAM that can gel and make a deep playoff run. Once it gets down to the final 8 teams the stats seem to go out the window. I'm also admittedly a fan of Jason Semore.
Just curious as to why everyone thinks our offense will be so much better this season, or why we will suddenly have a running game? If you look at the facts, most of our offensive success last season was through the air, and we lost our three top receivers from that team. As far as the running game goes, we have the same RBs, and basically the same O-line. So, if those O-linemen all start again this season, as Wahlberg says they will, why should our running game improve? These linemen are too light, and not tough enough to dominate their man in the running game. If our younger linemen are not good enough to replace some of last year's starters, we are in for another long season without an effective running game.
I realize that Gus only started 3-4 games, but he was very inconsistent in those game, and really has not yet shown the ability to be a stud QB IMO. If he is even able to beat-out the Kentucky transfer QB. Too many unanswered questions on offense to make predictions of improvement, IMO.
Lets beat that dead horse some more.
1. Running game will be better for two reasons, our best backs all return and are a year further into the system. We've got Nguyen and Calhoun plus Favors... more time with the S&T coach, more time in the offense. They'll all be better.
2. O line is going to be much better. They're bigger & stronger, they're focused, and they're going to have their leader in Weyer back. The O line will lead the way on the field, as they already have off the field.
3. "Gus started 3-4 games" - nope. He started 8 games actually. If he can find a consistent path and put up the 1st NDSU, EWU, MSU, SDSU type of numbers we'll be looking at a guy that could possibly be throwing about 340 yards per game and averaging 2 to 3 TDs thru the air each game. Now yes, if we get the 2nd NDSU or CPSLO Gustaftson... then it's going to be trouble. However again, a senior, a year in this system, fully healthy. I think the dude is going to be great.