Congrove week 6

[Mavman]

Someday I will figure this computer model out!

#6 Msu #1 SOS #107 Mercyhurst #103 SOS

Mercyhurst Has played 3 Top 25 teams on the road but only have the 103 hardest schedule hmmmm
#7 UC davis
#13 Montana Up 1 #59 SOS
#22 NAU up 6 #2 SOS
#42 Idaho down 11 spots

They have ISU as 4.4pt favorites over Montana
MSU -13.23 over NAU

 

[AZGrizFan]

They have ISU as 4.4pt favorites over Montana

BET THE HOUSE!!!!

 

[Griz in Texas]

Keep in mind that site had Idaho as something like a 0.64 favorite. The first number I saw when it came up on ESPN on Saturday was -11 for Montana, then there was obviously a lot of money going on Idaho because that went to 10 and then to 9 the last I saw.
My guess is that this game opens with Montana a -15 favorite on ESPN.

As for the SOS numbers, that has to include the full schedule. With the highest ranked team in the NEC (Stonehill) at 47, the 4 MVFC/Big Sky opponents are all above that line. I'm surprised Bozeman is at 107, but I don't know what they have left on their schedule either. I have followed that poll for close to 10 years now and I gave up trying to make sense of what they are calculating.

 

[SinCityGriz2005]

Someday I will figure this computer model out!

#6 Msu #1 SOS #107 Mercyhurst #103 SOS

Mercyhurst Has played 3 Top 25 teams on the road but only have the 103 hardest schedule hmmmm
#7 UC davis
#13 Montana Up 1 #59 SOS
#22 NAU up 6 #2 SOS
#42 Idaho down 11 spots

They have ISU as 4.4pt favorites over Montana
MSU -13.23 over NAU

They must have gotten their programming degree from MSU

 

[Mavman]

Keep in mind that site had Idaho as something like a 0.64 favorite. The first number I saw when it came up on ESPN on Saturday was -11 for Montana, then there was obviously a lot of money going on Idaho because that went to 10 and then to 9 the last I saw.
My guess is that this game opens with Montana a -15 favorite on ESPN.

As for the SOS numbers, that has to include the full schedule. With the highest ranked team in the NEC (Stonehill) at 47, the 4 MVFC/Big Sky opponents are all above that line. I'm surprised Bozeman is at 107, but I don't know what they have left on their schedule either. I have followed that poll for close to 10 years now and I gave up trying to make sense of what they are calculating.

No MSU is number #1 strength of schedule Mercyhurst is number #103 strength of schedule

 

[Griz in Texas]

No MSU is number #1 strength of schedule Mercyhurst is number #103 strength of schedule

Oh, my fault, I read that wrong.

They are definitely going by the total schedule. Again, Stonehill at 47 and all the rest of the NEC scattered closer to Mercyhurst. Portland State is lowest in the BSC at 122, but the scats don't play them. Saint Francis is 126 and New Haven (Mercyhurst already beat them) is 128.

 

[Mavman]

Oh, my fault, I read that wrong.

They are definitely going by the total schedule. Again, Stonehill at 47 and all the rest of the NEC scattered closer to Mercyhurst. Portland State is lowest in the BSC at 122, but the scats don't play them. Saint Francis is 126 and New Haven (Mercyhurst already beat them) is 128.

I just think playing SDSU, cats, Sac st. would bring over all into at least the 80's

 

[AZGrizFan]

No MSU is number #1 strength of schedule Mercyhurst is number #103 strength of schedule

Thus their ranking based on moral victories.

 

[Griz in Texas]

I just think playing SDSU, cats, Sac st. would bring over all into at least the 80's

As we have both shared the past few weeks, who knows how they figure this thing up? All I know from watching it over the years is that if Yale beats Lehigh this week (doubtful, but stuff happens), watch Yale zoom up and Lehigh barely drops.
It still doesn't explain what holds Bozo up there fully, even with their #1 SoS.
One other factor that is possible is that 128 and 126 are more probably to be 264 and 262 counting all of the 265 D-I teams, or however they do it with all of the lower-level NAIA and everything else schedules. Once you factor in the D-II teams, those in the bottom 1/5 of the FCS are behind a lot of those teams.
It's kinda like the old tootsie roll commercial; we know it's not three licks to the center and the world may never know.

 

[uofmman1122]

As we have both shared the past few weeks, who knows how they figure this thing up? All I know from watching it over the years is that if Yale beats Lehigh this week (doubtful, but stuff happens), watch Yale zoom up and Lehigh barely drops.
It still doesn't explain what holds Bozo up there fully, even with their #1 SoS.
One other factor that is possible is that 128 and 126 are more probably to be 264 and 262 counting all of the 265 D-I teams, or however they do it with all of the lower-level NAIA and everything else schedules. Once you factor in the D-II teams, those in the bottom 1/5 of the FCS are behind a lot of those teams.
It's kinda like the old tootsie roll commercial; we know it's not three licks to the center and the world may never know.

I believe the rankings are just for FCS teams, so 126 and 128 are relative to all of FCS, but they do take into account every team in NCAA when compiling the actual rankings, and since MSU played Oregon, AFAIK the highest ranked FBS team to play an FCS team, in addition to the game against SDSU, their SOS is boosted up.

Mercyhurst did not play an FBS team, and many FCS teams did, so their SOS falls below those teams that played up.