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Upset Guesses, Oct 26

What upsets are possible?

  • #4 South Dakota (6-1) at #3 SDSU (5-2)

    Votes: 10 20.4%
  • #24 Western Carolina (4-3) at #14 Mercer (6-1)

    Votes: 43 87.8%
  • Maine (4-3) at #15 Rhode Island (6-1)

    Votes: 11 22.4%
  • New Hampshire (4-3) at #13 Villanova (5-2)

    Votes: 13 26.5%
  • Stony Brook (5-2) vs #16 William & Mary (5-2)

    Votes: 5 10.2%
  • SE Louisiana (4-4) vs #10 Incarnate Word (5-2)

    Votes: 4 8.2%
  • Columbia (4-1) vs #22 Dartmouth (5-0)

    Votes: 4 8.2%

  • Total voters
    49

IdaGriz01

Well-known member
Next weekend offers two ranked-vs-ranked matchups, plus several games where ranked teams face very credible opponents.

As usual in the past, the team on the left is the underdog that might pull off the upset.

You are allowed two choices, and you can change your vote later if you want to.

Official verification: Bobcats suck!
 
Commentary
The “underdog” role in the South Dakota – South Dakota State game is an artifact of the STATS poll. The Jacks’ will be on fire at home after their close road loss … bur the ‘Yotes will want to prove they should be ranked higher and to retain their undefeated record in the MVFC. Myself, I consider this a pickem’.

The difference in ranking between Western Carolina and Mercer is another poll anomaly, as far as I’m concerned. The pollsters somehow awarded the Bears repeated Top-10 rankings until this week, yet largely ignored the Catamounts. Perhaps we’ll know who’s the better team after this weekend.

The Maine at Rhode Island game shapes up to be a barn-burner. Despite their mediocre record, the way the Black Bear pounded Villanova suggests a team that may have gelled into a contender. I’d say: Look out Rhodies!

Is Villanova likely to lose two in a row … especially at home? Probably not. But New Hampshire won’t want to lose two in a row either … they will be a handful.

More drama in the CAA, between Stony Brook and William & Mary. Look at the overall records, despite the fact that W&M is ranked. … and one of the Seawolves losses was to an FBS opponent.

The Incarnate Word matchup at SE Louisiana has some elements of a trap game. The pollsters have given the Lions a few votes along the way, while keeping the Cardinals high in the rankings. But SELA actually leads the conference, and will want to keep it that way. I’m not sure I’d bet against them at home.

The Dartmouth at Columbia game is another match for the conference lead. I grant the Lions a slight home field advantage.
 
Hmmm. Might have to rethink my description of the USD-SDSU game as a "pickem." This will be the 50th meeting between the two in Brookings. SDSU is 32-14+3 against USD at home. Not good odds for an upset.
 
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Catamounts are primed for a BIG time upset at Mercer. Look out Bears, Catamounts offense is legit.
One of my picks too. Furman is no powerhouse this year, but it's at least okay. But Western C put up over 50 points on them with over 800 yards of offense. Their QB already has over 2,000 yards passing this year ... a program-record 620 against Furman (340 yards passing against the Griz). That Griz win is looking better and better.
 
Haley at STATS.com is calling the Western Carolina – Mercer matchup his "Game of the Week." FWIW: He's picking Mercer.
 
lol how could you watch last weeks Mercer game and think that they are going to win against WCUs potent offense? Mercer let up 50+ points against Samford if I remember correctly?
 
bump for more votes and comments. Funny thing about Haley's analysis of Mercer's chances. He notes that they have a strong rushing defense, makes no mention of how they do against the pass. Not all that well, apparently: His answer is for the Bears to lean on the run on offense to keep the ball out of Gonzales' hands.
 
Did not consider an upset of North Dakota by Youngstown State likely enough to include in the poll ... stuff happens.
 
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