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Upset Guess, BSC (Sept 22)

So which is the most likely for an upset?

  • UC-Davis (1-2) at Cal Poly (2-0)

    Votes: 1 1.6%
  • Weber State (0-3) vs #9 Eastern Wash (1-1)

    Votes: 12 19.7%
  • Idaho State (1-1) at Nebraska (2-1)

    Votes: 1 1.6%
  • No. Arizona (2-1) at #14 Montana (2-1)

    Votes: 15 24.6%
  • No. Colo (1-2) at #2 Montana State (3-0)

    Votes: 7 11.5%
  • No. Dakota (2-1) at Sac State (2-1)

    Votes: 12 19.7%
  • Southern Utah (1-2) at Portland State (1-2)

    Votes: 13 21.3%

  • Total voters
    61

IdaGriz01

Well-known member
The list is pretty short, since they are all conference matchups ... except for the true body bag game at Nebraska. So this week, you can only pick one.
 
Screamin_Eagle174 said:
I picked the Griz, because I wouldn't quite consider UND over Sac an upset.

Difference is playing at Sac though...I went with PSU losing. They just haven't competed against anyone. I watched some of the game against Carroll and they didn't look great there either.
 
AZDoc said:
Screamin_Eagle174 said:
I picked the Griz, because I wouldn't quite consider UND over Sac an upset.

Difference is playing at Sac though...I went with PSU losing. They just haven't competed against anyone. I watched some of the game against Carroll and they didn't look great there either.

UND still put up 41 against SDSU, so I don't think playing on the road matters. Their offense will score a lot of points. I don't think Sac can keep up.

Also, PSU losing to SUU wouldn't quite be an upset either. Unless considered in terms of new/older BSC.
 
Screamin_Eagle174 said:
AZDoc said:
Screamin_Eagle174 said:
I picked the Griz, because I wouldn't quite consider UND over Sac an upset.

Difference is playing at Sac though...I went with PSU losing. They just haven't competed against anyone. I watched some of the game against Carroll and they didn't look great there either.

UND still put up 41 against SDSU, so I don't think playing on the road matters. Their offense will score a lot of points. I don't think Sac can keep up.

Also, PSU losing to SUU wouldn't quite be an upset either. Unless considered in terms of new/older BSC.
The "upset" teams for the last two on the list were based pretty much on the home team having a slight advantage.
 
IdaGriz01 said:
Screamin_Eagle174 said:
AZDoc said:
Screamin_Eagle174 said:
I picked the Griz, because I wouldn't quite consider UND over Sac an upset.

Difference is playing at Sac though...I went with PSU losing. They just haven't competed against anyone. I watched some of the game against Carroll and they didn't look great there either.

UND still put up 41 against SDSU, so I don't think playing on the road matters. Their offense will score a lot of points. I don't think Sac can keep up.

Also, PSU losing to SUU wouldn't quite be an upset either. Unless considered in terms of new/older BSC.
The "upset" teams for the last two on the list were based pretty much on the home team having a slight advantage.

Where were those FCS lines? I do agree about the last two games, though. I want to see the actual lines on those!
 
I'd say the best bets are either NAU or Weber. I don't think either will pull it off, but NAU is due.

The Cats always seem to have a problem with NCU for some reason ...
 
While highly unlikely, I think that Weber has the best chance of being players in major the upset category, with NAU being the other. People simply don't win at WaGriz and Souers has some sort of bad juju when it comes to the Griz. I could see EWU having a let down game (also unlikely) and Weber treating this as their superbowl. Cats won't lose to a TERRIBLE Greeley team. The others really aren't upsets at all.
 
msuhunter said:
I'd say the best bets are either NAU or Weber. I don't think either will pull it off, but NAU is due.

The Cats always seem to have a problem with NCU for some reason ...

WSU unfortunately doesn't have a shot at all, they have a poor secondary and lost their best WR in the McNeese game.

Cats are set up for a trap game against a team that is completly unraveling, Its hard to get up for a game like SFA and then face a team that is playing at a DII level right now. They will gut it out though.

NAU has the best shot, but I don't see them pulling it off unless they are able to stop (or slow down) Moore.

UND and SAC is a tossup IMO, and should be the BSC GOW
 
Screamin_Eagle174 said:
... I wouldn't quite consider UND over Sac an upset.
Sagarin, at least, agrees with you: His numbers say Sac is a 2-pt underdog, even when you factor in the home-field advantage (a whopping 3.4 points this week). However, the RPI values do favor Sac, although not by a lot.
 
Interesting that no real consensus has developed as to a "most likely." Next burning question: Will ISU lose by only 50, or over 70?
 
Brock Landers said:
Screamin_Eagle174 said:
I picked the Griz, because I wouldn't quite consider UND over Sac an upset.
We're 33-1 in our last 34 games in Wa-Griz. I'd never call a loss there "likely"

Past history has nothing to do with the game tomorrow. Only thing that matters are how good the two teams playing are, and how they match up. The Griz obviously hold an advantage with the crowd/noise, but NAU looks a lot better this than in any year I can remember (only been watching BSC since 2004). Both teams seem pretty similar, IMO: strong running game, good defense, and a QB who is still learning (NAU's starter Grossart is still hurt, right?). I would say whoever wins the turnover battle wins the game.
 
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