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Poll Guesses (Sept 16)

IdaGriz01

IdaGriz01

Well-known member
[I'm baaack.]
This early in the season, the polls are even harder to figure. With eight losses among the 25 ranked teams, there will be some changes for sure, even though three of those losses were to FBS opponents. Add in two upsets of (not very good) FBS teams and you have even more uncertainty. But ... it is fun to try, so here goes.

New Rank Guess, Team (Record), < Old Rank >
1. North Dakota State (2-0) < 1>
2. Montana State (2-1) < 3 >
3. Eastern Washington (2-1) < 2 >
4. Towson (3-0) < 4 >
5. Sam Houston State (2-1) < 5 >
6. South Dakota State (3-0) < 6 >
7. Northern Iowa (2-0) < 7 >
8. Eastern Illinois (3-0) < 9 >
9. Montana (2-0) < 11 >
10. New Hampshire (1-1) < 12 >
11. McNeese State (3-0) < 13 >
12. Wofford (2-1) < 16 >
13. Georgia Southern (2-1) < 10 >
14. Central Arkansas (1-2) < 8 >
15. Bethune-Cookman (3-0) < 23 >
16. Coastal Carolina (3-0) < 21 >
17. James Madison (2-1) < 20 >
18. Villanova (0-2) < 19 >
19. Lehigh (2-0) < 22 >
20. Richmond (1-2) < 15 >
21. UT Martin (2-1) < NR >
22. Stony Brook (1-1) < 17 >
23. Cal Poly (1-2) < 14 >
24. Fordham (3-0) < NR >
25. Youngstown State (2-1) < 24 >


NR. Northern Arizona (1-1) < 25 >
NR Illinois State (0-2) < 18 >

Some may question dropping EWU a slot after they played Toledo tough on the road. But they set the bar so high with their OSU upset (and Toledo ain't that great) that it would actually not surprise me to see EWU drop even further.

Typically, a team slips 4-5 slots with almost any loss, but I only dropped Geo Southern three because they lost to what looks like a pretty good #16 Wofford team. But Central Arkansas lost to an unranked team, so they get kicked down.

I jumped Bethune-Cookman a bunch, and might have moved them up more, but FIU is a terrible FBS team.

Could have, and maybe should have, dropped Stony Brook more, but they did go five OT before losing by just a FG.

Might seem a bit harsh to drop Cal Poly so much after a loss to an FBS team, but: CSU is not that good, Cal Poly never seems to get much respect, AND I had to make some room for UT-Martin, which beat #8 Central Arkansas. Actually, this early in the season it would not surprise me to see UT-Martin even higher and Cent-Ark even lower.

While Temple is another weak (pitiful) FBS team, the Fordham "upset" and their resulting 3-0 record seems very likely to get them a ranking. So I had to make room for one more. It became a choice between Youngstown State and NAU, and I'm guessing the pollsters will lean towards YSU.
 
Interesting tidbit from the Sports Network:

AROUND THE FCS
Big Sky: The headliner in the Big Sky Conference Saturday night was Montana junior Jordan Johnson being more efficient than any quarterback in conference history with a passing efficiency of 322.3 in a 55-17 win over North Dakota (15-for-19 for 354 yards and five touchdowns, leading the Grizzlies to touchdowns on their first eight drives). But really it was just another Saturday in the Big Sky, where offensive records seem to fall every week. Portland State, Montana, Idaho State and Eastern Washington rank 2-5, respectively, in total offense in the FCS
 
biga75 said:
Interesting tidbit from the Sports Network:

AROUND THE FCS
Big Sky: The headliner in the Big Sky Conference Saturday night was Montana junior Jordan Johnson being more efficient than any quarterback in conference history with a passing efficiency of 322.3 in a 55-17 win over North Dakota (15-for-19 for 354 yards and five touchdowns, leading the Grizzlies to touchdowns on their first eight drives). But really it was just another Saturday in the Big Sky, where offensive records seem to fall every week. Portland State, Montana, Idaho State and Eastern Washington rank 2-5, respectively, in total offense in the FCS
Click to expand...
Wow! Just wow!
 
IdaGriz01 said:
snap said:
I'd say the Griz jump two spots to no. 11
Click to expand...
I should have made it clearer that I was working with the TSN poll, where the Griz were #11 going into the weekend.
Click to expand...

I was just being a smart ass. It's what I do. :thumb:
 
I sure hope voters are smart enough not to reward MSU for playing Colorado Mesa as EWU plays their second FBS game. I could see Towson jump to 2nd and slide both EWU one spot to third and Bozeman one spot to fourth.
Griz at 8th or 9th looks right.
Go Griz!
 
The reality is the bobcats are not a top 4 team regardless of what the polls say and Montana is definitely a top 10 team. the cats have had a huge drop off at qb. Bleskin is an ok qb but not a DM. Opposing defenses know it and won't see Bleskin as a running threat. Much easier to game plan.
 
Haley can be a bit of a doophus sometimes, but a lot of people seem to follow him. If he's giving this much love to Fordham, my guess as to where they might move in the next poll may a bit low: http://www.sportsnetwork.com/merge/...ork&page=cfoot2/writers/infcshuddle/index.htm
Haley said:
Seeing is believing for some of the unranked 3-0 squads on the cusp of the Top 25. No longer just an early season surprise, teams such as Fordham, Maine and Jacksonville State have to be reckoned with as dangerous teams. Maine is 3-0 for first time since 2002, while Jacksonville State has made it to the same mark under new coach Bill Clark while a lot of the focus rests elsewhere in the Ohio Valley Conference.
Click to expand...
Also, I missed that Maine is 3-0, so they may squeak in too -- although their wins have been against Bryant, Norfolk State, and U-Mass (2 weak teams and a terrible Mass outfit).
 
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