Here's my take. I was there today and talked to others who were there.
It's impossible to see or figure out what the jury is thinking. They will decide the case, obviously. One young women. A guy or two with pony tails. Mostly older people. One observer thought some of the jurors were looking skeptical at accuser's morning testimony on direct (i.e. questions from the prosecutor). My reaction was that the accuser's testimony, including some of her apparent reactions and communications after the incident, made her case look better and bigger than I had thought. She looks nice and is fairly articulate. Comes across fine or even good. Don't know why she was dressed with so much skin showing up high; no cleavage, though.
Lots of law students and local lawyers in the audience. Some lawyers totally unimpressed with the assistant attorney general who did the direct with the accuser.
In less than an hour before lunch, Paoli (and not Pabst) seemed to have already neutralized the testimony of the accuser. He was direct, organized and fast. Seemed very skilled at what he was doing.
After lunch, many good points made by Paoli, and many new facts (i.e. not already in the motion to dismiss). The asst ag prosecutor started making lots of objections, all related to how Paoli was using many texts/emails/facebook to ask questions of the accuser. Judge was not clear on how to respond, but almost always sided against Paoli. He just moved on.
She had admitted multiple times that she thought she'd have sex with Johnson at some point. She gave him a ride home after the Central Arkansas playoff game in early Dec. 2011, and was in his house.
Paoli did an excellent job of making more clear what happened in the bedroom. While it's sometimes hard to hear all testimony (in part due to construction outside, as well as softer voices), my impression was that after they got close to the actual sex, the accuser didn't object, didn't say anything, didn't fight anything, and either cooperated or sorta cooperated. She admitted that she then could have gotten up off the bed and walked away. She admitted that she could have called out to her male roommate, whom I think was 10 feet away. Her male roommate is one of her best friends, and they now live together at another location.
The sex was all from behind, and she was on her knees (and presumably hands or elbows). I don't understand how rape can occur this way. This takes cooperation, I would think. She said he pulled her onto him or to his groin.
Prior to this time, they had kissed and fondled and pelvic thrusted. I think she had taken her top off, or helped him to it. She had taken off his coat and shirt. She had crawled on top of him. She had fondled his genitals. She says he took off her leggings and panties.
I thought Paoli was shredding the accuser on many points. However, I don't have a clue as to what the jury thought.
Some interesting points. The accuser said on several occasions that it never occurred to her that she'd ever be raped. Then it came out that she had had a nightmare, on X-mas '11 I think, that Tru Johnson had raped her and done other things. Paoli then asks if/how she new Tru. She said he was roommates with her old boyfriend, Brandon Dotson. Paoli also questioned her about not wanting B-Dot to talk to him or his investigator.
Someone, I think either the nurse examiner or a counselor, referred her to the Atlanta law firm who brought a claim in a Carroll rape case. I haven't read all of the twitter feeds, so you probably know these facts better than I do. Paoli's question was whether she was looking for money.
Pabst said in the opening argument, that the nurse rape examiner had been incredibly unprofessional. The twitter may have clarified this, but I think the nurse continued to email the accuser after the exam, and perhaps made this referral. I assume the nurse examiner is going to get discredited.
By the end, the accuser was being defensive over various points being made by Paoli. The texts are coming back to haunt her.
Don't recall anything being said about her supposed statement at the ball, that she would do him anytime.
At least so far, it seems that the facts are essentially agreed upon by both parties, except for the sex part.
I assume Johnson will testify. At first, I thought this might be risky for him, due to tough questions, but now I'm thinking that he will likely do fine testifying.
For the morning session, there were probably 20 people standing. It thinned out during the day.
As the day went on, I started wondering if some of the multiple people supporting the accuser (First Step, university, counselors, etc.), and rape victims generally, ended up being enablers. Accuser doesn't want her family to attend trial and see her like this.
Accuser reads the comments to the Missoulian articles and KPAX, and egriz, she said. This came up several times. She had been advised not to do this. I feel sorry for her on multiple levels.