First, the Griz have to beat North Dakota State. Then we play the next two games at home, because by then Northern Iowa has knocked off Portland State and Western Illinois has won its way into the fourth round. They're both unseeded teams and we'll be at home against any other unseeded team. By beating Western Illinois, the Griz will have defeated 4 of the 5 Missouri Vally Conference teams in the playoffs (the 5th team, Illinois State would have been upset in round 2 by another MVFC team, Western Illinois). Then it's on to the chipper with almost certain victory after having gone through that gauntlet. Simple enough?