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Herder's bracket (Griz 13 seed) & who the 16 seeds are playing this week

BWahlberg

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Link here to Herder's article: https://herosports.com/fcs-football-2024-playoff-predictions-6-bzbz/

Sam's bracket he is building off his assumptions of outcomes this weekend, so he's placing Montana at 13 assuming a Montana State win - for example.

Here's his projected 16 seeds - and who they're playing this weekend:

1. North Dakota State 10-1 @ South Dakota 9-2
2. Montana State 11-0 vs Montana 8-3
3. South Dakota State 9-2 @ Missouri State 8-3
4. UC Davis 9-2 @ Sacramento State 3-8
5. Mercer 9-2 vs Furman 3-7
6. Idaho 8-3 @ Idaho State 5-6
7. Richmond 9-2 vs William & Mary 7-4
8. UIW 9-2 @ TAMU Commerce 3-8
9. South Dakota 9-2 vs North Dakota State 10-1
10. Rhode Island 9-2 @ Bryant 2-9
11. SEMO 9-2 @ Tennessee State 8-3
12. Abilene Christian 8-3 @ SFA 6-5
13. Montana 8-3 @ Montana State 11-0
14. Tarleton State 8-3 vs Central Arkansas 6-5
15. Illinois State 8-3 vs North Dakota 5-6
16. Villanova 8-3 vs Delaware 9-1

(Both Delaware & Missouri State are playoff ineligible)

Looking at this list, if you could wish for the best outcome for Montana I think it would be:

  1. Obviously beat the cats
  2. NDSU beats USD
  3. Missouri State beats SDSU
  4. Idaho State pulls off a major upset
  5. William & Mary beats Richmond

That could put Montana in the running to land as high as a 5 or 6 seed. If that happens we should all buy lotto tickets or put big on that parlay bc the chances have to be suuuuuper slim. Assuming the reality of a loss at MSU the other games that could really help Montana would be seeing William & Mary, Tennessee State, SFA, UCA, North Dakota, and Delaware win. Then that really muddies the seeds in that area and probably helps Montana stay justified for *some* help.
 
Here a different bracket:

This bracket is a little misleading because it's always "as things stand right now", and not projecting anything to after next weekend's games.

We have almost 0 chance to get the #9 seed unless something crazy happens because if we lose, we'll drop to the #11-#14 range, and if we win, we'd climb to the #6-#8 range.
 
I think Idaho State might do it this weekend. It's in Poky, and if their offense plays well enough (which I think it will) then they won't have to roll their shitty ass defense out there too much. Plus Idaho's offense just hasn't had it the last couple weeks, even with Lane back in the lineup.
 
I think Idaho State might do it this weekend. It's in Poky, and if their offense plays well enough (which I think it will) then they won't have to roll their shitty ass defense out there too much. Plus Idaho's offense just hasn't had it the last couple weeks, even with Lane back in the lineup.
We will see if there new defensive coordinator can force a punt.
 
Link here to Herder's article: https://herosports.com/fcs-football-2024-playoff-predictions-6-bzbz/

Sam's bracket he is building off his assumptions of outcomes this weekend, so he's placing Montana at 13 assuming a Montana State win - for example.

Here's his projected 16 seeds - and who they're playing this weekend:

1. North Dakota State 10-1 @ South Dakota 9-2
2. Montana State 11-0 vs Montana 8-3
3. South Dakota State 9-2 @ Missouri State 8-3
4. UC Davis 9-2 @ Sacramento State 3-8
5. Mercer 9-2 vs Furman 3-7
6. Idaho 8-3 @ Idaho State 5-6
7. Richmond 9-2 vs William & Mary 7-4
8. UIW 9-2 @ TAMU Commerce 3-8
9. South Dakota 9-2 vs North Dakota State 10-1
10. Rhode Island 9-2 @ Bryant 2-9
11. SEMO 9-2 @ Tennessee State 8-3
12. Abilene Christian 8-3 @ SFA 6-5
13. Montana 8-3 @ Montana State 11-0
14. Tarleton State 8-3 vs Central Arkansas 6-5
15. Illinois State 8-3 vs North Dakota 5-6
16. Villanova 8-3 vs Delaware 9-1

(Both Delaware & Missouri State are playoff ineligible)

Looking at this list, if you could wish for the best outcome for Montana I think it would be:

  1. Obviously beat the cats
  2. NDSU beats USD
  3. Missouri State beats SDSU
  4. Idaho State pulls off a major upset
  5. William & Mary beats Richmond

That could put Montana in the running to land as high as a 5 or 6 seed. If that happens we should all buy lotto tickets or put big on that parlay bc the chances have to be suuuuuper slim. Assuming the reality of a loss at MSU the other games that could really help Montana would be seeing William & Mary, Tennessee State, SFA, UCA, North Dakota, and Delaware win. Then that really muddies the seeds in that area and probably helps Montana stay justified for *some* help.
UM could also be looking at going on the road in the first round.
 
We will see if there new defensive coordinator can force a punt.
I hadn't heard about that til you just brought it up. Makes sense when you give up 77 points thought.
 
Gris are looking at a 5-3 finish good for sole possession of 5th place in the conference. Two spots behind NAU, who should finish in a tie for 3rd place with a win over EWU at home. Still a better finish than two years ago though (6th), so that good. It's hard to believe that's worth a seed, but alas, here we are.
 
Gris are looking at a 5-3 finish good for sole possession of 5th place in the conference. Two spots behind NAU, who should finish in a tie for 3rd place with a win over EWU at home. Still a better finish than two years ago though (6th), so that good. It's hard to believe that's worth a seed, but alas, here we are.
It’s ok little bro. Just focus on yourself for a bit maybe yeah?
 
Gris are looking at a 5-3 finish good for sole possession of 5th place in the conference. Two spots behind NAU, who should finish in a tie for 3rd place with a win over EWU at home. Still a better finish than two years ago though (6th), so that good. It's hard to believe that's worth a seed, but alas, here we are.
You and your facts. Get back in the kitchen and make me a sammich.
 
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