IdaGriz01
Well-known member
Well, at least the Griz weren’t the only top-10 team to lose this weekend: #8 Furman, #9 Nicholls, and #10 NC A&T also went down. About the only consolation is that those other guys lost to unranked opponents. Altogether, eight ranked teams lost, so there will definitely be some big moves.
Guess, Team, (Record), [Current Ranking]
#1 NDSU (7-0) [1]
#2 James Madison (7-1) [2]
#3 South Dakota State (6-1) [3]
#4 Weber State (5-2) [4]
#5 Kennesaw State (6-1) [6]
#6 Villanova (6-1) [7]
#7 Illinois State (5-2) [11]
#8 Sacramento State (5-2) [15]
#9 Montana State (5-2) [12]
#10 Northern Iowa (4-3) [14]
#11 Central Arkansas (5-2) [13]
#12 Montana (5-2) [5]
#13 Towson (4-3) [18]
#14 Princeton (5-0) [17]
#15 Nicholls (4-3) [9]
#16 North Carolina A&T (4-1) [10]
#17 Furman (4-3) [8]
#18 Dartmouth (5-0) [21]
#19 UC Davis (4-4) [23]
#20 Delaware (4-3) [24]
#21 Central Connecticut (6-1) [25]
#22 UT Martin (5-2) NR
#23 SEMo State (4-3) NR
#24 Jacksonville State (5-3) [16]
#25 Sam Houston State (5-3) NR
NR YSU (4-3) [19]
NR Austin Peay (4-3) [20]
NR New Hampshire (4-3) [22]
The big question, of course, is how much UM will drop. The bad news is … they got pummeled. The good … they lost to a ranked team, one that should now get more recognition as a powerful contender.
Furman, Nicholl, and NC A&T make up a block of losses that is likely to move down together, but with some reshuffling. Nicholls lost on the road to a 5-3 SHSU team, so the pollsters are likely to be more “forgiving” to them. NC A&T also lost on the road and took it into overtime, so they might also get some slack. Furman, however, lost at home to a team that was then 3-4. I expect them to be hurt the most, and they could drop even more.
Before deciding on the “fill-ins,” I needed to consider losses down near the bottom. Dropping #22 New Hampshire was pretty standard: When you start out that low, you pretty much can’t afford to lose a game, even if it is to a ranked team. Austin Peay had a little more leeway at #20, but they lost to a really bad Tennessee State team (now 2-6). Then there’s #19 Youngstown State, which lost to a Southern Illinois team that is just 3-4, even after the win. Of course, it is the MVFC, so YSU could hang on right at the bottom.
So, who gets to move into those spots? UT-Martin is an easy call since they were the top “Other” vote getter in last week’s poll (and only 75 points out of #25). Next in line among the Others was Stony Brook, but Southeast Missouri State was right after them. This year, the pollsters have shown a tendency to “reward” unranked teams that knock off ranked teams, so I bumped SEMo … and put them just ahead of Jacksonville State. Using that same theme, I think they might reward SHSU for their upset of top-10 Nicholls, even though they were way down among last week’s “Others.”
Finally, in a nod to certain biases, I would not be surprised at all if Northern Iowa gets to move ahead of idle Montana State.
Guess, Team, (Record), [Current Ranking]
#1 NDSU (7-0) [1]
#2 James Madison (7-1) [2]
#3 South Dakota State (6-1) [3]
#4 Weber State (5-2) [4]
#5 Kennesaw State (6-1) [6]
#6 Villanova (6-1) [7]
#7 Illinois State (5-2) [11]
#8 Sacramento State (5-2) [15]
#9 Montana State (5-2) [12]
#10 Northern Iowa (4-3) [14]
#11 Central Arkansas (5-2) [13]
#12 Montana (5-2) [5]
#13 Towson (4-3) [18]
#14 Princeton (5-0) [17]
#15 Nicholls (4-3) [9]
#16 North Carolina A&T (4-1) [10]
#17 Furman (4-3) [8]
#18 Dartmouth (5-0) [21]
#19 UC Davis (4-4) [23]
#20 Delaware (4-3) [24]
#21 Central Connecticut (6-1) [25]
#22 UT Martin (5-2) NR
#23 SEMo State (4-3) NR
#24 Jacksonville State (5-3) [16]
#25 Sam Houston State (5-3) NR
NR YSU (4-3) [19]
NR Austin Peay (4-3) [20]
NR New Hampshire (4-3) [22]
The big question, of course, is how much UM will drop. The bad news is … they got pummeled. The good … they lost to a ranked team, one that should now get more recognition as a powerful contender.
I see the Griz dropping out of the top-10, but not by that much. (Yes, I also expect the kitties to end up above UM.) Also, beyond the slots opened up by all the top-10 losses, I see Sac State getting a bit of an extra boost. In fact, it would not surprise me to see them move a little higher.Haley said:
Furman, Nicholl, and NC A&T make up a block of losses that is likely to move down together, but with some reshuffling. Nicholls lost on the road to a 5-3 SHSU team, so the pollsters are likely to be more “forgiving” to them. NC A&T also lost on the road and took it into overtime, so they might also get some slack. Furman, however, lost at home to a team that was then 3-4. I expect them to be hurt the most, and they could drop even more.
Before deciding on the “fill-ins,” I needed to consider losses down near the bottom. Dropping #22 New Hampshire was pretty standard: When you start out that low, you pretty much can’t afford to lose a game, even if it is to a ranked team. Austin Peay had a little more leeway at #20, but they lost to a really bad Tennessee State team (now 2-6). Then there’s #19 Youngstown State, which lost to a Southern Illinois team that is just 3-4, even after the win. Of course, it is the MVFC, so YSU could hang on right at the bottom.
So, who gets to move into those spots? UT-Martin is an easy call since they were the top “Other” vote getter in last week’s poll (and only 75 points out of #25). Next in line among the Others was Stony Brook, but Southeast Missouri State was right after them. This year, the pollsters have shown a tendency to “reward” unranked teams that knock off ranked teams, so I bumped SEMo … and put them just ahead of Jacksonville State. Using that same theme, I think they might reward SHSU for their upset of top-10 Nicholls, even though they were way down among last week’s “Others.”
Finally, in a nod to certain biases, I would not be surprised at all if Northern Iowa gets to move ahead of idle Montana State.
