Realistically, the team should be able to go anywhere from 13-3 to 9-7 the rest of the way out, in my opinion. So I would say they would be lucky to go 16-11, but are still expected to finish at least 12-15.
I would say that 11-5 for the remaining games is a pretty good bet based on what other teams have been doing in the conference. Saying that, I am predicting a 14-13 record overall, just barely above 0.500 with a 10-4 conference record. Still better than last year I should point out.
Just my two cents.