Lunardi has UNC as a 16 seed against Northwestern St in a playin game. The Big Sky should be proud
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Bracketology
- Thread starter grizindabox
- Start date
The play-in game will be the home of the Big Sky representative unless UM wins the conference tourney. Good thing the Big Sky is adding those stellar basketball programs USD & UND :thumb:
Potomac Griz
Well-known member
We've heard the same type of stuff every year about how bad the Big Sky is....and even for a person like me who was all in favor of moving to the WAC it gets a little old.. We are a mid-major conference. Getting between a 12 and 16 seed is pretty much expected.
I know the Big Sky doesn't have a great RPI right now as a conference, but it's about where it's been the past several years, with an occasional good RPI year here and there, and we've faired pretty well in where our teams got seeded, especially if it's a team that's been in the tournament lately (PSU, Weber, Montana).
If either UNC, Weber, the Griz, or NAU win out (or close to it), it'll be very hard for them to justify a 16 seed for those teams if they win the tournament. If Weber or the Griz end up with 20+ wins and in the NCAA tournament, I wouldn't be surprised to see at least a 15 seed. If UNC struggles and just barely cracks 20 wins but wins the conference tournament, I could see them with a 16 seed possibly.
Take a look at the past 7 years, the RPI rating of the Big Sky team in the tournament, and the seeding.
2009-2010: #97 Montana (14 seed) - 22-9 overall 10-6 in conference.
2008-2009: #113 Portland State (13 seed) - 23-9 overall 11-5 in conference.
2007-2008: #83 Portland State (16 seed) - 23-9 overall 14-2 in conference.
2006-2007: #143 Weber State (15 seed) - 20-11 overall 11-5 in conference.
2005-2006: #61 Montana (12 seed) - 23-6 overall 10-4 in conference.
2004-2005: #130 Montana (16 seed) - 18-13 overall 9-5 in conference.
2003-2004: #126 Eastern Washington (15 seed) - 16-12 overall 11-3 in conference.
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Either way, it's still too early for predictions to mean a whole hell of a lot
There's a lot of basketball left to be played.
I know the Big Sky doesn't have a great RPI right now as a conference, but it's about where it's been the past several years, with an occasional good RPI year here and there, and we've faired pretty well in where our teams got seeded, especially if it's a team that's been in the tournament lately (PSU, Weber, Montana).
If either UNC, Weber, the Griz, or NAU win out (or close to it), it'll be very hard for them to justify a 16 seed for those teams if they win the tournament. If Weber or the Griz end up with 20+ wins and in the NCAA tournament, I wouldn't be surprised to see at least a 15 seed. If UNC struggles and just barely cracks 20 wins but wins the conference tournament, I could see them with a 16 seed possibly.
Take a look at the past 7 years, the RPI rating of the Big Sky team in the tournament, and the seeding.
2009-2010: #97 Montana (14 seed) - 22-9 overall 10-6 in conference.
2008-2009: #113 Portland State (13 seed) - 23-9 overall 11-5 in conference.
2007-2008: #83 Portland State (16 seed) - 23-9 overall 14-2 in conference.
2006-2007: #143 Weber State (15 seed) - 20-11 overall 11-5 in conference.
2005-2006: #61 Montana (12 seed) - 23-6 overall 10-4 in conference.
2004-2005: #130 Montana (16 seed) - 18-13 overall 9-5 in conference.
2003-2004: #126 Eastern Washington (15 seed) - 16-12 overall 11-3 in conference.
--
Either way, it's still too early for predictions to mean a whole hell of a lot
There's a lot of basketball left to be played.
Good post, Dex. What strikes me there is the lack of consistency. Take a look at PSU's years as an example. In 07-08, they clearly had a better team on paper than they did in 08-09: a much better conference record, same overall W-L, and a much better RPI. Yet they drew the 16. Then the next season -- again with a less-impressive resume -- they draw a 13.
One thing that the Committee seems to recognize is continued excellence. If you've been in the tournament the previous year/s, you may get a little better seed than you might otherwise deserve.
One thing that the Committee seems to recognize is continued excellence. If you've been in the tournament the previous year/s, you may get a little better seed than you might otherwise deserve.
Quick question; What do all of these traditional BB powers have in common:
Indiana, Oklahoma, UMASS, Virginia, Stanford, Oregon, Iowa, Utah, Mississippi State?
A: All of them have RPIs lower than Montana's. (and most are only a handful of spots ahead of UNC).
Indiana, Oklahoma, UMASS, Virginia, Stanford, Oregon, Iowa, Utah, Mississippi State?
A: All of them have RPIs lower than Montana's. (and most are only a handful of spots ahead of UNC).
