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2018 FCS Playoff At Large Eligibility (V 5.0)

grizband

Well-known member
DONOR
Notes:
Every season I compile a list of FCS teams still capable of reaching 7 Division 1 wins. Although 7 wins is no longer the official plateau for at-large selection, it is highly unlikely a 6-5 team will be selected. The list is for reference only, and is not meant to predict the probability of the teams selected. It will be updated weekly, as teams are eliminated, or teams secure their conference auto-bid.

Teams are organized by conference, although Ivy League teams are not included since their conference does not participate in the FCS playoffs. MEAC and SWAC teams are listed since their second place teams are technically eligible to receive a playoff berth. However, Southern and Grambling from the SWAC are not listed, due to their schedule conflict with the Bayou Classic; Alabama State also has a Thanksgiving conflict.

Houston Baptist is on probation, and therefore ineligible for the postseason.

North Alabama is not eligible for the playoffs, during their FCS transition from Division II.

Key:
Teams preceded by an asterisk (*) have already reached 7 Division 1 wins.
Teams listed in bold need to win all remaining games to reach 7 Division I wins.
Teams followed by a hash tag (#) have played a lower division team
Teams followed by a plus sign (+) have an FBS team remaining on their schedule.
Teams followed by an percent sign (%) had a game cancelled or postponed

Teams with 7 Division 1 Wins:
*North Dakota State (8-0)
*UC Davis (7-1)
*Colgate (7-0)
*Weber State (7-2)
*Kennesaw State (8-1)
*Monmouth (7-2)
*Delaware (7-2)
*North Carolina A&T (7-2)
*Jacksonville State (7-2)
*Southeast Missouri (7-2)
*ETSU (8-2)


Big Sky
Eastern Washington (7-2)# must go 1-1

Idaho State (6-3)# must go 2-0
Montana State (5-4) must go 2-0
Montana (5-4) must go 2-0



Colonial
Towson (6-3) must go 1-1
James Madison (6-3) must go 1-1
Stony Brook (6-3) must go 1-1
Elon (6-2)% must go 1-1
Maine (6-3) must go 1-1

Rhode Island (5-4) must go 2-0


Independents
North Dakota (5-4) must go 2-0


MEAC
Florida A&M (6-3)# must go 2-0


Missouri Valley
South Dakota State (6-2) must go 1-1

Northern Iowa (5-4) must go 2-0
Western Illinois (5-4) must go 2-0



Northeast
Sacred Heart (6-3) must go 1-1

Duquesne (6-3)# must go 2-0


Ohio Valley
Eastern Kentucky (5-4) must go 2-0


Pioneer
San Diego (7-2)# must go 1-1

Stetson (7-1)#% must go 2-0
Marist (5-4) must go 2-0



Southern
Chattanooga (6-3)+ must go 1-1
Wofford (6-3) must go 1-1


Southland
McNeese State (6-3) must go 1-1
Nicholls (6-3) must go 1-1

Sam Houston State (5-4) must go 2-0
Central Arkansas (5-4) must go 2-0
Incarnate Word (5-4)+ must go 2-0 (Iowa State game occurs if UIW misses playoffs)



SWAC
Alcorn State (7-3)# must go 1-0
 
Playoff Related Numbers:
11 teams have already reached 7 Division 1 wins
29 additional teams can still reach 7 Division 1 wins
14 teams will reach 7 Division 1 wins with a victory next week
16 teams will be eliminated with a loss next week
10 conference auto bids are yet to be decided
 
grizband said:
Notes:
Every season I compile a list of FCS teams still capable of reaching 7 Division 1 wins. Although 7 wins is no longer the official plateau for at-large selection, it is highly unlikely a 6-5 team will be selected. The list is for reference only, and is not meant to predict the probability of the teams selected. It will be updated weekly, as teams are eliminated, or teams secure their conference auto-bid.

Teams are organized by conference, although Ivy League teams are not included since their conference does not participate in the FCS playoffs. MEAC and SWAC teams are listed since their second place teams are technically eligible to receive a playoff berth. However, Southern and Grambling from the SWAC are not listed, due to their schedule conflict with the Bayou Classic; Alabama State also has a Thanksgiving conflict.

Houston Baptist is on probation, and therefore ineligible for the postseason.

North Alabama is not eligible for the playoffs, during their FCS transition from Division II.

Key:
Teams preceded by an asterisk (*) have already reached 7 Division 1 wins.
Teams listed in bold need to win all remaining games to reach 7 Division I wins.
Teams followed by a hash tag (#) have played a lower division team
Teams followed by a plus sign (+) have an FBS team remaining on their schedule.
Teams followed by an percent sign (%) had a game cancelled or postponed

Teams with 7 Division 1 Wins:
*North Dakota State (8-0)
*UC Davis (7-1)
*Colgate (7-0)
*Weber State (7-2)
*Kennesaw State (8-1)
*Monmouth (7-2)
*Delaware (7-2)
*North Carolina A&T (7-2)
*Jacksonville State (7-2)
*Southeast Missouri (7-2)
*ETSU (8-2)


Big Sky
Eastern Washington (7-2)# must go 1-1

Idaho State (6-3)# must go 2-0
Montana State (5-4) must go 2-0
Montana (5-4) must go 2-0



Colonial
Towson (6-3) must go 1-1
James Madison (6-3) must go 1-1
Stony Brook (6-3) must go 1-1
Elon (6-2)% must go 1-1
Maine (6-3) must go 1-1

Rhode Island (5-4) must go 2-0


Independents
North Dakota (5-4) must go 2-0


MEAC
Florida A&M (6-3)# must go 2-0


Missouri Valley
South Dakota State (6-2) must go 1-1

Northern Iowa (5-4) must go 2-0
Western Illinois (5-4) must go 2-0



Northeast
Sacred Heart (6-3) must go 1-1

Duquesne (6-3)# must go 2-0


Ohio Valley
Eastern Kentucky (5-4) must go 2-0


Pioneer
San Diego (7-2)# must go 1-1

Stetson (7-1)#% must go 2-0
Marist (5-4) must go 2-0



Southern
Chattanooga (6-3)+ must go 1-1
Wofford (6-3) must go 1-1


Southland
McNeese State (6-3) must go 1-1
Nicholls (6-3) must go 1-1

Sam Houston State (5-4) must go 2-0
Central Arkansas (5-4) must go 2-0
Incarnate Word (5-4)+ must go 2-0 (Iowa State game occurs if UIW misses playoffs)



SWAC
Alcorn State (7-3)# must go 1-0

Thanks for posting this GB. One game at a time has to be the motto now. After Davis I would have said no way in hell. Yesterday was not really anything to base the next two games off of, but one thing gives me a little confidence. Calhoun. He stays healthy and it changes the offenses potential. Come on Griz.
 
The Griz beating Southern Utah yesterday leaves me pondering what could have been this season. What if the Griz don't turn over the ball against WIU, after overcoming an early 2 touchdown deficit? What if the Griz don't fumble on their last drive against Portland State, despite being dominated much of the game? What if the Griz maintain their first half intensity against UC Davis, and don't turnover the ball in the second half? (I see a pattern here).

I believe the Griz finish this season 7-4, which is the ultimate result predicted by man fans approaching week 1.
 
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