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2015/16 GRIZ Impressions

mtgrizrule

Well-known member
Due to my work schedule, I have not been able to catch the games against Whitworth and Boise State in person. This weekend I subscribed to gogriz.com and watch the games on demand (I had no problems with it by the way).

Here are my general observations of the team based on watching those game very quickly.
How many times have we heard analysts and commentators refer to great guard play being a big key for post season success? I sure hope that proves to be true this season for the next 5 seasons. If so, I love the GRIZ chances. I also love the versatility of this years GRIZ. Dunn, Wright, Oguinne, and Bradshaw all can play either 1 or 2. Gfeller and Moorehead are interchangeable at SG with a big line up or SF in a more conventional lineup, and are both great perimeter shooters and solid defenders.

Wright, Dunn (commenting on him based on last year and expected progress in the off season), and Oguinne are all quick, can hit the 3 consistently, athletic, consistently get to the paint, break down opposing defenses, and play shut down aggressive defense. They all can take over a game with setting up teammates or scoring. Meanwhile Bradshaw is solid in every regard, takes good care of the ball, and is a much better defender than many of us will give him credit for. Through 2 games Wright and Oguinne have each willingly and aggressively taken the ball to the hole with confidence. Wright has a rare, yet natural instinct to find holes in an opposing defense. It appears to me he immediately knows if the defense is one that can be penetrated or if an open 3 will be the best option. To add to that awareness, he is quick with the ball in his hands. I can see why Travis wants the ball in his hands a lot. Oguinne has a natural ability to take over the game when called upon (I see a lot of Damian Lillard in him) and absolutely hates to lose or see his team struggle. I was amazed at his maturity and desire against a rather good Boise State team. His mindset is that he is the best player on the court and he will not be denied. There are many talented freshman guards in the nation, but it is rare for one to take that mindset from the get go. Most have a "wait their turn" mind set. Oguinne has the mindset of "the time is now". This kid is not afraid of the bright spotlights. Nicer yet, he is not a selfish player either. He can willingly distribute the ball and is consistently a defensive menace (Will Cherry) as well. He strikes me as a player that will do any and everything for his team.

Between the scrimmages and the games, I can see DeCuire has a rare luxury in the fact that he has 2, soon to be 3 point guards that are shut down defenders. He does not have to worry about foul trouble and can have Dunn, Wright, and Oguinne play aggressive on both ends every second. There is not and will not be any significant drop off in offensive or defensive production if any of them are saddled with foul trouble or injury. In a pinch Bradshaw can run the point offensively as well, even though he is better as a SG, or Breunig can run the offense as a point forward. Even if the offense struggles, this GRIZ team can apply aggressive pressure to opposing guards every defensive possession.

As for offense, the ability of the GRIZ guards to penetrate a defense will create many open opportunities in the paint for dish offs, and open 3's. The GRIZ have plenty of players who are very capable 3 point shooters, but the likes of Gfeller and Moorehead have to absolutely love what penetrating guards can do for their games. We all know what Gfeller is capable of from 3. Moorehead is also that kind of shooter. Boise State is lucky that Gfeller struggled to find consistency from 3. He took 9 3's, most of which were wide open looks for him. I fully expect Gfeller to average no less than 7 to 8 3 point attempts per game and average around 3.5 makes per game. Scary part is, there were more opportunities left on the floor for Gfeller and Moorehead. I challenge anyone to watch those games again, those guys were left wide open when defenses collapsed and focused on Breunig when he got the ball.

When Dunn returns, expect our guard play to even improve more, being he will add a 3rd dynamic quick and versatile guard. 1 of those guards guards on the court at a time is a challenge for opponents, let alone playing 2 or even all 3 together!!! That is just this year, starting next season we add Ahmad Rorie to this equation. At his worse, he is equal to his counter parts.

Onto the 3 through 5. Offensively, I am not worried. The GRIZ have plenty of fire power from the guards. Offensively, Breunig has plenty of help to spread the points around. Defensively, I am a little concerned though. Breunig somehow has a propensity to draw unnecessary whistles from the officials. He is a key defender for the GRIZ, when the officials let him play (post season officiating might be an advantage for him). Breunig can be Mr. Everything offensively, he is terrific scoring in the post, can handle the ball well, and has improved his perimeter game (we will see that as the season progresses). Fortunately Krslovic is one of the better post defenders in the conference, but is not shot blocking presence. Boehning and Dejong are too inexperienced to know what to expect from either, and chances are very likely they will be inconsistent at this stage as players. Jack Lopez is truly a combo SG or SF. He willingly bangs with bigs,but like Michael Weisner, the post is not where he belongs. He is there out of necessity.

I am concerned the GRIZ will not match up very well with teams with good size or better inside. Fortunately the GRIZ guards are athletic and present mismatches for opponents, so them being consistently good may force opposing coaches to go with smaller line ups. Right now, it looks to me that Bruenig and Krslovic will be playing many minutes. The development of Boehning and or DeJong is paramount for this team, regardless of how well Breunig stays out of foul trouble. With the roster as is, I fully expect Travis to go many minutes with only 1 post player offensively and interchange the roles of Breunig and Krslovic often on both ends of the court. As the season progresses, I hope to see us get a solid 10 minutes per game to develop Boehning and DeJong. Fortunately, not many teams are deep in the post.

GRIZ NATION, regardless of who the GRIZ get for the post/paint, enjoy the talent they are accumulating at guard. This group of guards Travis has and will be adding to is truly special and rare for a small to mid major program. This group of guards can hang with any group of guards in the nation, health permitting and as they develop. This will be a very fun GRIZ team to watch on both ends of the court. I am so stoked to see how far this team can go and how long it takes for them to be make a run in the top 25 to 30 in the nation. This year's schedule will certainly be the challenge they need to develop this season moving forward. I won't be surprised if our guards are a challenge for the Gonzaga's and Kansas's of the world. That is not me saying we are ready to beat those teams, but I feel they can and will hold their own against their guards.
 
citay said:
Grizrule: I take it you are guarded about our success this year?

Seeing how talented and deep we are at guard, I am ecstatic. This kind of ball is new to the GRIZ, so I am trying not to get overly confident. I really want to see how it plays out. I think the GRIZ will be just fine in the conference and should be 1st or 2nd in the conference. Both Boise State and even Whitworth got too many buckets in the paint. I am worried how easily referees put Breunig in foul trouble. In my opinion, his play does not warrant the number of fouls calls he has called on him. He is sound fundamentally and does nothing to make officials believe he is doing that much fouling. For the most part he stays balanced and is in good position on defense. He can get a little aggressive offensively, which I can see some reason to whistle him. Normally I can see why certain players are prone to foul trouble, but it has me stymied regarding Breunig. Maybe officials don't like the fact that he questions and calls them out on their calls usually? That is only thing I can think of.

Yes, I am very concerned about our paint defense. My hope is that we can build Boehning as the year progresses. We will need him to mature and be better when we face better teams, especially Kansas, Gonzaga, and Washington. Breunig will need to take their bigs out of the paint, or implement more of a high post threat.

At this stage, I am cautiously optimistic overall. :thumb:
 
I try to keep my expectations for UM hoops within reason but this year it is difficult. Still, I think the first ROAD test for the Griz will be Pepperdine, who returns all of their players from the 4th place team in last year's Big West. They are improved this year and do well at home. If the Griz win here, this is going to be a special season...Gonzaga is a possible win...Kansas is going to be a major challenge.
 
Here are the rosters for Kansas and Gonzaga. They definitely have the size on us. It will be interesting to see how we match up with them at PG, SG, and SF, and how Breunig will be utilized?

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/roster/_/id/2305/kansas-jayhawks
http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/roster/_/id/2250/gonzaga-bulldogs
 
LA- I don't disagree with you re: Pepperdine, but I think ND ST will be a huge road test too. They have been to the NCAAs the last 2 years and gave Gonzaga a scare last year. Their PG, Miller, is very solid and it will be interesting to see how Wright and Oguine play against him. They are also big and play fundamentally sound in the front court too.
We need to take care of business tonight and vs Carroll but realistically the ND State game is the next one that could lead to an 'L' IMO.
 
Well the San Jose State game is a perfect example of my concern for the GRIZ. The GRIZ can be taken inside on the boards. IF teams get the ball inside, we don't have the inside depth to rebound and defend the paint. We cannot afford to be without Breunig and Krslovic for significant time in any game.
 
mtgrizrule said:
Well the San Jose State game is a perfect example of my concern for the GRIZ. The GRIZ can be taken inside on the boards. IF teams get the ball inside, we don't have the inside depth to rebound and defend the paint. We cannot afford to be without Breunig and Krslovic for significant time in any game.

I'm not quite so worried about Krslovic and Breunig in the paint. Based on my memories of their play last year, both are solid defenders; both rebound the ball well. But, yeah, the first two games have been tough. It took all of ONE MINUTE (two fouls) for Kryslo to be almost completely neutralized on the court; took all his aggressiveness out of him & he had to play with glass gloves for the remainder of the game. And for the second straight game, Breunig gets rung up on a foul for establishing a pretty normal post triangle. I have simply been flabbergasted at those calls.

Last season the two could be counted on to collectively grab 12-16 rebounds. Last night? FIVE between the two. They couldn't bang on the boards! What's being called? Are they also being called for hand-forearm checks? If so, I haven't seen them. Puzzling to me.

I know what both players were called on last year: over the back on rebounding. Breunig's had a few; Kryslo, not so. Instead, his third foul came on what seemed clearly to be a block out for rebound. What gives?

I feel good about these guys. They're class players. I'm hoping the first two games are anomalies, since I'm seeing refs call a bunch of mystery calls. If the trend continues, then the coaches will have to start instructing them to avoid certain scenarios.

Hope this is a two-game oddity. If not, then the Griz will have to significantly alter their in-paint style of play.
 
grizzlyjournal said:
mtgrizrule said:
Well the San Jose State game is a perfect example of my concern for the GRIZ. The GRIZ can be taken inside on the boards. IF teams get the ball inside, we don't have the inside depth to rebound and defend the paint. We cannot afford to be without Breunig and Krslovic for significant time in any game.

I'm not quite so worried about Krslovic and Breunig in the paint. Based on my memories of their play last year, both are solid defenders; both rebound the ball well. But, yeah, the first two games have been tough. It took all of ONE MINUTE (two fouls) for Kryslo to be almost completely neutralized on the court; took all his aggressiveness out of him & he had to play with glass gloves for the remainder of the game. And for the second straight game, Breunig gets rung up on a foul for establishing a pretty normal post triangle. I have simply been flabbergasted at those calls.

Last season the two could be counted on to collectively grab 12-16 rebounds. Last night? FIVE between the two. They couldn't bang on the boards! What's being called? Are they also being called for hand-forearm checks? If so, I haven't seen them. Puzzling to me.

I know what both players were called on last year: over the back on rebounding. Breunig's had a few; Kryslo, not so. Instead, his third foul came on what seemed clearly to be a block out for rebound. What gives?

I feel good about these guys. They're class players. I'm hoping the first two games are anomalies, since I'm seeing refs call a bunch of mystery calls. If the trend continues, then the coaches will have to start instructing them to avoid certain scenarios.

Hope this is a two-game oddity. If not, then the Griz will have to significantly alter their in-paint style of play.


I think I am being misunderstood. I too am fine with Breunig and Krslovic. My concern is when they are out considerable minutes, for whatever reason or reasons, like the SJSU game.
 

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