ilovethecats
Well-known member
AZGrizFan said:
Quality stuff. :clap:
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Who's with me?
- Thread starter IntuitiveGriz
- Start date
Quality stuff. :clap:
Paytonlives said:
Thanks, Payton. Made me smile and laugh. The main sketch of Animal House was written by Chris Miller, Dartmouth '63 and member of AD frat. When I got to Dartmouth, there were many elements of Animal House there. Some people referred to us as the Dartmouth Animals.
"John Christian "Chris" Miller (born 1942 in Brooklyn) is an American author and screenwriter. He is best known for his work on National Lampoon magazine and the film Animal House, which he also acted in with co-writer/actor Douglas Kenney.[1] The latter was inspired by Miller's own experiences in the Alpha Delta Phi fraternity at Dartmouth College, in which he went by the name "Pinto". Miller graduated from Dartmouth in 1963." Wiki.
AZGrizFan said:
:?
There's a two week delay from infection to symptoms, not two weeks from infection to death.
And no, for what it's worth, I don't believe the hype from either side of the politically motivated nutjobs. Rather, I listen to the experts; I read and study; and I think for myself.
3-day moving average for daily deaths in the US from COVID-19:
4/16 - 2524
4/23 - 2520
4/30 - 2418
5/7 - 2383
5/14 - 1853
5/21 - 1482
5/28 - 1345
6/4 - 1100
6/11 - 1007
6/18 - 812
6/25- 781
Not a SINGLE measurement increased from the peak 3-day average on 4/16. 11 straight weeks of declining death rate. Despite the reopenings. Despite the riots/protests. Despite the political rallies.
Raw deaths continue to decline
The 3-day average continues to decline
The 7-day average continues to decline
Literally the ONLY metric that’s going up is new cases. The low point for the 3-day moving average of new cases was June 9th. The metric stood at 19,107, and hadn’t been that low since March 25th. That was the inflection point where the 3-day moving average began climbing. (Presumably from two solid weeks of riots and protests across the country). But that was TWENTY THREE DAYS ago. Not just one week. Not even just two weeks. Hell, not even THREE weeks ago. But 23 DAYS ago. We should have started seeing increases in the death count 10 days ago, at a minimum. But instead, what did we have Sunday? The lowest Sunday dearth count since March 22nd.
At my place of employment we’ve had 23 confirmed cases of COVID-19. Almost all in otherwise healthy individuals aged 55 or less. We’re 23-0, with nary a single hospitalization. THAT’S WHAT HAPPENS when healthy people go back to work. They’re going to get exposed, get a little sick, get over it, and go back to work again. That’s why I believe cases are going up, but deaths aren’t. Those at most risk are taking necessary precautions, and those at much less risk are going back to work (until the fear mongers shut down states again, I suppose).
Another factor is this: the more virulent strain kills its host, and then dies with it. The less virulent strain does NOT kill it’s host is is thus spread more prevalently, beginning to act more and more like the common flu. I believe that’s what we’re seeing now....the transformation of this virus into something significantly less lethal than it was originally.
And finally, one could argue that the most at-risk members of our society were already exposed in the early stages and died. Now that we have a better understanding of who/what it attacks, we’re able to take precautions to avoid a repeat of that (you know, like requiring nursing homes to take COVID patients — Thanks, Cuomo...).
Now, this is all pure conjecture (well, except the data part). I’m not a doctor, but I did stay in a Holiday Inn Express last night....
4/16 - 2524
4/23 - 2520
4/30 - 2418
5/7 - 2383
5/14 - 1853
5/21 - 1482
5/28 - 1345
6/4 - 1100
6/11 - 1007
6/18 - 812
6/25- 781
Not a SINGLE measurement increased from the peak 3-day average on 4/16. 11 straight weeks of declining death rate. Despite the reopenings. Despite the riots/protests. Despite the political rallies.
Raw deaths continue to decline
The 3-day average continues to decline
The 7-day average continues to decline
Literally the ONLY metric that’s going up is new cases. The low point for the 3-day moving average of new cases was June 9th. The metric stood at 19,107, and hadn’t been that low since March 25th. That was the inflection point where the 3-day moving average began climbing. (Presumably from two solid weeks of riots and protests across the country). But that was TWENTY THREE DAYS ago. Not just one week. Not even just two weeks. Hell, not even THREE weeks ago. But 23 DAYS ago. We should have started seeing increases in the death count 10 days ago, at a minimum. But instead, what did we have Sunday? The lowest Sunday dearth count since March 22nd.
At my place of employment we’ve had 23 confirmed cases of COVID-19. Almost all in otherwise healthy individuals aged 55 or less. We’re 23-0, with nary a single hospitalization. THAT’S WHAT HAPPENS when healthy people go back to work. They’re going to get exposed, get a little sick, get over it, and go back to work again. That’s why I believe cases are going up, but deaths aren’t. Those at most risk are taking necessary precautions, and those at much less risk are going back to work (until the fear mongers shut down states again, I suppose).
Another factor is this: the more virulent strain kills its host, and then dies with it. The less virulent strain does NOT kill it’s host is is thus spread more prevalently, beginning to act more and more like the common flu. I believe that’s what we’re seeing now....the transformation of this virus into something significantly less lethal than it was originally.
And finally, one could argue that the most at-risk members of our society were already exposed in the early stages and died. Now that we have a better understanding of who/what it attacks, we’re able to take precautions to avoid a repeat of that (you know, like requiring nursing homes to take COVID patients — Thanks, Cuomo...).
Now, this is all pure conjecture (well, except the data part). I’m not a doctor, but I did stay in a Holiday Inn Express last night....
reinell30 said:
:lol:
marceagfan5
Well-known member
AZGrizFan said:
Just curious (I’m not taking sides)...what do the numbers look like if you remove New York from the equation. Are we still seeing a drastic decrease looking at the rest of the country?
WaGriz4life
Well-known member
You are definitely not listening to the experts based on your posts. You are most certainly watching a lot of news though.EverettGriz said:
Also if you look at COVID Deaths day by day you will see the 90% decrease most days since April, since you are studying.
ilovethecats
Well-known member
This could possibly be the best post on egriz. Ever.AZGrizFan said:
Unless of course there’s something really witty about coach Choate....
ilovethecats
Well-known member
EG, we don’t see eye to eye on this one. But I bet I’m looking you up come mid November and I’ll buy you a drink at whatever downtown Missoula hippy place you choose!EverettGriz said:
WaGriz4life said:
The only time I “watch” news is when I travel internationally.
No where are the numbers even close to a 90% decrease. Even on those “news” sources people watch.
CDAGRIZ said:
You want fear porn? Dial some good ol' vintage stuff up on your wife's laptop and after you're...uh...finished, walk away without clearing your history.
You'll damn sure fear porn after that!
Or so I'm led to believe by, umm, my friend, yeah friend!, to whom this happened.
EverettGriz said:
:lol: :lol:
OK, true story time: In what I refer to as "the in-between time" after college and before getting married, my friend and I had a decent apartment with a built-in computer/office desk. I always plugged my work laptop in there at night. During one stretch, my buddy had a bunch of days off, so he'd stay up late ripping beers and playing PS2. One morning, I grabbed my laptop and fired it up at the office to find a Google image search for "Tits" on the screen. "Tits". No specificity. Just "Tits". This was like 2005-2006. With all that was available by that time, the best he could muster was "Tits".
indian-outlaw
Well-known member
EverettGriz said:
This is the way I see it too. Even the experts have been conflicting and wrong about a lot of things concerning this pandemic. There are still so many unknowns about it. The people on here that state anything with confidence will probably be proven wrong.
CDAGRIZ said:
Well, while somewhat broad, I'm moderately confident the search provided the returns desired.