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What seed will Griz be if they win out?

ABQCat said:
SEMO can finish 10-2 with a win over 7-3 Tennessee St in the final week. They would be ahead of a 9-3 gris. Richmond can easily go 10-2 and undefeated in the CAA, so they would be ahead. Both DSUs should finish ahead. Davis will be ahead. I think SD finishes 8-3 and just below. If the Cats beat Davis, then the Cats are ahead aven with the head to head loss, but probably just below if we finish at 10-2 vs 9-3 due to the head to head loss.

Add them up and it should be 5 teams with a very hight probability of finishing higher, so that's a #6 seed at best imo. As mentioned , an 11-1 Cat team will be ahead even with the loss in the final week, so that's a #7. It's also possible for the SD to pull and upset and creates a situation where the DSUs and SD are ahead, and the gris fall to a #8.

Between a #6 and a #8. Final answer.
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No way the Griz are behind SEMO or Richmond if they win out, including a road win over the #2 team in the country, just because they have a 9-3 record vs. 10-2 records for the other teams.
 
Griz til I die said:
point is we could play hypotheticals all day. I don't think we're gonna lose on Saturday
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I like all the hypotheticals and info. I am trying to plan the rest of 2024 and early 2025. We leave for AZ in a week for the winter. Should I leave a car in Missoula or get it to Bozeman/Big Sky now and take to Bozeman later in the fall? Should I book hotel rooms in Missoula now, assuming our condo gets rented for the winter? How should I plan Thanksgiving with the family, i.e. where? Can I depart on our big International trip early in January? Decisions, decisions, decisions. Last year, I had to fly on the 6am flight from Phoenix to Missoula 3 weeks in a row for the playoff games. That was expensive, but worth it. Thx.
 
mthoopsfan said:
What you said isn't accurate. On any of those points.
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This season the Griz have had historically high numbers of points scored against their defense, and now, this last game was the lowest points scored by a Griz offense in what, 5 or 6 seasons?! There was a stretch where the Griz defense was statistically one of the 20 worst in all of FCS….
 
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mthoopsfan said:
What you said isn't accurate. On any of those points.
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Statistically this is one of the worst defenses of the last four decades, I watched while our offensive line was dominated by UC Davis’s dline (Oline definitely fails the eye test), and we’ve lost to a bad team, a mediocre team, and decent to good team. All three points are covered
 
grizeyes said:
IMO @ 9-3 with a couple good wins and a win over #2 cats at bozangeles = 6-8 seed
Could happen. Probably not. Hope it does.
Go Griz!
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Agreed. We go 9-3 with a win against the ‘Scats and we’re a 6 seed, IMHO. Lose one and we’re in the first round at home. Lose both and we may be on the outside looking in.
 
hm.grwn.grizfan said:
This season the Griz have had historically high numbers of points scored against their defense, and now, this last game was the lowest points scored by a Griz offense in what, 5 or 6 seasons?! There was a stretch where the Griz defense was statistically one of the 20 worst in all of FCS….
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UM is ranked 11th in nation in Stats poll and Coaches poll. Davis is 4th in the nation. Idaho is barely above the Griz.

UM is 2d in the conference in scoring. 5th in the conference in defensive scoring, a half point behind Idaho. UM is 3d in conference in total offense and 4th in total defense. UM is 4th in rushing and 3d in D against the rush. 5th in passing offense, and 4th in passing defense.

UM is 1st in punt returns, and 4th in KO returns. 3d in sacks and 4th interceptions.

In 2024, the difference between points scored and points given up is 13. In 2023, it was 12. Not much difference.

You just cherry pick a game or two, and then ignore the rest of the season.
 
grizfan07 said:
I think 8-4 is the most likely record for us. We beat Portland State, but probably get blown out by the cats. At 8-4 we are probably in the 12-14 seed range but will have a first round at home.
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Cats aren't going no blow us out. UM is giving up 3.7 per rush. Davis is better with 3.6.
 
mthoopsfan said:
UM is ranked 11th in nation in Stats poll and Coaches poll. Davis is 4th in the nation. Idaho is barely above the Griz.

UM is 2d in the conference in scoring. 5th in the conference in defensive scoring, a half point behind Idaho. UM is 3d in conference in total offense and 4th in total defense. UM is 4th in rushing and 3d in D against the rush. 5th in passing offense, and 4th in passing defense.

UM is 1st in punt returns, and 4th in KO returns. 3d in sacks and 4th interceptions.

In 2024, the difference between points scored and points given up is 13. In 2023, it was 12. Not much difference.

You just cherry pick a game or two, and then ignore the rest of the season.
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Cherry picked the games against teams that are D2 caliber or below. Why even include the stats from morehead, poly or UNC when none of those three would be very competitive in D2 much less D1
 
This year’s Griz are a pretty good team but highly inconsistent. The guys need two wins to be in the five or six slot. They need one win for any playoff game.

Though as stated elsewhere, much depends on how the other top ten teams finish. That includes the cats. If they lose at Davis, Griz beating them next week helps us less than beating #2 bobcats. Either way we won’t jump them in the seeding (even losing, at 10-2 msu with an FBS New Mexico win > than a 9-3 Montana).

That said, at the moment 9-3 is rather optimistic.
Odds are the cats win in Bozeman this year. Their OLine is bulldozing everybody. On the other hand our is not. We have great RBs but they need some sort of hole. On the flip side, if we account for Tommy’s running I like our chances of cutting their running game in half. Yet it won’t help if our offense can’t move the ball
Go Griz
 
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